Ishadi Elibukhoma Le-USD/CHF
1. Ukuqonda i-USD/CHF Pair
I-USD/CHF ingenye ye ama-currency amabili amakhulu in forex ukuhweba futhi inendawo eyingqayizivele ezimakethe zezimali zomhlaba. Laba bamele amazwe amabili anamandla emhlabeni - i-United States neSwitzerland.
I-USD, emele iDola laseMelika, iyona eningi traded lwemali futhi ithathwa njengowomhlaba uhlobo lwemali oluyisisekelo. I-franc yaseSwitzerland (CHF) yaziwa ngendima yayo njenge- indawo ephephile kubatshalizimali ngezikhathi zokuntengantenga komnotho emhlabeni jikelele.
Amandla kupheya ye-USD/CHF ngokuvamile abonisa impilo yezomnotho yamazwe ngamazwe. Uma umnotho wase-US uqinile, i-USD ivama ukudlula i-CHF. Ngokuphambene, noma nini lapho kuvela iziyaluyalu zezomnotho emhlabeni wonke, i-CHF ivamise ukuqina uma iqhathaniswa ne-USD njengoba abatshalizimali befuna ukuphepha ku-Swiss franc.
Ukuhweba i-USD/CHF kudinga ukulandelela izinkomba zezomnotho ezivela e-US naseSwitzerland. Izici ezibalulekile okufanele zicatshangelwe zihlanganisa umehluko wenzalo, imicimbi yezwe, nezinkomba zezomnotho ezifana namazinga okungasebenzi kanye nokukhula kwe-GDP.
I-volatility isici esivamile se-USD/CHF ipheya ngenxa yokuthambekela kwayo ukunyakaza okukhulu ku- forex imakethe. Ngakho-ke, traders kufanele alungele izinguquko zamanani asheshayo futhi azihlomise ngawo ingozi amathuluzi wokuphatha ukuvikela izimali zabo.
Advanced amasu ukuhweba ngepheya ye-USD/CHF ingase ihlanganise analysis technical, okubandakanya ukuhlonza amaphethini namathrendi ekunyakazeni kwentengo, kanye ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo, egxile ekuchazeni idatha yezomnotho nemicimbi yezindaba. Womabili amasu anganikeza imibono ebalulekile yokwenza izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi.
Kuyafaneleka futhi ukuqaphela lokho okubizwa ngokuthi “I-Swissie thwala trades". Traders thatha isikhangisovantage zomehluko wamazinga enzalo phakathi kwalawa mazwe amabili ngokuboleka imali ezweni elinenzalo ephansi (njengeSwitzerland) kanye nokutshala imali ezweni elinenzalo ephezulu (njenge-United States). Nokho, thwala tradeiza nesethi yazo eyingqayizivele yezingozi futhi idinga ukuqonda okujulile kwemakethe.
Lapho uzulazula endaweni eyinselele ye-USD/CHF, umuntu kufanele agcine ukuphatha ubungozi kuphambili naphakathi, kuyilapho ehlala enolwazi ngentuthuko yezomnotho womhlaba kanye nezimakethe. Ngendlela enolwazi nangesu eliqinile, ukuhweba ngamapheya e-USD/CHF kungaveza amathuba anomvuzo.
1.1. Iyini i-USD/CHF Currency Pair?
Ezweni lika Forex ukuhweba, USD / CHF imele ipheya yemali ebalulekile, ehlanganisa Idola laseMelika (USD) kanye ne-Swiss franc (CHF). Lo mbhangqwana ukhombisa ukuthi mangaki ama-Swiss franc angashintshwa ngedola elilodwa laseMelika. Ngoba lezi zizwe ezimbili zingabadlali abaphambili emnothweni womhlaba, i-USD/CHF currency pair isengozini enkulu yezinkomba zezomnotho nezenzakalo zomhlaba.
Ukusebenzisa i-USD njengohlobo lwemali oluyisisekelo, traders ingahlaziya amandla ahlobene omnotho wase-US ngokumelene nomnotho waseSwitzerland. Lokhu kusebenza ikakhulukazi uma ucabangela isithunzi saseSwitzerland. Njengoba ikude enkabeni ye-Europe, yaziwa kabanzi ngokuzinza kwayo kwezezimali, ukungathathi hlangothi kwezombusazwe, nezinga eliphezulu lokuphila. Ngenxa yalokho, imali yayo, i-Franc, ibhekwa njenge indawo ephephile phakathi traders.
Amathrendi amapheya e-USD/CHF athonywa kakhulu umehluko wesilinganiso senzalo phakathi kwe- I-Federal Reserve futhi I-Swiss National Bank (SNB). Uma amanani e-US enyuka, i-USD ivamise ukuqina uma iqhathaniswa ne-CHF. Ngokuphambene, lapho iBhange Likazwelonke lase-Swiss linolaka kakhulu ngenqubomgomo yalo yezimali, ngokuvamile lenyusa i-CHF uma iqhathaniswa ne-USD.
Ngosuku olujwayelekile, ukunyakaza kwe-USD/CHF kungaba okungalindelekile futhi kusheshe, kukwenze kube inselele nethuba traders. Ukuqonda izimo zomnotho ezithonya kokubili i-USD ne-CHF, izenzo zamabhange awo amaphakathi, kanye nomuzwa wemakethe uwonke kubalulekile. Izinkomba zezomnotho ezethula umthelela omkhulu kulo mbhangqwana zihlanganisa izibalo zokuqashwa, ukwehla kwamandla emali aqondene amanani, ukukhula kwe-GDP, kanye nemicimbi ye-geopolitical.
In Forex ukuhweba, yokufunda indlela yokuzulazula ku- Ipheya yemali ye-USD/CHF ingavula inkundla yezimayini yamathuba. Ehlome ngokuqonda okuzwakalayo kokuguquguquka kwemakethe, a trader ingaqagela ngempumelelo indlela yayo yesikhathi esizayo futhi ngokunokwenzeka ithole inzuzo enkulu. Ngempela, azikho izinhlobo zemali ezimbili ezisebenza zodwa, futhi ukuqonda ukuxhumana kwazo kubalulekile kunoma ikuphi ukufisa Forex trader.
1.2. Izinto Zezomnotho Ezithonya I-USD/CHF
Izinto ezimbalwa zomnotho zifaka isandla kakhulu ekushintshashintsheni kokuhweba ngakubili kohlobo lwemali ye-USD/CHF. Izinqumo zamabhange amakhulu, njengezinguquko kumazinga enzalo noma izinqubomgomo zokunciphisa inani, zibalulekile. Lapho i- I-Federal Reserve e-US, ngokwesibonelo, inyusa izilinganiso zayo zenzalo, iqinisa inqubomgomo yezimali futhi iqinise i-USD, okuthinta isilinganiso se-USD/CHF.
Ukwengeza, izinkomba zezomnotho ezifana namazinga okukhula kwe-GDP, izilinganiso zokwehla kwamandla emali, nezibalo zemakethe yezabasebenzi (ukuqashwa, ukukhula kwamaholo, njll.) zihlale zinomthelela kumabhangqa e-USD/CHF. Isibonelo, ukukhula komnotho okuqinile kanye nokuntuleka kwemisebenzi okuphansi e-US ngokuvamile kungaholela ku-USD eqinile kanye nesilinganiso esiphezulu se-USD/CHF.
Ngenisa futhi uthumele idatha, ekhombisa i trade ukulingana phakathi kwezizwe, kungesinye isici esibalulekile somnotho. Uma kubhekwa ukuthi iSwitzerland ingumthengisi omkhulu emhlabeni jikelele, amandla ohlobo lwemali yayo avame ukuxhunyaniswa nayo trade ibhalansi. Ngakho-ke, izinombolo zokuthekelisa ezingcono kunobekulindelekile ezivela eSwitzerland zingaqinisa i-CHF, ngaleyo ndlela zibe nomthelela kwisilinganiso se-USD/CHF.
Izehlakalo ze-Geo-politiki nezinhlekelele shintsha ngokuphawulekayo ukunyakaza kwe-USD/CHF. Ezikhathini zokuntengantenga komhlaba wonke noma ukungaqiniseki, abatshalizimali bavamise ukubheka izimpahla 'zendawo ephephile', enye yazo okuyi-Swiss Franc ngenxa yedumela le-Switzerland lokusimama kwezepolitiki nezomnotho.
Okokugcina, ukuhweba okuqagelayo kanye nomuzwa wemakethe dlala indima ekuziphatheni kwe-USD/CHF. Izinguquko ethembeni abatshali-zimali noma ekungabini nathembayo zingadala ukuguquguquka kwentengo yesikhashana, kudale amathuba okuhweba angaba khona. Ngakho-ke, ngokuhlakanipha traders bahlale bebhekile lezi zici zezomnotho ukuze benze izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi ngempumelelo.
2. Ukuhweba nge-USD/CHF
Ukuzulazula emhlabeni we Forex kungaba uhambo oluyinkimbinkimbi, njengoba amanani okushintshanisa imali phakathi kwamapheya ezinhlobo zemali, njenge-USD/CHF, eshintshashintsha usuku lonke lokuhweba. Empeleni, i-USD imele I-United States Dollar ngenkathi i-CHF isho i- I-Swiss Franc.
Ipheya yemali ye-USD/CHF yaziwa nangokuthi 'i-Swissie'. Ukuhweba Swissie ihlukile uma iqhathaniswa namanye amapheya ngenxa yokuzinza kwezomnotho nepolitiki yase-Switzerland, okwenza i-Swiss Franc ibe yimali 'yendawo ephephile'. Kubalulekile ukuqaphela umthelela weBhange Likazwelonke lase-Swiss (i-SNB) kupheya ye-USD/CHF, njengoba inqubomgomo yezimali ye-SNB ithinta kakhulu inani le-Swiss Franc.
ukuhlaziywa Technical kuyisici esibalulekile ekuhwebeni kwe-USD/CHF ipheya. Traders kufanele inake amaphethini amanani kanye nezinkomba zobuchwepheshe ezifana ukuhamba ngamaphesenti, Isihlobo Amandla Inkomba (RSI), Futhi I-Fibonacci amazinga okubuyisela emuva. Le datha ingasiza ekubikezeleni ukunyakaza kwentengo okungaba khona kokubhanqwa kwe-USD/CHF.
Impilo yezomnotho yase-US nase-Switzerland inomthelela omkhulu kumabhangqa e-USD/CHF. Ngakho ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo kubalulekile, okuhlanganisa ukutolika imibiko yezomnotho, imicimbi yezwe, nezinqubomgomo zezimali zamazwe afanele. Isibonelo, izinqumo zenani lenzalo ze-US Federal Reserve kanye ne-SNB zingabangela ukushintshashintsha okukhulu kokubhanqwa kwe-USD/CHF.
Ngaphezu kwe ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe nokuyisisekelo, amasu okulawula ubungozi abalulekile uma uhweba ipheya ye-USD/CHF. Ukusebenzisa yeka imiyalo yokulahlekelwa, izilinganiso zokulinganisa, kanye nokubeka engcupheni iphesenti elincane lemali yokuhweba yomuntu kuyizinqubo ezilulekwayo ku ukulawulwa kwezinhlekelele.
Ukuhweba nge-USD/CHF kunganikeza amathuba ahlukahlukene e-savvy traders, uma kubhekwa izici zayo eziyingqayizivele namandla okuguquguquka. Ngokugcina lezi zimiso, traders ingasebenzisa amandla e-Swissie, kuyilapho igcina izinga elifanele lengozi.
2.1. Ukuhlaziywa Kwezobuchwepheshe kwe-USD/CHF Trading
Ngokuqinisekile, Ukuhlaziya Technical kuyisici esibalulekile sokuhweba nge-USD/CHF. Le nqubo ihlanganisa ukutadisha amashadi nedatha yezibalo ukubikezela ukunyakaza okungaba khona ku- forex imakethe. Phakathi kwezinkomba ezibalulekile ze-USD/CHF ukuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe kukhona ukuhamba ngamaphesenti. Benza kahle idatha yentengo esikhathini esithile futhi bangasiza traders ukukhomba izinkomba zethrendi ebalulekile.
Ukuqonda okujulile kwe imigqa yesitayela futhi kunomthelela ekwenzeni izinqumo zokuhweba zamasu. Le migqa igqamisa ukunyakaza okujwayelekile kwepheya lohlobo lwemali ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, okungase kubonise amathrendi emakethe ye-bullish (phezulu) noma ye-bearish (ephansi). Ukuzibheka kunganikeza isithombe esibonakalayo sesimo sezulu esingaba khona sokuhweba.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ama-oscillators futhi izinkomba zokukhula, njenge-Relative Strength Index (RSI) kanye ne- Ukuhambisa Isilinganiso Sokwehluka Okuphakathi (MACD), angamathuluzi ayigugu. Lezi zinkomba zingaphakamisa ukuthi ingabe ipheya ye-USD/CHF 'ithengiwe ngokweqile' noma 'idayiswe kakhulu.' Ikakhulukazi, imininingwane enjalo ingabaluleka uma imakethe ibonakala ifinyelela phezulu noma phansi, ngaleyo ndlela ibonise ukuhlehla okuzayo.
Okokugcina, izinkomba zevolumu zifana Ivolumu Yebhalansi (OBV) kungaba isikhangisovantagewethu. Babonisa ubudlelwano phakathi kwentengo kanye nenani le trades ezenziwe, enikeza ukuqonda emandleni ngemuva kokunyakaza kwentengo. Ukuqonda ngokugcwele lezi zici ezihlukahlukene zokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe kungathuthukisa kakhulu amasu okuhweba e-USD/CHF.
2.2. Ukuhlaziywa Okuyisisekelo kwe-USD/CHF Trading
Ekuqondeni ukunyakaza okuguquguqukayo kwe-USD/CHF forex ngababili, traders kufanele ibeke phambili ikhono lokwenza a ukuhlaziya okuyisisekelo. Lokhu kuhlanganisa izici ezibalulekile njengezinkomba zezomnotho, indawo yezepolitiki, nedatha yokusebenza kwe-United States ne-Switzerland. Izinkomba ezibalulekile okufanele zibhekwe zizobandakanya i-GDP, amanani okuqashwa, ukwehla kwamandla emali, kanye nenzalo.
Ukuhweba ipheya ye-USD/CHF kudinga ukuqwashisa ngokujulile isimo sezulu se-macroeconomic kuwo womabili amazwe. Isibonelo, ukunyuka kwezilinganiso zenzalo yase-United States ngokuvamile kuholela ekwenyukeni kwe-USD/CHF ipheya ngenxa yokungena kokutshalwa kwezimali kudola, okubonisa inani layo uma liqhathaniswa ne-Swiss Franc.
Ngokuphambene, ukuzinza noma amandla emnothweni waseSwitzerland ngokuvamile kungaholela ekwehleni kwepheya ye-USD/CHF. Ukuqaphela lesi sici kubalulekile, ikakhulukazi uma kucatshangelwa ukuma okubalulekile kweSwitzerland emhlabeni jikelele njengesizinda samabhange esikhulu.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukuqapha izimo zomnotho zomhlaba ingabaluleka kakhulu njengoba kokubili i-USD ne-CHF zingasebenza njengezimali eziphephile ngezikhathi zokungaqiniseki kwezomnotho. Kodwa-ke, i-CHF ivamise ukukhombisa amandla engeziwe mayelana nalokhu, okungaholela ekwehleni kwepheya ye-USD/CHF phakathi nezinxushunxushu zezimakethe zomhlaba.
Ukuhlaziywa kwezimakethe angasekela ngokuqhubekayo a trader ukuhlaziya okuyisisekelo kwalokhu kubhanqwa. Le ndlela ibandakanya ukuhlola ukuhlobana nezinye izimakethe zezimali. Ngokwesibonelo, igolide amanani avame ukuhamba ngokuphambene ukuya ku-USD; ngakho-ke, ukukhuphuka kwezintengo zegolide kungasho ubuthakathaka ku-USD futhi kamuva kubangele ukwehla kwepheya ye-USD/CHF.
Ukuthuthukiswa kancane kancane kokuqonda okuphelele kokuthi lezi zici zinethonya kanjani i-USD/CHF ipheya kungathuthukisa kakhulu trader ukulawula kanye nokusabela ezinguqukweni zemakethe. Ngokwemvelo, ukuzuza izinga eligcwele lalolu lwazi kudinga isikhathi nokufunda okuqhubekayo, kodwa umzamo otshaliwe ekugcineni ungaholela empumelelweni yokuhweba eyengeziwe.
2.3. Izindlela Zokulawula Ubungozi ekuhwebeni kwe-USD/CHF
Ukuze uqale uhambo lokuhweba oluyimpumelelo nge-USD/CHF, noma “i-Swissy” njengoba ivame ukubizwa kanjalo, ukuqonda amasu afanele okulawula ubungozi kubalulekile. Ukuthola inzuzo kulokhu okuguquguqukayo forex imakethe idinga iso elibukhali, amakhono abukhali, futhi, okubaluleke kakhulu, amasu aqinisekisiwe okunciphisa ukuchayeka ekulahlekeni okungenzeka.
Umkhawulo Wengozi yenza uhlaka lokuqala lwesu elinamandla lokulawula ubungozi. Traders akumele neze engozini engaphezu kwephesenti elincane lemali yazo iyonke kokukodwa trade. Inethi yokuphepha ezenzakalelayo ivamise ukuba phakathi kuka-1% kuya ku-2%. trade.
Misa Ama-oda Wokulahlekelwa ziwusizo ekunciphiseni ukulahlekelwa okungaba khona ekuhwebeni kwe-USD/CHF. Ngokusetha indawo ethile lapho kuzothengiswa khona uhlobo lwemali uma luphikisana ne-a trader's ukubikezela, ukulahlekelwa okungalindelekile kubuyiselwa kukho. Kubalulekile ukubeka la ma-oda ngendlela ehlelekile hhayi ngokusekelwe ekucabangeni, kodwa ekusebenzeni okudlule kanye nokuntengantenga kokubili.
Usayizi Wesikhundla kungenye indlela ekhuthaza kakhulu inqubo yokulawula ubungozi. Traders kufanele inqume usayizi olungile we-a trade ngokubala izinga lengozi kanye nosayizi we-stop loss order.
Ngaphezu kwalezi amasu, usebenzisa diversification njengendlela yokusabalalisa ubungozi kungaba nenzuzo enkulu. Ngenkathi abanye traders ingase ifune ingcebo ngokugxilisa ingqondo, isizini tradeI-rs ivame ukuncoma iphothifoliyo yokuhweba ehlukahlukene ukugwema ukulahlekelwa okukhulu. Ngakho-ke, kuwukuhlakanipha ukunganciki kuphela ku-USD/CHF, kodwa ukwehluka phakathi kwamapheya emali kanye nemikhakha yemakethe.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, eziningi traders ukusebenzisa Amasu okuHedging, ngokuyisisekelo efana nezinqubomgomo zomshwalense, ukuqapha ukunyakaza kwamanani okulimazayo nokuqinisekisa ibhalansi kuphothifoliyo. Ngokuvamile zibandakanya ukwenza trades ezothola inzuzo uma iprimary trade ayihambi kahle.
Isikhathi sangempela Ukuhlaziya Market, kokubili ezobuchwepheshe neziyisisekelo, izinsiza ekwenzeni izinqumo ezinolwazi. Ukuqonda izinqumo zenani lenzalo, ukukhishwa kwedatha yezomnotho, ukungezwani kwezwe kanye nezinye izindaba ezithinta imakethe kunganikeza traders unqenqema lokulindela ukunyakaza okubhangqiwe kohlobo lwemali.
Ukwazi lezi zindlela zokulawula ubungozi kunganikeza traders ngesisekelo esiqinile esidingekayo ekuhwebeni okuphumelelayo kwe-USD/CHF. Ukwamukela lawa mathuluzi namasu kunganciphisa izingozi ezingaba khona, kwandise amathuba empumelelo, futhi kulethe ukusebenza kokuhweba okungaguquki emhlabeni oguquguqukayo forex.
