1. Ukuqonda I-Simple Moving Average (SMA)
The Simple Ukuhambisa esijwayelekile (SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL) iyithuluzi elibalulekile ku trader's arsenal, esebenza njengesibani olwandle oluyaluzayo lwe Ukukhishwa kwemakethe. Iqhawe elingenasici lokuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe, elihlinzeka ngomugqa oshelelezi osizayo traders qaphela ukuthambekela okuyisisekelo phakathi komsindo wokuguquguquka kwansuku zonke kwamanani.
Emgogodleni wayo, i-SMA iyisibalo se-arithmetic esiqondile. Ibalwa ngokuhlanganisa amanani akamuva kakhulu (njengamanani okuvala ngenani elishiwo lezikhathi) bese kuhlukaniswa leso samba ngenani lezikhathi. Umugqa owumphumela ube usuhlelwa eshadini, unikeza ukumelwa okubonakalayo kwenani lentengo phakathi naleso sikhathi.
Enye yamandla abalulekile e-SMA yiwo nokuguquguquka. Ingalungiselelwa kumafreyimu esikhathi ahlukahlukene, iyenze isebenze kuzo zombili izinsuku zesikhathi esifushane traders kanye nabatshalizimali besikhathi eside. I-SMA emfushane izonamathela esenzweni samanani samanje, iyenze ilungele ukuhlonza amathrendi esikhathi esifushane. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, i-SMA ende yenza kube bushelelezi ukuguquguquka kwesikhashana, inikeze isithombe esicacile senkambiso yesikhathi eside.
Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi i-SMA iyinhlangano inkomba esalela emuva. Isekelwe ezintengo ezidlule futhi ngenxa yalokho ijwayele ukusabela kancane ezinguqukweni zakamuva zentengo. Lokhu kubambezeleka kungaba kokubili amandla kanye nobuthakathaka. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, isiza ekuhlungeni ukuguquguquka okuncane kwentengo, kwenze ukuthambekela okukhona kucace. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, kungabangela ukubambezeleka ekukhiqizeni isignali, okungase kuholele ekufakweni kwakamuva noma ekuphumeni.
Ukutolika i-SMA kuyikhono eliza nokuzijwayeza. I-SMA ekhuphukayo ikhombisa ukukhuphuka, kuyilapho i-SMA ewayo iphakamisa i-downtrend. Lapho intengo iwela ngaphezu kwe-SMA, ingaba isignali ye-bullish, futhi lapho iwela ngezansi, ingaba isignali ye-bearish. Kodwa-ke, lezi zimpawu kufanele zihlale zisetshenziswa ngokuhambisana namanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe ukuze kuqinisekiswe ubuqiniso bawo futhi kuncishiswe ingozi yezimpawu zamanga.
I-SMA ingasetshenziswa futhi ukukhomba ukusekela kanye namazinga wokumelana. Lawa amaleveli entengo lapho intengo ivame ukuphindela emuva ngemva kokwehla (usekelo) noma ukubuyela emuva ngemva kwesikhathi eside (ukumelana). I-SMA ivamise ukusebenza njengesekelo eliguqukayo noma izinga lokumelana, nentengo igxuma noma ihlehla emugqeni we-SMA.
Emkhakheni wokuhweba, i-Simple Moving Average ifana nekhampasi ethembekile, eqondisayo. traders emanzini aguquguqukayo emakethe. Kuyithuluzi okuthi, uma lisetshenziswa ngekhono nokuqonda, likhanyise indlela eya ekwenzeni inzuzo trades.
1.1. Incazelo ye-SMA
I-Simple Moving Average ibalwa ngokuhlanganisa izintengo zethuluzi ngenani elithile lezikhathi bese kuhlukaniswa isamba ngenombolo yezikhathi.
Isibonelo, uma ubufuna ukubala i-SMA yezinsuku ezi-5 yesitoko, ungahlanganisa izintengo zokuvala zezinsuku ezi-5 zokugcina bese uhlukanisa ngo-5.
Nakhu ifomula:
I-SMA = (P1 + P2 + P3 + … + Pn) / n
kuphi:
- P1, P2, P3, …, Pn amanani enkathi ngayinye, kanye
- n inombolo yezikhathi.
I-Simple Moving Average inikeza umugqa oshelelezi ongasiza traders ihlonze amathrendi ngokunciphisa umsindo wokuguquguquka kwamanani nsuku zonke. Uma intengo ingaphezu komugqa we-SMA, ingase ibonise ukuphakama, futhi uma intengo ingaphansi komugqa we-SMA, ingase ibonise ukwehla. Nokho, lokhu kufanele kusetshenziswe kanye nezinye izinkomba ukuze uthole izibikezelo ezinembe kakhudlwana.
1.2. Isebenza kanjani i-SMA
The Isilinganiso Esihambayo Esincane (SMA) isebenza ngomgomo wokulinganisa inombolo ethile yamaphoyinti edatha edlule. Lokhu kwenzelwa ukulungisa ukuguquguquka kwesikhashana nokugqamisa amathrendi noma imijikelezo yesikhathi eside. Ifomula yokubala i-SMA iqondile: imane nje iyisamba sezintengo zokuvala phakathi nenani elishiwo lezikhathi, ihlukaniswa ngenani lezikhathi. Isibonelo, uma ubala i-SMA yezinsuku eziyi-10, ungangeza izintengo zokuvala zezinsuku eziyi-10 ezedlule bese uhlukanisa ngo-10.
Ulayini we-SMA ohlelwa eshadini unikeza ukumelwa okubonakalayo okungokomlando kwenani elimaphakathi. Lo mugqa uya phezulu noma phansi ngokusekelwe ekuqondeni komnyakazo wentengo yesitoko. Ulayini we-SMA okhuphukayo ukhombisa ukukhuphuka, kuyilapho ulayini we-SMA owehlayo uphakamisa i-downtrend.
The SMA isebenza njengendawo eyinkomba ebalulekile ye traders. Lapho intengo iwela ngaphezu komugqa we-SMA, ingaba isignali ye-bullish, futhi uma iwela ngezansi, ingaba isignali ye-bearish. Kodwa-ke, lezi zimpawu azikhohlisi futhi kufanele zisetshenziswe ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe kanye ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo ukuthola imiphumela emihle.
Empeleni, SMA iyithuluzi elisebenza ngezindlela eziningi elingenziwa ngokwezifiso ukuze livumelane nezitayela ezahlukene zokuhweba kanye nezikhathi ezimisiwe. Noma ngabe uwusuku tradeUma ubheka ishadi lemizuzu emi-5 noma umtshali-zimali wesikhathi eside ehlaziya amashadi amasonto onke, i-SMA inganikeza imininingwane ebalulekile kumathrendi emakethe.
2. Ukusebenzisa i-SMA Kumasu Okuhweba
I-SMA, noma i-Simple Moving Average, iyithuluzi elinamandla ezandleni a trader, enikeza umbono omusha kumathrendi emakethe. Kungumqondo kokubili okulula ukuwuqonda futhi osebenza ngendlela emangalisayo, okuwenza ube yisisekelo kwabaningi amasu ukuhweba.
Emgogodleni wayo, i-SMA iyisilinganiso senani elithile lezikhathi, esilula idatha yentengo ukuze yakhe umugqa traders angasebenzisa ukukhomba izitayela zemakethe ezingaba khona. Kepha uyisebenzisa kanjani kahle i-SMA kumasu okuhweba?
Okokuqala, traders ivame ukusebenzisa i-SMA njenge-a umugqa wesignali. Lapho intengo iwela ngaphezu kwe-SMA, kungaba isignali ye-bullish, okubonisa ukuthi kungase kube isikhathi esihle sokuthenga. Ngokuphambene, lapho intengo iwela ngaphansi kwe-SMA, ingaba isignali ye-bearish, iphakamisa ukuthi kungase kube isikhathi sokuthengisa.
Okwesibili, i-SMA ingasetshenziswa ukukhomba ukusekela kanye namazinga wokumelana. Emakethe ye-uptrend, ulayini we-SMA uvamise ukusebenza njengeleveli yosekelo lapho intengo ivamise ukwehla. Ngokufanayo, emakethe ye-downtrend, i-SMA ingase isebenze njengezinga lokumelana lapho intengo idonsa kanzima khona.
Okokugcina, tradeI-rs ivamise ukusebenzisa ama-SMA amabili anezikhathi ezihlukene (njengezinsuku ezingama-50 kanye ne-SMA yezinsuku ezingama-200) ukukhiqiza amasiginali okuhweba. Leli su, elaziwa ngokuthi I-crossover ye-SMA, kuhlanganisa ukuthenga lapho isikhathi esifushane se-SMA siwela ngaphezu kwesikhathi eside se-SMA (i-bullish crossover) nokuthengisa lapho isikhathi esifushane se-SMA siwela ngaphansi kwe-SMA (bearish crossover).
Kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi nakuba i-SMA iyithuluzi elinamandla, ayinaphutha. Isetshenziswa kangcono kakhulu ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe namasu okuqinisekisa ukufundwa okunembe kakhudlwana kwamathrendi emakethe. Ukuhweba kuyibhizinisi eliyingozi, futhi kubalulekile ukuqonda nokuphatha lezi zingozi ngempumelelo.
2.1. Isu le-SMA Crossover
Emthaleni omkhulu wamasu okuhweba, i Isu le-SMA Crossover ikhanya njengenkanyezi eqondisayo kubo bobabili abaqalayo nabanolwazi traders. Leli su lisebenzisa amandla e-Simple Moving Average (SMA), ithuluzi elenza bushelelezi idatha yentengo ngokuhlala libuyekeza isilinganiso senani esikhathini esithile.
I-SMA Crossover Strategy ilula ngokukhohlisayo. Kubandakanya imigqa emibili ye-SMA: a i-SMA yesikhashana (ngokuvamile izinsuku ezingama-50) kanye a I-SMA yesikhathi eside (ngokuvamile izinsuku ezingama-200). 'Isiphambano' senzeka lapho le migqa emibili ihlangana. Uma i-SMA yesikhathi esifushane iwela ngaphezu kwe-SMA yesikhathi eside, i- isignali ye-bullish okubonisa ukuthi kungaba yisikhathi esihle sokuthenga. Ngokuphambene, uma i-SMA yesikhathi esifushane iwela ngaphansi kwe-SMA yesikhathi eside, i- Isiginali ye-bearish, okuphakamisa ukuthi kungase kube yisikhathi sokuthengisa.
Ubuhle balelisu bulele ekubeni lula nokuvumelana nezimo. Iqonde ngokwanele ukuthi abaqalayo bayibambe ngokushesha, kodwa iguquguquke ngokwanele ukuze ifakwe isinongo traders ukulungisa ngokwesitayela sabo sokuhweba kanye nokubekezelela ubungozi. Nokho, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi nakuba i-SMA Crossover Strategy ingaba ithuluzi elinamandla kunqolobane yakho yokuhweba, ayinaphutha. Isetshenziswa kangcono kakhulu ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba namasu okuqinisekisa amasiginali nokunciphisa ubungozi.
Ubuhle Nebubi be-SMA Crossover Strategy
- buhle: Kulula ukuqonda nokusebenzisa, okuvumelana nezitayela ezahlukene zokuhweba kanye nezikhathi ezimisiwe, kunganikeza amasignali acacile okuthenga nokuthengisa.
- bawo: Ingakhiqiza amasiginali angamanga ezimakethe eziguqukayo, imvelo exegayo ye-SMA ingaholela kumasiginali abambezelekile, ingasebenzi kahle ezimakethe eziseceleni.
Ngaphandle kwalezi zingqinamba ezingaba khona, Isu le-SMA Crossover lihlala liyintandokazi phakathi traders emhlabeni jikelele. Ngokuzijwayeza nokubekezela, kungasiza ukukhanyisa indlela evame ukufiphala yamathrendi emakethe, ikunikeze ukuqonda okubalulekile ukwazisa izinqumo zakho zokuhweba.
2.2. I-SMA Nezinye Izinkomba
Ivula amandla e-SMA (I-Simple Moving Average) iba mnandi nakakhulu uma ihlanganiswa nezinye izinkomba zokuhweba. Le ndlela enezici eziningi ingalithuthukisa kakhulu isu lakho lokuhweba, ikunikeze umbono ophelele wamathrendi emakethe kanye namaphuzu angaba khona okungena nokuphuma.
Thatha isibonelo Isihlobo Amandla Inkomba (RSI). Uma isetshenziswa ngokuhambisana ne-SMA, ingasiza ukukhomba izimo ezithengiwe kakhulu noma ezidayiswe kakhulu. Cabanga ukuthi ulayini we-SMA weqa ngaphezu komugqa wamanani, okubonisa ithrendi engase ikhuphuke. Manje, uma i-RSI ingaphansi kwama-30 (isimo esidayiswe ngokweqile), kungaba isignali eqinile yokuthenga.
Ngokufanayo, i MACD (Ukuhambisa Isilinganiso Sokwehluka Okuphakathi) elinye ithuluzi elinamandla lokumatanisa ne-SMA. Le nkomba iveza izinguquko emandleni, isiqondiso, umfutho, kanye nobude besikhathi sethrendi. Uma ulayini we-MACD uwela ngaphezu komugqa wesiginali ngenkathi i-SMA ikhombisa ithrendi ekhuphukayo, kungase kube isikhathi esifanele sokungena emakethe.
I-Bollinger bands ungomunye umngane omuhle kakhulu we-SMA. Amabhendi aphezulu naphansi angasebenza njengokusekela okuguquguqukayo namazinga okumelana. Uma intengo ithinta ibhendi ephansi futhi i-SMA ithrenda phezulu, ingaphakamisa ithuba elihle lokuthenga.
Khumbula, lezi yizibonelo nje. Kunezinye izinkomba ezingenakubalwa ongazibhanqa ne-SMA ukuze ucwenge isu lakho lokuhweba. Okubalulekile wukulinga, i-backtest, futhi uthole inhlanganisela esebenza kangcono ngesitayela sakho sokuhweba nokubekezelela ubungozi. Kodwa into eyodwa eqinisekile: uma isetshenziswa ngobuhlakani, i-SMA ihlanganiswe nezinye izinkomba ingaba yisikhali esesabekayo kunqolobane yakho yokuhweba.
2.3. Ukukhetha Isikhathi Esilungile se-SMA
Emkhakheni wezohwebo, ukukhetha kwesikhathi esifanele Isilinganiso Esihambayo Esilula (i-SMA) kuyisinqumo esibalulekile esingaba nomthelela omkhulu emiphumeleni yakho yokuhweba. Akukhona nje ngokukhetha inombolo engahleliwe kanye nethemba lokuhamba phambili. Esikhundleni salokho, kumayelana nokuqonda amandla emakethe, izinhloso zakho zokuhweba, nokuthi izikhathi ezihlukene ze-SMA zingaqondana kanjani nalezi zici.
Izikhathi ezimfushane ze-SMA, njengezinsuku ezi-5 noma eziyi-10, zingaba zilungele isikhathi esifushane traders abafuna ukwenza imali ngokunyakaza kwezimakethe ezisheshayo. Lawa ma-SMA azwela kakhulu ekushintsheni kwentengo, ahlinzeka ngokumelela okuseduze kwezimakethe zamanje. Kodwa-ke, futhi bathambekele ekukhiqizeni amasiginali angamanga ngenxa yokusabela kwabo okuphezulu ekuguquguqukeni kwentengo.
Izikhathi ezinde ze-SMA, njengezinsuku ezingu-50, 100, noma ezingu-200, azizwela kakhulu ekuguquguqukeni kwentengo yansuku zonke, ihlinzeka ngokuboniswa okushelelayo nokuzinzile kwethrendi yentengo. Zinenzuzo isikhathi eside traders abanentshisekelo enkulu yokuhlonza amashifu ethrendi amakhulu kunomnyakazo wentengo wesikhathi esifushane.
Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuthi akukho 'usayizi owodwa olingana-bonke' uma kuziwa ekukhetheni isikhathi esilungile se-SMA. Indlela engcono kakhulu yokuhlola izikhathi ezihlukene ze-SMA futhi ubone ukuthi iyiphi ehambisana kangcono nesitayela sakho sokuhweba nokubekezelela ubungozi.
Khumbula, i-SMA iyithuluzi lokukusiza wenze izinqumo zokuhweba unolwazi. Akulona ibhola lekristalu elingabikezela ukunyakaza kwemakethe ngokuqiniseka okuphelele. Ngaso sonke isikhathi cabangela ezinye izinkomba zemakethe nezici ngaphambi kokwenza isinqumo sokuhweba.
3. Ubungozi kanye nemikhawulo ye-SMA
Kuyilapho Isilinganiso Esihambayo Esincane (SMA) iyithuluzi elinamandla ku trader's arsenal, kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuthi iza nesethi yayo yobungozi kanye nemikhawulo. Omunye wemikhawulo eyinhloko ukuthi ngokwemvelo a inkomba esalela emuva. Lokhu kusho ukuthi isekelwe emananini adlule futhi inganikeza kuphela ulwazi mayelana nalokho osekwenzekile, hhayi okuzokwenzeka esikhathini esizayo. Lokhu kungaholela ekungeneni sekwephuzile trades, okungenzeka uphuthelwe izinzuzo ezibalulekile.
Enye ingozi ephawulekayo yi- isignali yamanga. I-SMA kwesinye isikhathi ingakhiqiza isignali yokuthenga noma yokuthengisa engabonisi ithrendi iyonke. Isibonelo, i-SMA ingase ibonise ukuthambekela kwe-bullish lapho umkhuba wemakethe uphelele, okuholela kumaphutha abizayo. Lokhu kuyiqiniso ikakhulukazi ezimakethe ezishintshashintshayo lapho ukuguquka kwentengo kungahlanekezela isilinganiso.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-SMA iyazwela enkathini ekhethiwe. I-SMA yezinsuku ezingama-50 izonikeza amasiginali ahluke kakhulu uma kuqhathaniswa ne-SMA yezinsuku ezingama-200. Uma isikhathi sisifushane kakhulu, i-SMA ingase ibe bucayi kakhulu ezinguqukweni zentengo ezincane, okubangele amasiginali okuthenga nokuthengisa njalo. Ngokuphambene, uma isikhathi siside kakhulu, i-SMA ingase ingabi nazwela, okungenzeka ilahlekelwe izinguquko ezibalulekile zethrendi.
Ekugcineni, i-SMA ayibali ngomthelela wevolumu. Izinsuku ezimbili ezinenani elifanayo lokuvala kodwa amavolumu ahluke kakhulu azoba nomthelela ofanayo ku-SMA. Lokhu kungaba yinkinga njengoba ivolomu ivame ukunikeza imikhondo ebalulekile mayelana namandla ethrendi.
Nakuba lezi zingozi nemikhawulo ngokuqinisekile zingenzi i-SMA zibe yize, zigqamisa ukubaluleka kokuyisebenzisa ngokuhambisana namanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya obuchwepheshe nezinkomba. Indlela elinganiselayo, enolwazi ekuhwebeni iyohlale iletha imiphumela engcono kakhulu.
3.1. Inkomba yokubelesela
Izinkomba zokugaya ayithuluzi elibalulekile kukhithi yamathuluzi okuhweba, enikeza umbono obuyela emuva wamathrendi emakethe. Enye yezinkomba ezivame ukusetshenziswa kakhulu yi-Simple Moving Average (SMA). I-SMA ibalwa ngokuhlanganisa amanani okuvala enkathi yokugcina engu-'X' bese ihlukanisa leyo nombolo ngo-X. Umphumela uba umugqa obushelelezi othi traders sebenzisa ukuqonda ukuziphatha kwangaphambilini kwemakethe.
Nakuba izinkomba ezisalele emuva zingabonakala zingajabulisi kangako kunozakwabo abahamba phambili, zinikeza isisekelo esiqinile sedatha yomlando. Le datha ibalulekile traders abasekela amasu abo kumathrendi emakethe edlule. I-SMA, njengenkomba yokusalela emuva, iyasiza traders ukuhlonza amasiginali okuthenga nokuthengisa okungenzeka asuselwe ekuhambeni kwentengo okungokomlando.
I-SMA iwusizo ikakhulukazi ezimakethe eziguquguqukayo, lapho ukuguquguquka kwentengo kuvame ukudukisa traders. Ngokusheshisa idatha yentengo, i-SMA inikeza isithombe esicacile sethrendi iyonke. Lokhu kungasiza traders ukwenza izinqumo ezinolwazi, ukunciphisa ubungozi bokwenza trades okusekelwe ekukhuphukeni kwentengo yesikhashana noma amadiphu.
Noma kunjalo, kubalulekile ukuqaphela lokho njengazo zonke izinkomba ezisalele, i-SMA inemikhawulo yayo. Isekelwe kudatha edlule, ngakho ayikwazi ukubikezela ukunyakaza kwezimakethe zesikhathi esizayo. Kuhamba kancane futhi ukuphendula ezinguqukweni zentengo zakamuva, ezingaholela ekungeneni ngemuva kwesikhathi noma kumasiginali wokuphuma. Ngakho-ke, nakuba i-SMA iyithuluzi elibalulekile, kufanele isetshenziswe ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba nezindlela zokuhlaziya ukuze kube nemiphumela engcono kakhulu.
Ukuze usebenzise ngokugcwele i-SMA, traders kufanele icabange ukuyisebenzisa njengengxenye yesu elibanzi lokuhweba. Lokhu kungabandakanya ukuhlanganisa i-SMA ne izinkomba eziholayo, njenge-Relative Strength Index (RSI), ukuze uthole isithombe esiphelele semakethe. Ngokwenza kanjalo, tradeI-rs ingasebenzisa amandla akho kokubili izinkomba ezisalelayo neziholayo, ithuthukise ikhono labo lokwenza inzuzo. trades.
3.2. Izimpawu Zamanga
Emhlabeni wokuhweba, akuzona zonke izimpawu ezidalwe zilingana. Okunye, njengesiphambano segolide noma isiphambano sokufa, kungaba izinkomba ezinamandla zenkunzi noma imakethe yamabhere ezayo. Kepha abanye, njengezimpawu ezingamanga ezenzeka kwesinye isikhathi lapho kusetshenziswa i Isilinganiso Esihambayo Esincane (SMA), ingahola traders astray uma bengaqaphile.
Enye yezimpawu ezivamile zamanga yi- isiswebhu. Lokhu kwenzeka uma imakethe iguquguquka futhi intengo ivamise ukweqa ngaphezulu nangaphansi komugqa we-SMA, ikhiqize amasiginali wokuthenga nokuthengisa angadida. traders futhi kuholele ekuthathweni kwezinqumo ezingezinhle. Lezi zimpawu ezingamanga zivame kakhulu ngezikhathi zokungaqiniseki kwemakethe noma lapho izehlakalo ezinkulu zezindaba zidala ukushintsha kwentengo kungazelelwe.
Olunye uhlobo lwesignali yamanga yi- ithimba. Ngenxa yokuthi i-SMA ibalwa kusetshenziswa idatha edlule, kwesinye isikhathi ingaphuza ukuphendula ezinguqukweni ezisheshayo zentengo. Lokhu kungaholela ekutheni i-SMA ikhombise ukuthambekela kwe-bullish lapho intengo empeleni yehla, noma okuphambene nalokho. Traders abathembele kuphela ku-SMA ngezinqumo zabo zokuhweba bangase bagcine bethenga noma bethengisa ngesikhathi esingalungile uma bengakunaki lokhu kubambezeleka.
Ngakho kanjani traders ukugwema lezi zimpawu zamanga? Enye indlela iwukusebenzisa a isikhathi esifushane kwe-SMA. Lokhu kungenza i-SMA iphendule kakhulu ezinguqukweni zentengo yakamuva futhi inciphise amathuba e-whipsaws nama-lags. Kodwa-ke, futhi inganyusa ubungozi bokuhweba ngokweqile, njengoba i-SMA izokhiqiza amasiginali amaningi isiyonke.
Enye indlela uku hlanganisa i-SMA nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe, njenge-Relative Strength Index (RSI) noma i-Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Lezi zinganikeza umongo owengeziwe futhi zisize ukuqinisekisa ukuthi isignali evela ku-SMA kungenzeka inembile yini.
Ekugcineni, ukhiye wokugwema amasiginali angamanga lapho usebenzisa i-SMA ukuqonda imikhawulo yayo futhi uyisebenzise njengengxenye yesu elibanzi lokuhweba, kunokuncika kuyo ngokuzihlukanisa. Ngokwenza kanjalo, traders bangenza izinqumo ezinolwazi futhi bandise amathuba abo okuphumelela emakethe.
3.3. Ukungasebenzi Ezimakethe Eziguquguqukayo
Izimakethe eziguquguqukayo, ngenkathi yethula ingcebo yamathuba, ingaba yindawo yokuzalanisa ukungasebenzi kahle. Lokhu kuyiqiniso ikakhulukazi uma usebenzisa isilinganiso esihambayo esilula (i-SMA) njengethuluzi lokuhweba. I-SMA, ngokobunjalo bayo, iyinkomba yokusalela emuva. Ibala inani lentengo esikhathini esithile, ngaleyo ndlela ilungise ukuguquguquka kwentengo futhi inikeze umbono ocacile wethrendi iyonke.
Kodwa-ke, emakethe eguquguqukayo, lo mphumela wokushelela ngezinye izikhathi ungafihla izinguquko zentengo ezisheshayo ezibonisa izimakethe ezinjalo. Njengoba i-SMA isabela ekushintsheni kwentengo ngokubambezeleka, traders bangase bazithole benza izinqumo ezisekelwe olwazini oluphelelwe yisikhathi. Lokhu kungaholela emathubeni aphuthelwe noma, okubi nakakhulu, ekungeneni tradengamanani angemukeleki.
Isabela ekuguquguqukeni kwezimakethe kulapho i-SMA ingakhombisa khona ukulinganiselwa kwayo. Uma isikhathi eside esisetshenziselwa i-SMA, isabela kancane ekushintsheni kwentengo. Lokhu kungaholela ekungeneni sekwephuzile noma kumasiginali wokuphuma. Ngokuphambene, i-SMA yesikhathi esifushane izosabela ngokushesha, kodwa ingase ikhiqize amasiginali angamanga njengoba isabela ekuguquguqukeni okuncane kwentengo.
Ukunqoba lokhu kungasebenzi kudinga indlela ehlukile. TradeI-rs ingacabangela ukusebenzisa inhlanganisela yama-SMA enkathi ehlukile ukuze ithwebule kokubili ukunyakaza kwentengo yesikhathi esifushane namathrendi esikhathi eside. Ukwengeza, ukuhlanganisa nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe noma ukuhlaziya okuyisisekelo esu lakho lokuhweba lingakunikeza umbono obanzi wemakethe, okusiza ekwehliseni imikhawulo ye-SMA ezimakethe eziguqukayo.
Khumbula, ithuluzi ngalinye lokuhweba linamandla nobuthakathaka balo. Okubalulekile wukuqonda lokhu, ulungise isu lakho ngendlela efanele, futhi uhlale ulungele ukungaqiniseki okungokwemvelo kwezimakethe.
4. Amathiphu Okuhweba Nge-SMA Okuphumelelayo
Ukuqonda Okuyisisekelo yisinyathelo sokuqala esibheke ekuhwebeni okuphumelelayo kwe-SMA. I-Simple Moving Average (SMA) iyinkomba yobuchwepheshe ukuthi traders ukuhlonza izitayela. Ibalwa ngesilinganiso senani elithile lezintengo ezedlule. Lokhu kwenza kube lula ukuguquguquka kwentengo, kwenze kube lula ukubona ukuthambekela.
Ukukhetha Isikhathi Esifanele kubalulekile. Ubude be-SMA oyikhethayo buncike kusitayela sakho sokuhweba. Isikhathi esifushane traders ngokuvamile isebenzisa 10 noma 20-day SMA, kuyilapho eside traders angakhetha i-SMA yezinsuku ezingama-50 noma ezingama-200. Khumbula, uma isikhathi eside, i-SMA ibaluleke kakhulu.
Ukusebenzisa ama-SMA Crossovers ingabonisa amathuba okuthenga noma ukuthengisa okungenzeka. I-bullish crossover yenzeka lapho i-SMA yesikhathi esifushane iwela ngaphezu kwe-SMA yesikhathi eside, okubonisa ithrendi engase ikhuphuke. Ngokuphambene, i-bearish crossover yenzeka lapho i-SMA yesikhashana iwela ngaphansi kwe-SMA yesikhathi eside, okuphakamisa ukuthambekela okungenzeka kokwehla.
Ukuhlanganisa i-SMA Nezinye Izinkomba inganikeza amasignali anokwethenjelwa. Nakuba i-SMA iyithuluzi elinamandla, ayinaphutha. Cabangela ukuyisebenzisa kanye nezinye izinkomba ezifana ne-Relative Strength Index (RSI) noma i-Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ukuze uqinisekise amasiginali futhi unciphise ubungozi bezinto ezingamanga.
Ukuzijwayeza Ukulawulwa Kwengozi ibalulekile ekuhwebeni kwe-SMA. Ngaso sonke isikhathi setha ama-stop-loss orders ukuze ubeke umkhawulo ekulahlekeni okungaba khona kanye nama-oda okuthola inzuzo ukuze uvikele izinzuzo. Futhi, ungalokothi utshale imali engaphezu kwalokho ongakwazi ukukukhokhela. Ukuhweba kuyingozi ngokwemvelo, futhi nakuba i-SMA ingakusiza wenze izinqumo ezinolwazi, ayikwazi ukuqinisekisa inzuzo.
Emhlabeni wokuhweba we-SMA, Ukuvumelana Kuyisihluthulelo. Namathela kweyakho uhlelo lokuhweba, ngisho nalapho izinto zingahambi njengoba bekulindelekile. Izinqumo ezingokomzwelo ngokuvamile ziholela emaphutheni. Zibambe, qhubeka ufunda, futhi ulungise amasu akho njengoba uthola ulwazi oluthe xaxa. Khumbula, ukuhweba okuphumelelayo kuyibanga elide, hhayi i-sprint.
4.1. Imatanisa i-SMA nesenzo senani
Ukumatanisa I-Simple Moving Average (SMA) nesenzo senani kungaba isiguquli segeyimu traders. Kufana nokuhlanganisa ukunemba kwewashi lase-Swiss kanye nokuzwiwa kwewashi elidala trader. I-SMA, enekhono layo lokususa umsindo wemakethe futhi iveze ukuthambekela okuyisisekelo, inikeza isisekelo esiqinile. Kodwa uma umboza lokhu nge-Price Action - indaba yesikhathi sangempela, engahlungiwe yemakethe, uvula i-synergy enamandla.
Price Action ukushaya kwenhliziyo kwemakethe, indaba eluhlaza, engahleliwe yokunikezwa kanye nesidingo. Yilokhu trader's microscope, eveza ukushintsha komzuzu nomzuzu emizweni. Ihlanganiswe ne-SMA, ihlinzeka ngokubuka kweso lenyoni ngethrendi yemakethe kanye nokuqonda okuyimbudumbudu kusayikholoji yemakethe.
Ake sihlakaze leli qhinga. Qala ngokukhomba inkambiso iyonke usebenzisa i-SMA yakho. I-SMA ekhuphukayo ikhombisa ukukhuphuka, kuyilapho i-SMA ewayo iphakamisa i-downtrend. Uma ususungule ithrendi, bhekisa ukunaka kwakho ku-Price Action. Bheka amaphethini entengo aqinisekisa inkambiso. Isibonelo, ku-uptrend, ungase ubone uchungechunge lokuphakama okuphezulu nokuphansi okuphezulu.
Kodwa umlingo wangempela uyenzeka lapho i-SMA ne-Price Action zingavumelani. Lapha kulapho ungabona khona ukuguqulwa okungenzeka. Uma i-SMA ikhuphuka, kodwa i-Price Action iqala ukwakha ukuphakama okuphansi nokuphansi, kungase kubonise ukwehla okuzayo. Ngokuphambene, i-SMA ewayo ene-Price Action eyenza ukuphakama okuphezulu nokwehla ingase iphakamise ukuphakama okuzayo.
Khumbula, ukubhanqa i-SMA ne-Price Action akukhona ukuthola 'okuphelele' trade. Kumayelana nokuzuza ukuqonda okujulile kwemakethe, ukuthuthukisa ukwenza kwakho izinqumo, futhi ekugcineni, uthuthukise ukusebenza kwakho kokuhweba. Kuyisu elidinga isineke, isiyalo, nokuzimisela funda kusukela emakethe. Kodwa kulabo abakwaziyo, imivuzo ingaba mikhulu.
4.2. Ukusebenzisa ama-SMA amaningi ukuze kuqinisekiswe
Uma kuziwa ekuhwebeni, ukucaca kuyisihluthulelo. Enye yezindlela ezisebenza kahle kakhulu zokufeza lokhu ukusebenzisa ama-Simple Moving Averages (ama-SMA) amaningi ukuze kuqinisekiswe. Leli su libandakanya ukusebenzisa ama-SMA amabili noma ngaphezulu anezikhathi ezihlukene ukuze uqinisekise amasiginali akho okuhweba.
Ngokwesibonelo, ungasebenzisa a I-SMA ye-50-day SMA kanye ne-a I-SMA ye-200-day SMA. Lapho i-SMA yezinsuku ezingama-50 iwela ngaphezu kwe-SMA yezinsuku ezingama-200, isignali ye-bullish ekhombisa ukuthi kungase kube isikhathi esihle sokuthenga. Ngokuphambene, lapho i-SMA yezinsuku ezingu-50 iwela ngaphansi kwe-SMA yezinsuku ezingu-200, isignali ye-bearish ephakamisa ukuthi kungase kube isikhathi sokuthengisa.
Okwenza ukusebenzisa ama-SMA amaningi kube namandla kakhulu isiqinisekiso bayahlinzeka. Kufana nokuba nombono wesibili ngesinqumo sakho sokuhweba - lapho womabili ama-SMA ekhomba ohlangothini olufanayo, ungakwazi trade ngokuzethemba okwengeziwe. Kodwa khumbula, alikho isu elingenangqondo. Hlala ucabangela ezinye izici zemakethe futhi usebenzise ukulahlekelwa kokuyeka ukuze ulawule ubungozi bakho ngempumelelo.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ungaphinda uzame amafreyimu esikhathi ahlukene ukuze ubone ukuthi yimaphi asebenza kangcono ngesitayela sakho sokuhweba. Abanye traders bangase bakhethe ukusebenzisa i-SMA yezinsuku eziyi-10 nezinsuku ezingama-20, kuyilapho abanye bengathola i-SMA yezinsuku eziyi-100 neyezinsuku ezingama-200 isebenza kangcono. Isihluthulelo siwukuthi hlola futhi uzivumelanise uze uthole ibhalansi ephelele evumelana nendlela yakho yokuhweba.
Ukuze sifanekise, ake sicabangele isibonelo. Ake sithi intengo yesitoko ithrenda phezulu, futhi womabili ama-SMA akho ezinsuku ezingama-50 kanye nezinsuku ezingama-200 nawo ayakhuphuka. Lokhu kungaba inkomba eqinile yokuthi ukuthambekela kokukhuphuka kungenzeka kuqhubeke. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, uma inani lalehla futhi womabili ama-SMA nawo ehla, kungaba uphawu lokuthi ukwehla kungase kuqhubeke.
Empeleni, ukusebenzisa ama-SMA amaningi ukuze kuqinisekiswe ithuluzi elilula kodwa elinamandla elingakusiza wenze izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi. Inikeza isithombe esicacile senkambiso yemakethe futhi ingakhuphula kakhulu amathuba akho okuphumelela emhlabeni wokuhweba.
4.3. Ukuhlanganisa i-SMA ne-Risk Management
Isilinganiso Esihambayo Esincane (SMA) iyithuluzi elinamandla ku trader's arsenal, kodwa ukusebenza kwayo kungathuthukiswa kakhulu uma kuhlanganiswe namasu aqinile okulawula ubungozi. Le ndlela ayiqinisekisi amandla okwenza inzuzo kuphela kodwa futhi nokuvikela imali yakho.
I-SMA inikeza isithombe esicacile sendlela yonke yemakethe, evumela traders ukukhomba izindawo ezingaba khona zokungena nokuphuma. Kodwa-ke, imakethe ayinakubikezelwa futhi ngisho nezinkomba ezinokwethenjelwa kakhulu ngezinye izikhathi zingahluleka. Lapha kulapho ukulawulwa kwezinhlekelele izinyathelo zokungena. Imayelana nokubeka ukulahlekelwa kokuma futhi uthathe amazinga enzuzo, ulawule ukutshalwa kwezimali kwakho ngakunye trade, futhi uhlukanise iphothifoliyo yakho.
Misa ukulahleka zibalulekile ekulawuleni ubungozi. Ngokumisa a ukuyeka ukulahlekelwa, ukhawulela ukulahlekelwa okungase kube khona uma imakethe ihamba ngokumelene nesimo sakho. I-SMA ingakuqondisa ekusetheni lawa maleveli. Isibonelo, uma usesimweni eside, ungasetha ukulahlekelwa kwakho kokuma ngaphansi nje komugqa we-SMA.
Thatha amazinga enzuzo zibaluleke ngokufanayo. Lawa amaphuzu lapho uvala khona isikhundla sakho ukuze uvikele inzuzo yakho. Futhi, i-SMA ingaba umhlahlandlela owusizo. Uma intengo ibilokhu ingaphezu komugqa we-SMA bese iwela ngaphansi kwayo, lokhu kungaba isignali yokuthatha inzuzo yakho.
Ukuphathwa kwezimali kuhilela ukunquma ukuthi ingakanani imali yakho ozozifaka engozini ngayinye trade. Umthetho ojwayelekile uwukubeka engcupheni ingabi ngaphezu kuka-2% wemali yakho oyiphathayo kanye trade. Ngale ndlela, noma ngabe unochungechunge lokulahlekelwa, imali yakho enkulu ngeke isulwe.
diversification esinye isici esibalulekile sokulawulwa kwezinhlekelele. Ngokusabalalisa utshalomali lwakho ezimpahleni ezahlukene, unciphisa ingcuphe yokuthi impahla eyodwa isule iphothifoliyo yakho. I-SMA ingakusiza ukuthi ubone ukuthi yiziphi izimpahla ezithrendayo, ezisiza ezinqumweni zokuhlukahluka.
Ukufaka i-SMA nokulawulwa kwezinhlekelele akugcini nje ngokuthuthukisa isu lakho lokuhweba kodwa futhi kuvikela imali yakho enkulu. Kuyinhlanganisela enamandla engaholela empumelelweni yokuhweba engaguquki.
