1. Ukuqonda I-Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Exponential Ukuhambisa esijwayelekile (EMA) iyithuluzi elinamandla ezandleni zesazi trader, ekwazi ukukhanyisa amathrendi emakethe angaba khona ngezinga elithile lokunemba elingase libonakale lingaqondakali. Ngokungafani ne Isilinganiso Esijwayelekile sokuhambisa (SMA), enikeza isisindo esilinganayo kuwo wonke amaphuzu wedatha, i-EMA inikeza ukubaluleka okwengeziwe kudatha yakamuva. Lona umehluko obalulekile, njengoba uvumela i-EMA ukuthi isabele ngokushesha ekushintsheni kwentengo, iyenze ibe intandokazi phakathi traders ibheke ukwenza imali emakethe yesikhathi esifushane.
Ukuze ubale i-EMA, traders sebenzisa ifomula ehlanganisa a isici esibushelelezi. Lesi sici sisuselwa esikhathini se-EMA. Isibonelo, i-EMA yezinsuku eziyi-10 ingaba nesici esishelelayo esingu-2/(10+1) = 0.1818. Lesi sici sibe sesisetshenziswa enanini lakamuva, i-EMA yosuku lwangaphambilini isetshenziswe njengendawo yokuqala. Ifomula imi kanje: EMA = (Intengo yokuvala – EMA(usuku oludlule)) x isiphindisi + EMA(usuku oludlule).
Kodwa kusho ukuthini lokhu ngokwemibandela engokoqobo? Empeleni, kusho ukuthi i-EMA ingahlinzeka traders nge isifinyezo sesikhathi sangempela yezitayela zemakethe. Lapho i-EMA ikhuphuka, ikhombisa ukukhuphuka okungaba khona, iphakamisa ukuthi kungaba yisikhathi esihle sokuthenga. Ngokuphambene, i-EMA ewayo ingase ibonise ukwehla, okusho ukuthi ukuthengisa kungase kube inketho engcono.
Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi, njengawo wonke amathuluzi okuhweba, i-EMA ayinaphutha. Kuwucezu olulodwa nje lwendida, futhi ukuhweba okuphumelelayo kudinga indlela ephelele ecabangela izici ezihlukahlukene. Noma kunjalo, uma isetshenziswe ngendlela efanele, i-EMA ingaba umbimbi onamandla ekufuneni impumelelo yokuhweba.
1.1. Incazelo ye-EMA
Enhliziyweni yanoma yiliphi isu lokuhweba eliyimpumelelo kukhona ukuqonda kwezinkomba ezibalulekile zobuchwepheshe, kanye ne Isilinganiso sokuhamba esivela ku-Exponential (EMA) imi njengenye yezinto ezibaluleke kakhulu. I-EMA, uhlobo lwesilinganiso esinyakazayo, inika isisindo esikhulu nokubaluleka kumaphoyinti edatha akamuva kakhulu. Ngokungafani ne-Simple Moving Average (SMA) enikeza isisindo esilinganayo kuwo wonke amaphuzu edatha, isistimu yokukala eyingqayizivele ye-EMA ivumela ukuthi sisabele ngokushesha ekushintsheni kwentengo.
Ukubala kwe-EMA kuyisinyathelo esinezinyathelo ezimbili. Ekuqaleni, i-SMA ibalelwa isikhathi esithile. Ngemva kwalokhu, isiphindaphinda sibalelwa isici sokushelela kwe-EMA, esibese sisetshenziswa kudatha yentengo. Ifomula ye-EMA ithi: I-EMA = (Vala - I-EMA Yosuku Oludlule) * isiphindaphindi + I-EMA yosuku lwangaphambilini. Lapha, 'Vala' inani lokuvala losuku, futhi 'isiphindaphinda' sibalwa ngokusekelwe enanini lezikhathi ezikhethelwe i-EMA.
Ukuzwela kwe-EMA ekuguquguqukeni kwentengo kwakamuva kuyenza ibe ithuluzi elibalulekile traders ngifuna ukuhlonza izitayela zemakethe. Ngokusheshisa idatha yentengo nokuvumela abasebenzisi ukuthi bakhombe amathrendi ngezikhathi ezithile, i-EMA isebenza njengekhampasi ethembekile olwandle oluguquguqukayo lokuhweba. Noma ngabe uwusuku trader ngifuna ukwenza imali ngomnyakazo wamanani wesikhathi esifushane noma umtshali-zimali wesikhathi eside ofuna ukuqonda amathrendi ezimakethe ezibanzi, Isilinganiso sokuhamba esiphezulu se-Exponential iyisengezo esibalulekile kuwe analysis technical ikhithi yamathuluzi.
1.2. Ukubaluleka kwe-EMA ekuhwebeni
Isilinganiso sokuhamba esivela ku-Exponential (EMA) iyithuluzi elibalulekile ukuthi cha tradengingakwazi ukunganaki. Umdlali obalulekile emhlabeni wokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe, i-EMA ihlinzeka traders enekhono lokuhlonza izitayela zemakethe ngendlela esabelayo uma iqhathaniswa nomzala wayo, i-Simple Moving Average (SMA).
I-EMA i isilinganiso esilinganiselwe lokho kunikeza ukubaluleka okwengeziwe kudatha yentengo yakamuva. Lokhu kusho ukuthi isabela ngokushesha kakhulu ezinguqukweni zentengo zakamuva, iyenze ibe ithuluzi elifanelekile tradeabadinga ukuthatha izinqumo ezisheshayo nezinolwazi. Ukuzwela kwe-EMA ekuguquguqukeni kwentengo kungaba inkemba esika nhlangothi zombili, enikeza womabili amathuba enzuzo ephezulu kanye nezingozi zokulahlekelwa okukhulu.
Ukuqonda i-EMA akukhona nje ukwazi ukuthi isebenza kanjani, kodwa futhi nokuqonda kwayo izicelo ezingokoqobo emhlabeni wokuhweba. Traders basebenzisa i-EMA ukukhiqiza amasiginali okuhweba, ngokuwela kwama-EMA amabili ngokuvamile asebenza njengophawu lokuthenga noma lokuthengisa. Isibonelo, lapho i-EMA yesikhathi esifushane iwela ngaphezu kwe-EMA yesikhathi eside, ikhombisa ukuthambekela kwe-bullish, okubonisa ukuthi kungaba isikhathi esihle sokuthenga. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, uma i-EMA yesikhathi esifushane iwela ngaphansi kwe-EMA yesikhathi eside, ikhombisa ukuthambekela kwe-bearish, okuphakamisa ukuthi kungaba yisikhathi esihle sokuthengisa.
I-EMA iphinde isetshenziswe ngokuhambisana namanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukuthambekela kwemakethe futhi kukhiqize amasiginali okuhweba athembekile. Ngokwesibonelo, traders ngokuvamile basebenzisa i-EMA ne Isihlobo Amandla Inkomba (RSI) ukuhlonza izimo ezithengwe ngokweqile noma ezidayiswe kakhulu emakethe.
Ezweni eliguquguqukayo lokuhweba, i Isilinganiso sokuhamba esiphezulu se-Exponential liyisibani sokukhanya, esiqondisayo traders emanzini adungekile ezimakethe. Akulona nje ithuluzi, kodwa isikhali esinamandla a trader's arsenal, ibasiza ukuthi bazulazule emakethe ngokuzethemba nangokunemba. I-EMA, ngokugcizelela kwayo idatha yentengo yakamuva, iyaqinisekisa tradeama-rs ahlale eyisinyathelo esisodwa phambili, elungele ukusebenzisa amathuba njengoba evela.
1.3. Ukubalwa kwe-EMA
Ukujula emhlabeni wokuhweba, ake siveze ubunkimbinkimbi be Isilinganiso sokuhamba esivela ku-Exponential (EMA). Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi ukungazami yemakethe, i-EMA imele isibani se traders, ebaqondisa emagagasini axokozelayo we Amasheya kanye nezibambiso. Kodwa i-EMA ibalwa kanjani? Iyiphi ifomula yomlingo eyenza kube inkomba ethembeke kangaka?
Ukubalwa kwe-EMA kuyinqubo enezinyathelo ezimbili. Okokuqala, i Isilinganiso Sokuqala Esihambayo Esilula (SMA) ibalwa ngokuhlanganisa ndawonye izintengo zokuvala zesibambiso zenani elithile lezikhathi bese ihlukanisa leli nani ngalelo nani lezikhathi. Lokhu kusinika intengo emaphakathi yesivikelo phakathi nenkathi yesikhathi.
Uma sesinayo i-SMA, singaqhubekela esinyathelweni sesibili: ukubala i- Okuphindaphindayo. Lesi siphindaphinda sibalulekile ekunqumeni isisindo sedatha yentengo yakamuva. Ifomula yesiphindaphinda ithi [2 / (isikhathi esikhethiwe + 1)]. Isibonelo, uma sikhetha i-EMA yezinsuku eziyi-10, ifomula iba [2 / (10 + 1)] elingana cishe no-0.1818.
Manje sesilungele ukubala i-EMA. Ifomula ye-EMA ithi [(Vala - i-EMA yangaphambilini) * isiphindaphindi + i-EMA yangaphambilini]. 'Vala' isho inani lokuvala lesibambiso sosuku. Ngokuxhuma amanani kule fomula, sithola i-EMA yosuku.
Khumbula, i-EMA izwela kakhulu ezinguqukweni zakamuva zentengo uma iqhathaniswa ne-Simple Moving Average. Lokhu kusho ukuthi iyinkomba esheshayo, ehlinzeka ngezimpawu zokuhweba ngaphambi kwalezo ezisayinwe yi-SMA. Kodwa-ke, lokhu futhi kusho ukuthi i-EMA ingaba nezimo ezishintshashintshayo, futhi ingase inikeze amasignali amanga amaningi.
Ukuqonda ukubalwa kwe-EMA kubalulekile kunoma yikuphi trader. Akukhona nje ngokwazi ifomula, kodwa ukuqonda umqondo ongemuva kwayo. Ngamandla e-EMA, ungazulazula ezimakethe zezimali ngokuzethemba okwengeziwe nangokunemba okwengeziwe. Ukuhweba okujabulisayo!
2. Ukusebenzisa i-EMA kumasu okuhweba
Isilinganiso sokuhamba esivela ku-Exponential (EMA) iyithuluzi elinemisebenzi eminingi elingasetshenziswa ngezindlela ezihlukahlukene amasu ukuhweba. Inikeza ukukala okuphezulu ezintengo zakamuva, okuyenza iphendule kangcono esenzweni samanani uma iqhathaniswa nomzala wayo, i-Simple Moving Average (SMA). Njenge trader, lokhu kuphendula kungaba isiguquli segeyimu.
Elinye isu elidumile elisebenzisa i-EMA yi I-EMA Crossover. Kuleli su, ama-EMA amabili anezikhathi ezihlukene (esifushane nesinye eside) ahlelwe eshadini lentengo. Lapho i-EMA emfushane iwela ngaphezu kwe-EMA ende, ikhombisa ukuthambekela okukhuphukayo okungaba khona, futhi kungase kube isikhathi esihle sokuthenga. Ngokuphambene, lapho i-EMA emfushane iwela ngaphansi kwe-EMA ende, ikhombisa ukuthambekela okungenzeka kokwehla, futhi kungase kube isikhathi esihle sokuthengisa.
Elinye isu yi- Ama-EMA amathathu isu. Lokhu kuhlanganisa ukusebenzisa ama-EMA amathathu anezikhathi ezihlukene (ezifushane, eziphakathi, nezinde). Izimpambano zalawa ma-EMA amathathu zinganikeza amasiginali ahlukahlukene. Isibonelo, uma i-EMA emfushane inqamula ngaphezu kwama-EMA amaphakathi namade, ikhombisa ukuthambekela okuqinile okukhuphukayo. Uma i-EMA emfushane iwela ngezansi kokubili kwama-EMA amaphakathi namade, ikhombisa ukuthambekela okuqinile kokwehla.
Kodwa khumbula, alikho isu elingenangqondo. Kubalulekile ukusebenzisa ezinye izindlela zokuhlaziya (njenge ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo noma ezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe) ukuze kuqinisekiswe amasiginali anikezwe i-EMA. Ngaphezu kwalokho, kubalulekile ukuba nokuqina ingozi uhlelo lokuphatha lukhona. Ngokuhlela nokubulala ngokucophelela, i-EMA ingaba yisikhali esinamandla ku- trader's arsenal.
I-EMA Pullback elinye isu ukuthi traders ngokuvamile ukusebenzisa. Kuleli qhinga, traders ibheka ukudonsela emuva (ukuguqulwa kwesikhashana kwethrendi ekhona) kumugqa we-EMA njengendawo yokungena engaba khona. Leli su lisebenza kusisekelo sokuthi intengo izovame ukubuyela ku-EMA ngaphambi kokuqalisa kabusha ithrendi yokuqala.
Okokugcina, i-EMA ingasetshenziswa futhi ngokubambisana nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe ukuze uthole isu lokuhweba eliphelele. Ngokwesibonelo, traders angasebenzisa i-EMA ngokuhambisana ne-Relative Strength Index (RSI) ukuze ahlonze izimo ezingase zithengwe ngokweqile noma ezidayiswe kakhulu. Lapho i-EMA ikhombisa ukukhuphuka kanye ne-RSI ingaphansi kwama-30 (okukhombisa izimo ezidayiswe ngokweqile), kungaba isignali yokuthenga okungenzeka. Ngokuphambene, lapho i-EMA ikhombisa i-downtrend futhi i-RSI ingaphezulu kwe-70 (ekhombisa izimo ezithengiwe ngokweqile), ingaba isignali yokuthengisa engase ibe khona.
Ekugcineni, indlela osebenzisa ngayo i-EMA izoncika kwisitayela sakho sokuhweba nokubekezelela ubungozi. Kepha ngokusabela kwayo esenzweni samanani kanye nokuguquguquka kwamasu ahlukahlukene, i-EMA ingaba ithuluzi elibalulekile kukhithi yakho yamathuluzi yokuhweba.
2.1. Ukuhlonza Amathrendi Emakethe nge-EMA
Isilinganiso sokuhamba esivela ku-Exponential (EMA) iyithuluzi lokuhweba elinamandla elivumela traders ukuhlonza izitayela zemakethe ngokunemba. Ngokungafani ne-Simple Moving Average (SMA), enikeza isisindo esilinganayo kuwo wonke amaphuzu wedatha, i-EMA inikeza ukubaluleka okwengeziwe kudatha yakamuva. Lokhu kuyenza inkomba esabela kakhulu ezinguqukweni zakamuva zentengo, ukuhlinzeka traders ngokuboniswa kwesikhathi sangempela kwamathrendi emakethe.
Cabangela isimo semakethe lapho izintengo bezilokhu zikhuphuka njalo. Uma uhlela umugqa we-EMA eshadini lakho lokuhweba, uzolandela eduze umugqa wamanani. Njengoba amanani enyuka, umugqa we-EMA nawo uyakhuphuka. Kodwa nakhu okubanjwayo - ulayini we-EMA ubambezeleke kancane, usala ngemuva komugqa wentengo. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi a okulandela umkhuba, noma ukusalela, inkomba. Yilokhu kubambezeleka okwenza i-EMA ibe ithuluzi elinamandla lokuhlonza izitayela zemakethe.
Uma umugqa wentengo uwela ngaphezu komugqa we-EMA, ubonisa ithrendi engase ibe phezulu. Lokhu yi i-bullish crossover futhi kungaba yisikhathi esihle sokucabanga ukuthenga. Ngokuphambene, lapho ulayini wentengo weqa ngaphansi komugqa we-EMA, ubonisa inkambiso engase yehle. Lokhu yi I-bearish crossover, okuphakamisa ukuthi kungase kube yisikhathi sokuthengisa.
Kodwa khumbula, i-EMA iwucezu olulodwa nje lwendida. Kufanele ngaso sonke isikhathi uqinise amasiginali we-EMA nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe noma izindaba zemakethe ukuze wenze izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi. Futhi, ukusebenza kahle kwe-EMA kungase kuhluke kuye ngohlaka lwesikhathi ohweba ngalo. Ngokuhweba kwesikhashana, isikhathi esifushane se-EMA (njenge-EMA yezinsuku eziyi-10) singase sisebenze kangcono. Ngokuhweba kwesikhathi eside, isikhathi eside se-EMA (njenge-EMA yezinsuku ezingama-200) singase sifaneleke kakhulu.
Ukuqonda ama-nuances we-EMA kungakunikeza unqenqema olubalulekile emakethe. Kungakusiza ukuthi ubone amathuba okuhweba angaba khona, ulawule ubungozi bakho, futhi ekugcineni, wenze izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi. Ngakho-ke, noma ngabe uyisidala trader noma uqala nje, ukwazi i-EMA kungaba isishintshile segeyimu yesu lakho lokuhweba.
2.2. I-EMA njengeNkomba Yokusekela Nokumelana
The Isilinganiso sokuhamba esivela ku-Exponential (EMA) akulona nje ithuluzi lokuhlonza izitayela; iphinde isebenze njengomugqa oguquguqukayo wokusekela nokumelana. Lokhu kusebenza okumbaxambili kuyenza ibe ithuluzi eliguquguqukayo ku- trader's toolkit. Uma intengo yempahla ingaphezu komugqa we-EMA, i-EMA isebenza njengeleveli yosekelo. Lokhu kusho ukuthi intengo maningi amathuba okuthi igxume isuke kulayini we-EMA kunokuba idabule kuwo. TradeI-rs ingasebenzisa lokhu njengophawu lokuthenga, ibhange ngentengo ukuze iqhubeke nokukhuphuka kwayo.
Ngokuphambene, lapho intengo yempahla ingaphansi komugqa we-EMA, i-EMA isebenza njengezinga lokumelana. Lapha, intengo maningi amathuba okuthi iphinde iphume emugqeni we-EMA kunokuba idabule kuwo. Lokhu kungaba isignali yokuthengisa, njengoba intengo ingase iqhubeke nokwehla.
Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi nakuba i-EMA ingasebenza njengenkomba yokusekela nokumelana, ayinaphutha. Kuzoba nezimo lapho intengo inqamula kulayini we-EMA. Kungakho traders kufanele njalo asebenzise i-EMA ngokuhlanganyela nezinye izinkomba zokuhweba futhi anganciki kuyo kuphela.
Amaphuzu abalulekile okufanele uwakhumbule:
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- Uma intengo ingaphezu komugqa we-EMA, i-EMA isebenza njengezinga lokusekela.
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- Uma intengo ingaphansi komugqa we-EMA, i-EMA isebenza njengezinga lokumelana.
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- I-EMA ayinaphutha futhi kufanele isetshenziswe ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba zokuhweba.
2.3. Ukuhlanganisa i-EMA Nezinye Izinkomba Zobuchwepheshe
Isilinganiso sokuhamba esivela ku-Exponential (EMA) iyithuluzi elinamandla elingathuthukisa kakhulu amasu akho okuhweba uma lihlanganiswa nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe. Enye yezindlela eziphumelela kakhulu zokusebenzisa i-EMA iwukubhanqa nayo I-Relative Strength Index (RSI). Le nhlanganisela inganikeza isithombe esiphelele sokuziphatha kwemakethe.
I-RSI ikala isivinini noshintsho lokunyakaza kwentengo, ngokuvamile esikalini esisuka ku-0 siye ku-100. Uma i-RSI ingaphezu kuka-70, ikhombisa ukuthi isibambiso singathengwa kakhulu, okuphakamisa ukwehla kwentengo okungaba khona. Ngokuphambene, i-RSI engaphansi kuka-30 ikhombisa isimo esidayiswe ngokweqile, okusho ukuthi kungenzeka ukwenyuka kwentengo. Ngokuhlanganisa lezi zimpawu ze-RSI nge-EMA yakho, ungakwazi ukuhlonza okungase kube ukuthenga futhi udayise amaphuzu ngokunembe kakhudlwana.
Okunye ukubhanqa okunamandla yi-EMA nge I-Bollinger bands. Amabhendi e-Bollinger ahlanganisa ibhendi ephakathi nendawo (okuyi-EMA), namabhendi amabili angaphandle angukuchezuka okujwayelekile kude nebhendi ephakathi. Uma intengo ithinta ibhande eliphezulu, ingase ibonise isimo esithengiwe ngokweqile, futhi lapho ithinta ibhande eliphansi, ingase ibonise isimo esidayiswe ngokweqile. Ukuhlanganisa lokhu ne-EMA kungasiza traders ukukhomba ukuguqulwa kwentengo okungaba khona.
Okokugcina, i-EMA ingasetshenziswa ngokubambisana nayo MACD (Ukuhambisa Isilinganiso Sokwehluka Okuphakathi). I-MACD iwumkhuba olandelayo inkomba yomfutho okubonisa ubudlelwano phakathi kwezilinganiso ezimbili ezihambayo zenani lesibambiso. Lapho i-MACD iwela ngaphezu komugqa wesiginali, ikhiqiza isiginali ye-bullish, ekhombisa ukuthi kungaba yisikhathi sokuthenga. Ngokuphambene, lapho iwela ngaphansi komugqa wesignali, inikeza isignali ye-bearish, okungase kube yisikhathi esihle sokuthengisa. Ngokusebenzisa i-EMA ne-MACD, traders angathola ukuqonda kangcono umfutho wemakethe kanye nezitayela zamanani.
Empeleni, ukuhlanganisa i-EMA nalezi ezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe kunganikeza isithombe esiphelele nesinembile semakethe, kusize. traders ukwenza izinqumo ezinolwazi. Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi ayikho indlela eyodwa eqinisekisa impumelelo, futhi la mathuluzi kufanele asetshenziswe njengengxenye yesu elibanzi, elihlanganiswe kahle lokuhweba.
3. Amathiphu Okuhweba Nge-EMA Nemikhuba Emihle Kakhulu
1. Qala ngesisekelo esiqinile: Ngaphambi kokuthi ungene emhlabeni wokuhweba kwe-EMA, kubalulekile ukuthi ube nokuqonda okuqinile kwezisekelo. Lokhu kuhlanganisa ukuqonda ukuthi i-EMA ibalwa kanjani, ihluke kanjani kusilinganiso esihambayo esilula (i-SMA), nokuthi isetshenziswa kanjani ekuhwebeni. Ulwazi lungamandla, futhi lapho uqonda okwengeziwe nge-EMA, uzokuhlomela kangcono ukulisebenzisa ngempumelelo kumasu akho okuhweba.
2. Sebenzisa i-EMA ngokuhlanganyela nezinye izinkomba: Ngenkathi i-EMA ingaba yithuluzi elinamandla kunqolobane yakho yokuhweba, akufanele kube yiyo yodwa. Ukuhlanganisa i-EMA nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe ezifana ne-Relative Strength Index (RSI), i-Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), noma i-Bollinger Bands inganikeza isithombe esiphelele semakethe futhi ikusize wenze izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi.
3. Yiba nesineke futhi uqondise: Ukuhweba kwe-EMA akukhona ukwenza imali esheshayo. Kudinga isineke nesiyalo. Udinga ukulinda amasignali alungile ngaphambi kokufaka a trade, futhi uma usungenile, udinga ukunamathela kweyakho uhlelo lokuhweba. Izinqumo ezisheshayo zingaholela ekulahlekelweni okungadingekile.
4. Prakthiza ukulawula ubungozi: Noma ngabe uqiniseka kangakanani ngesu lakho lokuhweba le-EMA, kuhlala kunengozi ekuhwebeni. Kubalulekile ukuthi ube nesu eliqinile lokulawula ubungozi. Lokhu kungase kuhlanganise ukusetha ukuyeka-ukulahlekelwa ama-oda, ahlukanise iphothifoliyo yakho, futhi ubeke engcupheni iphesenti elincane lemali yakho yokuhweba kunoma iyiphi eyodwa trade.
5. Gcina yokufunda nokuzivumelanisa nezimo: Izimakethe zezimali zihlala zishintsha, futhi ukuze uhlale uye phambili, udinga ukuqhubeka ufunda nokuzivumelanisa nezimo. Lokhu kuhlanganisa ukuhambisana nezindaba zemakethe, ukufunda okusha amasu okuhweba nezinkomba, futhi uqhubeke ucwenga isu lakho lokuhweba le-EMA ngokusekelwe kokuhlangenwe nakho kwakho nezimo zemakethe ezishintshayo. Khumbula, ukuhweba kuwuhambo, hhayi indawo.
3.1. Ukukhetha Isikhathi Esilungile se-EMA
Isilinganiso sokuhamba esivela ku-Exponential (EMA) iyithuluzi elisebenza ngezindlela eziningi emhlabeni wokuhweba, kodwa ukusebenza kwayo kuthonywa kakhulu ukukhethwa kwesikhathi esifanele. Isikhathi se-EMA osikhethayo singenza umehluko phakathi kokwenza inzuzo nokulahlekelwa ukulahlekelwa.
Umlingo we-EMA usemandleni ayo okunikeza isisindo esengeziwe kumanani wakamuva. Lokhu kuyenza iphendule kakhulu ezinguqukweni zentengo zakamuva. Nokho, ukuphendula kwe-EMA kuxhumene ngqo nesikhathi osikhethayo. Isikhathi esifushane sizokwenza i-EMA iphendule, kuyilapho isikhathi eside sizokwenza ingabi njalo.
Izikhathi ezimfushane ze-EMA ngokuvamile akhethwa ngu traders abafisa ukuzibandakanya ekuhwebeni kwesikhashana. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi isikhathi esifushane se-EMA sizosabela ngokushesha ezinguqukweni zentengo, ukuhlinzeka traders ngethuba lokusebenzisa umnyakazo wamanani wesikhathi esifushane. Kodwa-ke, okubi ekusebenziseni isikhathi esifushane se-EMA ukuthi kungase kukhiqize izimpawu eziningi ezingamanga, njengoba kuzwela kakhulu ekuguquguqukeni okuncane kwentengo.
Ngokolunye uhlangothi, izikhathi ezinde ze-EMA zithandwa ngu traders abanesu lokuhweba lesikhathi eside. Isikhathi eside se-EMA ngeke sisabele ekuguquguqukeni okuncane kwentengo, ngaleyo ndlela sinciphise ubungozi bezimpawu ezingamanga. Nokho, i trade-ukuvala ukuthi isikhathi eside se-EMA singase siphuze ukusabela ezinguqukweni zentengo ezibalulekile, ezingase zidale traders ukuphuthelwa amathuba anenzuzo.
Isihluthulelo sokukhetha isikhathi esifanele se-EMA silele ekuqondeni isu lakho lokuhweba nokubekezelela ubungozi. Uma ungumuntu wesikhashana trader onethezeke ngezinga eliphezulu lengozi, isikhathi esifushane se-EMA singase sifaneleke. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, uma unesikhathi eside trader okhetha ukunciphisa ubungozi, isikhathi eside se-EMA singaba sifaneleka kakhulu.
Khumbula, ayikho indlela yokulinganisa eyodwa yokukhetha isikhathi esifanele se-EMA. Konke kumayelana nokuthola ibhalansi esebenza kangcono ngesitayela sakho esithile sokuhweba nezinjongo. Linga ngezikhathi ezihlukene ze-EMA, bheka imiphumela yazo, futhi ulungise ngokufanele. Ngokuhlangenwe nakho nokuqaphela ngokucophelela, uzokwazi ukukhetha isikhathi se-EMA esithuthukisa kangcono isu lakho lokuhweba.
3.2. Ukusebenzisa Imigqa Eminingi Ye-EMA
Ukuze traders efuna ukuthola umkhawulo emakethe, ukusebenzisa imigqa eminingi ye-EMA kungaba yithuluzi elinamandla. Izilinganiso Zokuhambisa Ezihambisayo (i-EMA) ziwuhlobo lwesilinganiso esinyakazayo esibeka isisindo esiningi kumaphoyinti edatha yakamuva, okuwenza asebenziseke kakhulu ekuhlonzeni amathrendi akamuva emakethe.
Uma usebenzisa imigqa eminingi ye-EMA, traders ngokuvamile ukubheka ama-crossovers njengezimpawu zokuthenga noma ukuthengisa. Isibonelo, uma i-EMA yesikhathi esifushane iwela ngaphezu kwe-EMA yesikhathi eside, lokhu kungase kubonakale njengesiginali ye-bullish kanye nesikhathi esingaba khona sokuthenga. Ngokuphambene, uma i-EMA yesikhathi esifushane iwela ngaphansi kwe-EMA yesikhathi eside, lokhu kungase kuhunyushwe njengesignali ye-bearish kanye nesikhathi esingaba khona sokuthengisa.
Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuthi yize ama-crossovers e-EMA angaba amasiginali awusizo, akufanele asetshenziswe wodwa. Ezinye izici ezifana nevolumu, isenzo samanani, nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe nazo kufanele zicatshangelwe. Ngaphezu kwalokho, tradeI-rs kufanele ihlale inesu elicacile lokulawula ubungozi, njengoba kungekho nkomba enembe ngo-100% futhi ukulahlekelwa kuyingxenye yokuhweba.
Ngaphezu kokusebenzisa imigqa eminingi ye-EMA, tradeI-rs ingaphinda isebenzise i-EMA njengokwesekwa okunamandla noma ileveli yokumelana. Uma intengo ingaphezu komugqa we-EMA, ingase isebenze njengezinga lokusekela, okungenzeka libonise isikhathi esihle sokuthenga. Uma intengo ingaphansi komugqa we-EMA, ingase isebenze njengezinga lokumelana, okungenzeka libonise isikhathi esihle sokuthengisa.
Ukusebenzisa imigqa eminingi ye-EMA ingangeza ukujula ekuhlaziyeni kwakho kobuchwepheshe futhi ikusize uqonde kangcono isiqondiso namandla ezimakethe zemakethe. Kodwa-ke, njengawo wonke amasu okuhweba, kudinga ukuzijwayeza futhi kufanele kusetshenziswe ngokuhambisana namanye amathuluzi nezinkomba ukuze kube nemiphumela engcono kakhulu.
3.3. Ukugwema Amaphutha Okuhweba Ajwayelekile E-EMA
Ukuhweba ngokwedlulele ingenye yamaphutha avame ukwenziwa traders uma usebenzisa i-Exponential Moving Average (EMA). A trader ingase ilingeke ukuba isebenzise eziningi trades isekelwe kuma-crossovers amancane e-EMA, okuholela enanini eliphezulu lemisebenzi futhi, ngenxa yalokho, kwanda izindleko zokuthengiselana. Kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuthi akuwona wonke ama-crossover e-EMA abonisa ithuba lenzuzo.
Ukuziba isithombe esikhulu ngomunye umgodi. TradeI-rs ivamise ukugxila ezikhathini ze-EMA zesikhashana futhi inganaki inkambiso yemakethe ebanzi. Ukuqonda amathrendi esikhathi eside e-EMA kunganikeza umongo obalulekile futhi kusize ekuvimbeleni amaphutha abizayo. Isibonelo, uma ukuthambekela kwesikhathi eside kwe-EMA kuyi-bullish, kungase kube ukuhlakanipha ukungazinaki ama-crossovers e-bearish esikhashana.
Traders futhi awele ogibeni lwe ukuthembela kuphela ku-EMA ngezinqumo zabo zokuhweba. Nakuba i-EMA iyithuluzi elinamandla, akufanele isetshenziswe yodwa. Kungcono ukuhlanganisa i-EMA nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe ezifana ne-Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), noma ama-Bollinger Bands ukuze uqinisekise amasignali futhi uthuthukise ukunemba kwezinqumo zakho zokuhweba.
Okokugcina, abaningi traders ukwenza iphutha singasebenzisi ama-stop-loss orders lapho uhweba nge-EMA. Ama-Stop-loss orders angakhawulela ukulahlekelwa okungaba khona lapho imakethe iphikisana nesimo sakho. Khumbula, ngisho nesu elinembile kakhulu le-EMA alilona iqiniso, futhi imakethe ingahlala iziphatha ngendlela engalindelekile.
Ngokugwema lawa maphutha ajwayelekile, ungathuthukisa kakhulu ukusebenza kwesu lakho lokuhweba le-EMA futhi ukhulise inzuzo yakho yokuhweba.
