1. Ukuqonda Okuyisisekelo Sokuhweba Kakotini
Izwe lokuhweba kukakotini liyindawo eguquguqukayo futhi ehehayo, egcwele amathuba alabo abazimisele ukuhlolisisa ubunkimbinkimbi bayo. Ukotini, okubalulekile lezimpahla ezimakethe zomhlaba, kuyinto traded ngamanani amakhulu ezimakethe ezihlukahlukene emhlabeni jikelele. Umnyombo wokuhweba kakotini ukuqonda kokuguquguquka kwemakethe, okuthonywa inqwaba yezinto ezifana nezimo zezulu, imicimbi yezwe, nezinkomba zezomnotho.
Ukuhweba ngamabala nokuhweba ngekusasa yizindlela ezimbili eziyinhloko ezisetshenziswa ekuhwebeni kukakotini. Ukuhweba ngamabala kuhilela ukuthengwa ngokushesha noma ukudayiswa kukakotini, futhi umsebenzi uzokhokhwa 'ngaso leso sikhathi'. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuhweba kwesikhathi esizayo kuhilela ukuthenga noma ukuthengisa izinkontileka zikakotini ukuze zilethwe ngedethi ezayo. Le ndlela ivumela traders ukulwa nokuguquguquka kwentengo futhi iyithuluzi elibalulekile lokuphatha ingozi.
Ukutholwa kwentengo isici esiyinhloko sokuhweba ukotini. Kuyinqubo lapho imakethe inquma inani likakotini ngokusekelwe ezintweni ezitholakalayo kanye nesidingo. Traders kumele ibheke ngeso elibukhali izitayela zemakethe, izindaba, kanye nedatha ukwenza izinqumo ezinolwazi.
ukuhlaziywa Technical futhi ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo amasu amabili asetshenziswa kabanzi ekuhwebeni ukotini. Ukuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe kuhilela ukutadisha amashadi amanani nokusebenzisa izinkomba zezibalo ukuze ubikezele ukunyakaza kwamanani okuzayo. Ukuhlaziya okuyisisekelo, ngakolunye uhlangothi, kubheka izici ezibanzi zezomnotho kanye nezepolitiki ezingaba nomthelela entengweni kakotini.
Ekuhwebeni ukotini, ukuqonda i amamaki ekhwalithi ukotini nakho kubalulekile. Izinga likakotini linqunywa izici ezifana nombala, ubude besisekelo, namandla, futhi lithinta kakhulu intengo. Traders kumele bazijwayeze namabanga ekhwalithi ehlukene kanye nendlela abathinta ngayo amanani.
Ukwamukela inkimbinkimbi yokuhweba ukotini kungaba umzamo ovuzayo, ukuhlinzeka ngenhlanganisela eyingqayizivele yezinselele namathuba. Ngolwazi olufanele, amathuluzi, namasu, tradeI-rs ingazulazula kule makethe ephilayo ngokuzethemba.
1.1. Kuyini Ukuhweba Ngokotini?
Ukuhweba kukakotini isici esiguqukayo nesihehayo semakethe yempahla yomhlaba wonke, lapho ukotini, umcu othambile, othambile okhula ube yibholi ezungeze imbewu yesitshalo sikakotini, uthengwa, udayiswe, futhi kucatshangwa ngawo. Lokhu kuhweba kungenzeka kokubili ngokomzimba, lapho amabhala angempela kakotini eshintsha izandla, futhi cishe, lapho izinkontileka zokulethwa kukakotini esikhathini esizayo zikhona. traded.
Inhliziyo yokuhweba ukotini ilele ezinhlotsheni zayo ezimbili ezinkulu: ukuhweba indawo futhi ikamva lokuhweba. Ukuhweba ngamabala kuhilela ukuthengwa ngokushesha noma ukuthengiswa kukakotini ngamanani emakethe amanje, kuyilapho ukuhweba kwesikhathi esizayo kuhilela ukuthenga noma ukuthengisa izinkontileka zokulethwa kukakotini ngedethi eshiwo ezayo.
Ikusasa ukuhweba kuyathakazelisa ikakhulukazi njengoba kuvumela traders ukuqagela ngentengo yesikhathi esizayo kakotini, ngokusekelwe ezicini ezifana nezimo zesimo sezulu, isidingo somhlaba wonke, nezehlakalo zezwe. Lolu hlobo lokuhweba lwenziwa ekuhwebeni kwekusasa, okugqame kakhulu i-Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).
Ukuhweba ngamabala, ngakolunye uhlangothi, iqonde kakhudlwana futhi ihilela ukushintshanisa ukotini ngokushesha ngemali. Lolu hlobo lokuhweba ngokuvamile lwenziwa phakathi kwabalimi bakakotini nabakhiqizi bezindwangu, nakuba bengumlamuli traders nawo angabandakanyeka.
Kuzo zombili izinhlobo zokuhweba, inhloso ukuthola inzuzo ngokuguquguquka kwentengo kakotini. Lokhu kuguquguquka kungathonywa yizinto ezahlukahlukene, okuhlanganisa izinguquko ekukhiqizweni kukakotini emhlabeni wonke, ukushintsha kwesidingo sabathengi semikhiqizo kakotini, kanye noshintsho kuzinqubomgomo zikahulumeni ezihlobene nezolimo trade.
Ulwazi nokuqonda zalezi zici, kanye neso elibukhali lezitayela zemakethe kanye nokuzimisela ukuthatha izingozi ezibaliwe, kuyisihluthulelo sokuhweba okuphumelelayo kukakotini. Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi ungumlimi ofuna ukuvikela intengo engcono kakhulu yesitshalo sakho, umkhiqizi wezindwangu ofuna ukuqinisekisa ukutholakala kwezinto ezingavuthiwe, noma i-speculator enethemba lokuzuza ngokunyakaziswa kwentengo, ukuhweba kukakotini kunikeza umhlaba wamathuba.
1.2. Ukubaluleka Kokotini Emakethe Yomhlaba Wonke
Ukotini akuyona nje i-fiber e-fluffy eyenza izingubo zakho zithambe futhi ziphefumule. Kuyi-a into yomhlaba enika amandla ezomnotho, ithonya ezombangazwe, futhi ilolonge izimpilo zethu zansuku zonke. Ukotini a lezimpahla traded kuzo zonke izimakethe zamazwe ngamazwe, futhi ukubaluleka kwayo ngeke kugcizelelwe.
Inkosi yemicu yemvelo, ukotini, isilinywe iminyaka engaphezu kuka-7000, futhi namuhla, ukukhiqizwa kwayo emhlabeni wonke kudlula amathani ama-metric ayizigidi ezingu-25 ngonyaka. Kuyi-a ingxenye ebalulekile embonini yendwangu, ebalelwa cishe ku-40% wayo yonke imicu esetshenziswa emhlabeni jikelele. Ukuguquguquka kukakotini, ukuqina, nokunethezeka kukwenza kube yinketho ekhethwayo yayo yonke into kusukela ku-jean nezikibha kuya kumfashini wezinga eliphezulu nempahla yasekhaya.
Kodwa akuyona nje imboni yezemfashini ebanjwe ukotini. I umkhakha wezolimo uthembele kakhulu kukho futhi. I-cottonseed, i-byproduct yokukhiqiza ukotini, iwumthombo obalulekile wokudla kwemfuyo. Amafutha embewu kakotini, akhishwe kule mbewu, ayisithako esivamile emikhiqizweni eminingi yokudla nezimonyo.
Global trade ukotini iwebhu eyinkimbinkimbi yokuhlinzeka nokufunwa kwamandla, okuthonywa izici ezifana nezimo zezulu, ukungazinzi kwezombusazwe, kanye nentuthuko yezobuchwepheshe. Amazwe afana ne-China, i-India, i-United States, ne-Pakistan ahamba phambili emhlabeni abakhiqizi bakakotini, kuyilapho izimakethe ezisafufusa e-Afrika naseNingizimu Melika zisaqhubeka nokwandisa isabelo sazo.
Umhlaba wokuhweba ukotini yi-a umdlalo wezinga eliphezulu okungaletha inzuzo enkulu kulabo ababuqondayo ubunkimbinkimbi bayo. Izintengo zikakotini ziyaziwa ngokuguquguquka, zishintshashintsha kakhulu ngenxa yezinguquko zokuhlinzekwa nokufunwa. Lokhu ukungazami kungaba yisibusiso traders abakwaziyo ukuzulazula ebuhleni nasebubini bemakethe.
Ukuqonda ukubaluleka kukakotini emakethe yomhlaba kuyisinyathelo sokuqala sokuba ukotini ophumelelayo trader. Uhambo oludinga iso elibukhali ukuze uthole imininingwane, ukuqonda okuqinile kwemikhuba yezomnotho yomhlaba wonke, kanye nesilinganiso esinempilo sokubekezela. Kodwa kulabo abamele inselele, imivuzo ingaba mikhulu.
1.3. Iqhaza Likakotini Ekuhwebeni Kwempahla
Ukotini, i-fluffy fiber eye yagqokisa isintu izinkulungwane zeminyaka, inendima eyingqayizivele ekuhwebeni kwempahla. Ku-labyrinth yezentengiselwano zomhlaba wonke, ukotini awuyona nje impahla; kuyi-a umdlali okhiye lokho kunomthelela ekuguquguqukeni komnotho wamazwe amaningi.
Ngokwesibonelo, cabangela i-United States, lapho ukotini ungenye yezinto ezihamba phambili zezwe ezithunyelwa kwamanye amazwe. Lapho amanani kakotini ekhuphuka, angashukumisa umnotho, athinte yonke into kusukela ezindleleni zokuziphilisa zabalimi kuya ezintengo zesitoko zabathengisi bezingubo. Kodwa ithonya likakotini lidlulela ngale kwemingcele yamazwe akhiqiza ukotini.
Emakethe yokuhweba yomhlaba wonke, ukotini yi-a uphawu lokubonisa kwezinye izinto ezithambile. Intengo yayo ivame ukusetshenziswa njenge-barometer yokulinganisa impilo yomnotho obanzi. Uma izintengo zikakotini ziphezulu, zingabonisa ukwehla kwamandla emali aqondene, kuyilapho amanani aphansi angabonisa umnotho ohamba kancane.
Ukotini ubuye ube nesibaluli esiyingqayizivele esiwenza uhluke kwezinye izimpahla. Ngokungafani namafutha noma igolide, okuyizinsiza ezinomkhawulo, ukotini uyisisetshenziswa esivuselelekayo. Lokhu kusho ukuthi ukutholakala kwawo akunqunyelwe uqweqwe lomhlaba kodwa amandla abalimi okuwukhulisa. Lokhu kwenza ukuhweba ukotini kube inkambu eguquguqukayo neshintsha njalo, njenge traders kumele abheke yonke into kusukela kuphethini yesimo sezulu kuya ezenzakalweni zezepolitiki ezingase zibe nomthelela ekukhiqizeni ukotini.
Ukuhweba ukotini, ngakho-ke, idinga ukuqonda okujulile hhayi nje kwezomnotho, kodwa nezolimo, isimo sezulu, nobudlelwano bamazwe ngamazwe. Kuyinkundla eyinkimbinkimbi futhi ehehayo enikeza amathuba angapheli kulabo abazimisele ukuhlolisisa ubunkimbinkimbi bayo. Noma ngabe ungumuntu omaziyo trader noma oqalayo ofuna ukucwilisa izinzwane zakho emhlabeni wokuhweba kwempahla, ukotini unikeza inselele eyingqayizivele nezuzisayo.
2. Ukuqala Ekuhwebeni Kakotini
Ukuqala uhambo lwakho lokuhweba ukotini kufana nokungena olwandle olukhulu lokuhwebelana kwempahla. Yinkundla egcwele amathuba, ubungozi, nemiklomelo. Isinyathelo sokuqala uku baqonde imakethe. Ukotini, njengempahla, uthonywa yizici ezihlukahlukene ezihlanganisa izimo zezulu, ukukhiqizwa komhlaba wonke nokusetshenziswa kwawo, kanye nezinqubomgomo zezomnotho.
- Ukufunda ukufunda lezi zimpawu kubalulekile. Isibonelo, isomiso endaweni enkulu ekhiqiza ukotini singase sinyuse amanani ngenxa yokuncipha kokutholakala kwempahla. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukwehla kwesidingo ngenxa yokushintsha kwezitayela zemfashini noma ukwehla komnotho kungaholela ekwehleni kwamanani.
- Ukwakha okuqinile uhlelo lokuhweba yisinyathelo esilandelayo. Lokhu kuhlanganisa ukubeka imigomo yakho yezezimali, ukunquma ukubekezelela kwakho ubungozi, kanye nokunquma isu lakho lokuhweba. Ukuthi ukhetha ukuhamba isikhathi eside, ukubheja emananini azokhuphuka, noma kube mfushane, ubikezela ukuwa, kuzoncika ekuhlaziyeni kwakho imakethe kanye nesifiso sokudla esisengozini.
- Ukukhetha inkundla yokuhweba efanele ngesinye isinyathelo esibucayi. Bheka izinkundla ezinikeza idatha yesikhathi sangempela, amathuluzi aphelele okuhlaziya imakethe, nokusekelwa kwamakhasimende okuthembekile. Futhi, cabangela izinkokhelo zeplathifomu kanye nokuba lula kokuhoxiswa kwezimali.
- Imfundo nokufunda okuqhubekayo ayikwazi ukweqisa ekuhwebeni ukotini. Hlala unolwazi ngezindaba zomhlaba jikelele zemboni kakotini, vakashela ama-webinars, ubambe iqhaza ezinkundleni zokuhweba, futhi ungangabazi ukufuna izeluleko kwabanolwazi olunzulu. traders. Khumbula, konke trader waqala njengomuntu osaqalayo, futhi lonke uhambo oluyimpumelelo luqala ngesinyathelo esisodwa.
- Ukuzivocavoca kwenza okuphelele. Cabangela ukuqala nge-akhawunti yedemo ukuze uthole umuzwa wokuguquguquka kwemakethe ngaphandle kokufaka imali yangempela engozini. Lokhu kuzokusiza uqonde ukuthi izici ezihlukene ziwathinta kanjani amanani kakotini nokuthi ungasabela kanjani ngokufanele.
- Ukubekezela nesiyalo abangabangane bakho abakhulu kulolu hambo. Imakethe kakotini, njenganoma iyiphi enye imakethe yezimpahla, ingaba shintshashintsha. Kubalulekile ukuthi ungavumeli imizwa ilawule izinqumo zakho zokuhweba. Namathela ohlelweni lwakho, hlala unesineke, futhi khumbula, imakethe ihlezi ilungile.
2.1. Ukuqonda I-Cotton Market Dynamics
Ukubamba amandla emakethe kakotini kufana nokwenza kahle isigqi somdanso oyinkimbinkimbi. Isinyathelo ngasinye, i-twirl ngayinye, ukumiswa ngakunye kunenjongo, futhi ukuqonda leyo njongo kuyisihluthulelo sokuzulazula emakethe ngempumelelo.
Imakethe kakotini, njenganoma iyiphi enye imakethe yezimpahla, ithonywa inqwaba yezinto. Ukunikezwa nokudingwa I-dynamics idlala indima ebalulekile ekunqumeni amanani kakotini. Isivuno sikakotini esikhulu emazweni akhiqiza kakhulu njenge-United States, i-China, noma i-India singaholela ekwandeni kwemakethe, kwehlise amanani entengo. Ngokuphambene, isivuno esingesihle ngenxa yesimo sezulu esingesihle noma ukuhlasela kwezinambuzane kungase kubangele ukushoda kwempahla, okubangela ukuba amanani enyuke.
Izimo zomnotho zomhlaba wonke futhi ibe nomthelela omkhulu emakethe kakotini. Ezikhathini zokukhula komnotho, isidingo semikhiqizo esekwe ukotini njengezimpahla zokugqoka nempahla yasendlini sivame ukukhuphuka, okwenza amanani kakotini abhebhetheke. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngesikhathi sokuwohloka komnotho, isidingo sale mikhiqizo sivame ukuwa, okuholela ekwehleni kwentengo kakotini.
Izinqubomgomo zikahulumeni emazweni akhiqiza ukotini nadlayo nawo anganyakazisa imakethe. Izibonelelo, amanani, imikhawulo yokuthekelisa, nokunye trade izinqubomgomo zingathinta ibhalansi yokuhlinzeka nesidingo, futhi, ngokulandelayo, amanani kakotini.
2.2. Izinyathelo Zokuqala Ukuhweba Kakotini
Ukuqala uhambo lwakho lokuhweba ukotini kubandakanya izinyathelo ezimbalwa ezibalulekile. Okokuqala nokubalulekile, zifundise. Ukuhweba kukakotini kungaphezu nje kokuthenga nokudayisa; kumayelana nokuqonda amandla emakethe ayinkimbinkimbi. Funda izincwadi, hambela izingqungquthela, futhi ulandele izindaba zemboni ukuze uhlale unolwazi.
- Olandelayo, khetha okuthembekile broker. Wakho broker kuyisango lakho lokuya emakethe, ngakho qiniseka ukuthi zihloniphekile futhi zilawulwa. Funa i brokers ezinikeza isevisi yamakhasimende enhle, izinkundla zokuhweba ezithuthukile, kanye nezindleko zokuncintisana.
- Ngemva kwalokho, thuthukisa isu lokuhweba eliqinile. Isu lakho kufanele lisekelwe ocwaningweni olubanzi lwemakethe nokuhlaziya. Kufanele ichaze izinhloso zakho zokuhweba, ukubekezelela ubungozi, nezindlela zokuhweba ozikhethayo.
- Qala nge-akhawunti yedemo ngaphambi kokungena ekuhwebeni okubukhoma. Lokhu kuzokuvumela ukuthi usebenzise amasu akho ngaphandle kokufaka imali yangempela. Futhi kuyindlela enhle yokujwayela inkundla yokuhweba.
- Gada imakethe njalo. Bheka izinto ezingase zithinte amanani kakotini, njengezimo zezulu, imicimbi yezwe, nezinkomba zezomnotho.
- Kukufunda eep. Imakethe ishintsha njalo, kanjalo nolwazi lwakho namasu. Hlala unolwazi ngezitayela zakamuva kanye nentuthuko embonini kakotini.
Khumbula, ukuhweba kukakotini kudinga isineke, isiyalo, kanye neso elibukhali ukuze uthole imininingwane. Akulona uhlelo lokuceba ngokushesha, kodwa ngendlela efanele nengqondo, kungaba umsebenzi ozuzisayo.
3. Ukwazi Amasu Okuhweba Kakotini
Ukuhweba kukakotini, njenganoma yikuphi okunye ukuhweba kwempahla, kudinga ukuqonda okujulile kokuguquguquka kwemakethe kanye nesu eliklanywe kahle. Impumelelo ekuhwebeni ukotini kuncike kakhulu ekhonweni lakho lokufunda nokuhumusha izimpawu zemakethe ngokunembile. Enye yezindlela eziphumelela kakhulu ihlanganisa ukulandela umkhondo ukuhlinzeka kanye nesidingo amazinga ukotini.
Leli su lisekelwe esimisweni sezomnotho esiyisisekelo sokuthi lapho ukunikezwa kwempahla kudlula isidingo, amanani ehle, futhi lapho isidingo sidlula ukunikezwa, amanani ayakhuphuka. Ngokubhekisisa amazinga okukhiqizwa kukakotini namazinga okusetshenziswa emhlabeni wonke, ungalindela umnyakazo wentengo futhi wenze izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi.
Elinye isu lizungeza amaphethini sezulu ezifundeni ezinkulu ezikhiqiza ukotini. Njengoba ukotini kuyisitshalo esingezwani nesimo sezulu, noma yiziphi izinguquko eziphawulekayo ezimweni zezulu zingathinta isivuno sikakotini futhi kamuva, amanani. Isibonelo, isikhathi eside sesomiso endaweni enkulu ekhiqiza ukotini singanciphisa ukutholakala kukakotini, kubangele amanani entengo enyuke.
ukuhlaziywa Technical elinye isu eliyisihluthulelo elingakusiza ukuthi ubikezele ukunyakaza kwamanani esikhathi esizayo ngokusekelwe kudatha yemakethe yangaphambilini. Lokhu kubandakanya ukusetshenziswa kwamathuluzi ahlukahlukene kanye nezinkomba ezifana nezilinganiso ezihambayo, imigqa yethrendi, kanye I-Fibonacci ukubuyisela emuva ukuhlonza amathuba okuhweba angaba khona.
Okokugcina, ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo inganikeza ukuqonda okubalulekile empilweni yonke yemakethe kakotini. Lokhu kuhilela ukuhlola izinhlobonhlobo zezinkomba zomnotho, okuhlanganisa amazinga okukhula kwe-GDP, amanani emali, nezibalo zokuqashwa, ukuze kulinganiswe isidingo sisonke sikakotini.
Khumbula, alikho isu elilodwa elingaqinisekisa impumelelo ekuhwebeni kukakotini. Kubalulekile ukusebenzisa inhlanganisela yala masu futhi ulungise indlela yakho ngokuqhubekayo ngokusekelwe ezimeni zemakethe.
Ulwazi iyisikhali sakho esinamandla emhlabeni wokuhweba ukotini. Hlala unolwazi, hlala uvumelana nezimo, futhi uhlale ngaphambi komdlalo.
3.1. Ukuhlaziywa Okuyisisekelo Ekuhwebeni Kakotini
Uma kuziwa ekuhwebeni ukotini, umuntu akakwazi ukubukela phansi ukubaluleka ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo. Le ndlela yokuhlola ibalulekile ekuqondeni ukubaluleka kwangaphakathi kukakotini njengempahla. Kuhilela ukuhlolwa ngokucophelela kwezinhlobonhlobo izinkomba zezomnotho kanye nezici zemakethe ezingase zibe nomthelela entengweni kakotini.
Ngokwesibonelo, amaphethini sezulu dlala indima ebalulekile ekukhiqizeni ukotini. Izimo zezulu ezingezinhle njengesomiso noma imvula eningi zingaholela esivunweni esingesihle, ngaleyo ndlela kwehlise ukutholakala kukakotini emakethe. Lokhu kushoda kungase kwenyuse intengo kakotini.
Ngokufanayo, ukuzinza kwezombusazwe emazweni akhiqiza ukotini ngesinye isici okufanele sicatshangelwe. Iziyaluyalu zezombusazwe noma izinguquko phakathi trade izinqubomgomo zingaphazamisa i-supply chain, okungase kuthikameze ukutholakala nentengo kakotini.
Izitayela zomnotho futhi abe nomthelela oqondile emananini kakotini. Umnotho othuthukayo uvame ukuholela ekwandeni kwesidingo sikakotini, njengoba usetshenziswa kakhulu ezimbonini ezihlukahlukene njengezingubo zokugqoka, impahla yasendlini kanye nezokukhiqiza. Ngokuphambene, ukwehla komnotho kungaholela ekwehleni kwesidingo, kubangele ukwehla kwamanani kakotini.
Okokugcina, i amandla edola laseMelika kungesinye isici esibalulekile okufanele sicatshangelwe. Njengoba ukotini kunjalo traded ngamadola ase-US emhlabeni jikelele, idola eliqinile lingenza ukotini ubize kakhulu kubathengi bangaphandle, okungase kuholele ekwehleni kwesidingo.
Ngokuqonda lezi zici ezibalulekile, traders bangenza izinqumo ezinolwazi kakhulu futhi bakhulise amathuba abo okuphumelela emakethe kakotini. Khumbula nje, nakuba ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo kunikeza imininingwane ebalulekile, kufanele kusetshenziswe ngokuhambisana nokunye amasu ukuhweba ukuthola imiphumela efanelekile.
3.2. Ukuhlaziywa Kwezobuchwepheshe Ekuhwebeni kukakotini
Emhlabeni wokuhweba ukotini, analysis technical idlala indima ebalulekile ekubikezeleni ukunyakaza kwamanani okuzayo. Lokhu kuhlaziya kusekelwe ocwaningweni lwedatha yemakethe edlule, ngokuyinhloko intengo nevolumu. Isimiso esiyinhloko sale ndlela ukuthi i-psychology yemakethe ithonya ukuhweba ngendlela evumela ukubikezela ukuthi amanani kakotini azokhuphuka noma ehle nini.
Enye yezindlela ezivame kakhulu zokuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe ekuhwebeni ukotini ukusetshenziswa kwe amashadi ekhandlela. Lawa mashadi anikeza ukumelwa okubonakalayo kokunyakaza kwentengo esikhathini esithile, okuvumelayo traders ukuhlonza amaphethini namathrendi. Isibonelo, iphethini yekhandlela 'ye-bullish' ingase ibonise ukuthambekela okukhuphukayo, iphakamise ukuthi isikhathi esihle sokuthenga, kuyilapho iphethini ye-'bearish' ingase ibonise ithrendi eyehlayo, ekhombisa ukuthi yisikhathi sokuthengisa.
Ngaphandle kwamashadi wezinti zamakhandlela, traders futhi sebenzisa okuhlukahlukene izinkomba technical ukusiza ukunquma ukunyakaza kwentengo okungaba khona. Lokhu kufaka phakathi i-Moving Averages (MA), Isihlobo Amandla Inkomba (RSI), Futhi I-Bollinger Amabhendi. I-MA iyinkomba elandela ithrendi noma 'esalelayo' ngoba isekelwe ezintengo ezedlule. I-RSI, ngakolunye uhlangothi, iyi-a umfutho i-oscillator ekala isivinini kanye noshintsho lokunyakaza kwentengo. Amabhendi e-Bollinger angamabhande aguqukayo abekwe ngaphezulu nangaphansi kwe-a isilinganiso esihambayo, lapho ukuguquguquka kwanda, amabhande ayanda futhi lapho ukuguquguquka kuncipha, amabhande ayancipha.
Ukubuyisela kwe-Fibonacci kungenye ithuluzi lokuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe elisetshenziswa kabanzi ekuhwebeni kukakotini. Traders sebenzisa leli thuluzi ukukhomba amazinga angaba khona okusekela nokumelana ngokudweba imigqa evundlile emazingeni e-Fibonacci angu-23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, kanye no-100%.
Empeleni, ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe ekuhwebeni ukotini kuyindlela ye-methodological ehlomisayo traders ngamathuluzi okubikezela ukunyakaza kwentengo okuzayo. Kuyinhlanganisela yobuciko nesayensi, edinga amakhono okuhlaziya kanye nokuqondisisa. Nakuba ingeyona into engenangqondo, iyahlinzeka traders ngesisekelo esiqinile sokwenza izinqumo ezinolwazi. Khumbula, ukhiye wokuhweba ngempumelelo usekuqondeni nasekusebenziseni ngempumelelo la mathuluzi namasu.
3.3. Ukulawulwa Kwengozi Ekuhwebeni kukakotini
Emhlabeni wokuhweba kukakotini, ukuphathwa kwengozi yi-linchpin ebambe isu lakho lokuhweba ndawonye. Lokhu kuyiqiniso ikakhulukazi lapho usebenza nempahla eguquguqukayo njengokotini. Isinyathelo sokuqala sokulawula ubungozi ekuhwebeni kukakotini ukuqonda izici ezithonya amanani kakotini. Lokhu kuhlanganisa izimo zezulu, ukuthambekela komnotho emhlabeni wonke, kanye nezinguquko ezimisweni zikahulumeni.
Izimo zezulu ingaba nomthelela omkhulu ekukhiqizeni ukotini. Inkathi eyomile ingaholela esivunweni esingesihle, sinyuse amanani kakotini ngenxa yokuncipha kokutholakala kwempahla. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, izimo zezulu ezikahle zingaholela esivunweni esikhulu, okubangela ukuba amanani ehle ngenxa yokwanda kokutholakala kwempahla. Ngokuhlala unolwazi ngezibikezelo zesimo sezulu ezifundeni ezibalulekile ezikhiqiza ukotini, ungalindela umnyakazo wentengo futhi ulungise isu lakho lokuhweba ngokufanele.
Izitayela zomnotho zomhlaba futhi idlala indima ebalulekile emananini kakotini. Lapho umnotho udlondlobala, isidingo sikakotini sivame ukukhula njengoba abathengi benemali eningi etholakalayo abangayisebenzisa emikhiqizweni eyenziwe ukotini. Ngokuphambene, ngesikhathi sokuwohloka komnotho, isidingo sikakotini ngokuvamile siyehla, okuholela ekwehleni kwentengo. Ngakho-ke, ukugcina iso ezinkomba zezomnotho kungakusiza ukubikezela izitayela zentengo kakotini esikhathini esizayo.
Ekugcineni, izinguquko kuzinqubomgomo zikahulumeni ingaba nomthelela omkhulu emananini kakotini. Ngokwesibonelo, ukushintsha trade izinqubomgomo zinganyusa noma zehlise isidingo sikakotini, kuthinte intengo yawo. Ngokufanayo, izinguquko kuzinqubomgomo zezolimo zingathinta ukuhlinzekwa kukakotini, ngaleyo ndlela zibe nomthelela entengo yawo. Ngokuhlala unolwazi mayelana nezinguquko zenqubomgomo emazweni ayinhloko akhiqiza ukotini nawusebenzisayo, ungakulindela kangcono ukuguquguquka kwentengo futhi ulawule ubungozi bakho ngempumelelo.
Ngaphezu kokuqonda lezi zici, ukulawulwa kwengozi okuphumelelayo ekuhwebeni kukakotini kuhlanganisa nokusebenzisa amathuluzi ahlukahlukene okulawula ubungozi. Lezi zihlanganisa ukuyeka-ukulahlekelwa Ama-oda, ezithengisa ngokuzenzakalelayo izinkontileka zakho zikakotini lapho amanani efinyelela izinga elithile, futhi ukumboza, okubandakanya ukuthatha isikhundla emakethe ehlobene ukuze kuncishiswe ukulahlekelwa okungaba khona emakethe kakotini. Ngokusebenzisa la mathuluzi, ungavikela imali yakho yokuhweba futhi wandise amathuba akho okuphumelela emakethe kakotini.
4. Izihloko Ezithuthukile Ekuhwebeni Kwekotini
Njengoba ujula emhlabeni wokuhweba ukotini, kunezihloko ezimbalwa ezithuthukisiwe okufanele uzihlole. Izinkontileka zekusasa ziyisisekelo semboni yokuhweba ukotini. Lezi zivumelwano ezibophezela ngokusemthethweni zokuthenga noma ukuthengisa ukotini ngedethi ezayo zinikeza kokubili abathengi nabathengisi isilinganiso esithile sokuzinza kwentengo. Nokho, futhi bethula izinga lobungozi, njengoba amanani emakethe angashintshashintsha ngokungalindelekile.
- Ukuguquguquka kwentengo, eqinisweni, esinye isici esiyinhloko sokuhweba ukotini. Izici ezihlukahlukene zingathonya amanani kakotini, kusukela ekushintsheni kwesimo sezulu esithinta ukuvunwa kwezitshalo kuya ekushintsheni kokufunwa komhlaba wonke. Ukuqonda ukuthi lezi zici zisebenzisana kanjani kungakusiza ukuthi ulindele izinguquko zentengo futhi wenze izinqumo zokuhweba unolwazi.
- Amandla ezimakethe zomhlaba futhi idlala indima ebalulekile ekuhwebeni kukakotini. Ukotini uyimpahla yomhlaba wonke, futhi izinguquko engxenyeni eyodwa yomhlaba zingashintshashintsha ezimakethe. Isibonelo, isivuno sikakotini esikhulu eNdiya singanciphisa amanani omhlaba, kube nomthelela traders emhlabeni jikelele.
- Izinto eziyinkimbinkimbi ze-Supply chain kukhona esinye isihloko esithuthukisiwe ekuhwebeni ukotini. Uhambo olusuka ensimini kakotini ukuya emkhiqizweni osuphelile lude futhi luyinkimbinkimbi, olubandakanya abalimi, abaqalayo, abaphotha, abaluki kanye nabathengisi. Isixhumanisi ngasinye kuchungechunge singaba nomthelela entengo nokutholakala kukakotini.
- Rukucatshangelwa kwemithetho ingaba nomthelela omkhulu ekuhwebeni kukakotini. Kusukela kumxhaso wezolimo kuya trade amanani entengo, izinqubomgomo zikahulumeni zingathonya kakhulu imakethe kakotini. Ukuhlala wazi ngale mithetho kungakusiza ukuthi uzulazule endaweni yokuhweba ukotini ngempumelelo.
Lezi zihloko ezithuthukisiwe zinikeza ukuqonda okujulile kobunzima bokuhweba ukotini. Ngokufunda kahle lezi zindawo, ungathatha i-acumen yakho yokuhweba ukotini uye kwelinye izinga.
4.1. Ikusasa likakotini kanye nezinketho
Ikusasa likakotini nezinketho ukuhweba yizwe elithakazelisayo elinikeza inqwaba yamathuba traders. Njengenye yezinto ezithambile ezibaluleke kakhulu emhlabeni, ukotini unemakethe enkulu yomhlaba wonke ethonywa yizinto ezahlukahlukene.
Futures yizinkontileka ezibophezela umthengi ukuthi athenge, kanye nomthengisi ukuthi athengise, inani elithile likakotini ngentengo enqunywe kusengaphambili ngedethi ezayo. Lezi zinkontileka zilinganiswa ngokushintshisana, okusho ukuthi imininingwane efana nekhwalithi kakotini, inani, kanye nosuku lokulethwa kusethwa kusengaphambili. Lokhu kumiswa kwenza izinkontileka zesikhathi esizayo zibe manzi kakhulu, zivumele traders ukuthenga nokudayisa kalula.
Izinketho ngakolunye uhlangothi, nikeza umthengi ilungelo, kodwa hhayi isibopho, sokuthenga noma ukuthengisa inani elithile likakotini ngentengo enqunywe kusengaphambili phakathi nesikhathi esimisiwe. Lokhu kuvumelana nezimo kwenza izinketho zibe yinketho edumile traders abafuna ukuvimba ubungozi babo noma ukuqagela ngokunyakaza kwamanani.
Intengo yekusasa likakotini nezinketho zithonywa yizici ezihlukahlukene, okuhlanganisa izimo zezulu, amazinga okukhiqiza emhlabeni wonke, nezinguquko ezidingekayo. Isibonelo, isivuno esingesihle ngenxa yesimo sezulu esingesihle singaholela ekwehleni kokunikezwayo, okubangela ukuba amanani enyuke.
Traders ingathatha isikhangisovantage zalokhu kushintshashintsha kwentengo ngokuthenga okuphansi nokudayisa phezulu, noma okuphambene nalokho. Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi ukuhweba ngekusasa likakotini nezinketho kuhilela izinga eliphezulu lobungozi, njengoba amanani angashintshashintsha kakhulu ngesikhathi esifushane. Ngakho-ke, kubalulekile ukuba nokuqonda okuqinile kwemakethe nokusebenzisa amasu okulawula ubungozi ukuze uvikele utshalomali lwakho.
Ngaphezu kokuhweba ngekusasa lomuntu ngamunye kanye nezinkontileka zezinketho, traders ingasebenzisa futhi ukuhweba ukusabalalisa amasu. Lokhu kubandakanya ukuthenga nokudayisa izinkontileka ezimbili ezihlukene ngesikhathi esisodwa ukuze kuthathwe isikhangisovantage umehluko wamanani. Ngokwesibonelo, a trader angase athenge inkontileka yekusasa likakotini ukuze alethwe ngoJulayi futhi athengise inkontileka ezothunyelwa ngoDisemba, ngethemba lokuzuza ngomehluko wamanani phakathi kwalezi zinkontileka ezimbili.
Noma ngabe umunyiwe trader noma uqala nje, ikusasa likakotini nezinketho zinikeza imakethe enamandla nejabulisayo enamathuba amaningi okwenza inzuzo. Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukwenza umsebenzi wakho wesikole futhi uqonde ubungozi ngaphambi kokungena emanzini.
4.2. Ama-ETF kakotini kanye CFDs
Uma usulungele ukuhlukanisa iphothifoliyo yakho yokuhweba futhi ungene ezweni lempahla, cabanga amandla Ama-ETF kakotini kanye CFDs. Lawa mathuluzi ezezimali anikezela ngendlela ehlukile yokubamba iqhaza emakethe kakotini ngaphandle kwesidingo sokugcinwa ngokomzimba noma ukulethwa.
Ukushintshanisa-Traded Izimali (ama-ETF) yizimali zokutshalwa kwezimali kanye nokuhwebelana-traded imikhiqizo elandelela intengo kakotini. Ama-ETF anjalo traded ezimakethe zesitoko, okwenza zifinyeleleke kubatshalizimali abahlukahlukene. Banikeza isikhangisovantage yokukwazi ukuthenga nokudayisa amasheya esikhwameni njengoba ubungenza ngesitokwe esijwayelekile, ukuhlinzeka izimali kanye nokuvumelana nezimo.
Izivumelwano zokuhluka (CFDs) ngakolunye uhlangothi, yimikhiqizo ephuma kokunye ekuvumela ukuthi uqagele ngokuhamba kwentengo kakotini ngaphandle kokuba ngumnikazi wempahla eyisisekelo. Lokhu kusho ukuthi ungakwazi ukuzuza kuzo zombili izimakethe ezikhulayo neziwayo. Nokho, kubalulekile ukuqaphela lokho CFD ukuhweba kubandakanya izinga eliphezulu lobungozi ngenxa yokusebenzisa amandla, futhi kungase kungafaneleki kubo bonke abatshalizimali.
Njenganoma yiliphi isu lokuhweba, kubalulekile ukwenza ucwaningo olunzulu futhi uqonde ubungozi obukhona ngaphambi kokutshala imali Ama-ETF kakotini kanye CFDs. Cabangela izici ezifana nezimo zemakethe zamanje, izitayela zamanani zomlando, kanye nomthelela wemicimbi yezomnotho yomhlaba embonini kakotini. Khumbula ukuthi nakuba ukuhweba ukotini kungase kube inzuzo, akukhona ngaphandle kwengozi. Ngakho-ke, kuhlale kuwumqondo omuhle ukufuna izeluleko zochwepheshe uma umusha kulolu hlobo lokuhweba.
