1. Ukuqonda Izinkomba Zokuguquguquka
Izinkomba zokuguquguquka, ingxenye ebalulekile yokuhweba, izinyathelo zezibalo ezibikezela izinguquko zentengo emakethe yezezimali. Trader sebenzisa lezi zinkomba ukuqonda izitayela zemakethe nokwenza izinqumo ezinolwazi. Umqondo wokuguquguquka ngokuvamile awuqondwa kahle, nokho ukubaluleka kwawo akunakweqiwa. Izinga lokuhlukahluka lochungechunge lwamanani okuhweba ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, ngokuvamile olukalwa ngokuchezuka okujwayelekile kwembuyiselo ye-logarithmic.
Ukuguquguquka Komlando, eyaziwa nangokuthi i- statistical volatility, ingenye yezinkomba ezinjalo. Ikala izinguquko zempahla eyisisekelo ngokuhamba kwesikhathi futhi inikeza isilinganiso esihlobene ingozi. Traders ngokuvamile sebenzisa ukuguquguquka komlando ukubikezela ukuntengantenga kwesikhathi esizayo, okwenza kube ithuluzi elibalulekile ku-arsenal yabo.
I-Volatility eshiwo, ngakolunye uhlangothi, isilinganiso esiguquguqukayo sokuntengantenga esishintsha ngomuzwa wemakethe. Isuselwa enanini lemakethe yemakethe traded kokuphuma kokunye (ikakhulukazi, inketho). Ngokungafani nokuguquguquka komlando, ukuguquguquka okushiwo akukona ukubonakaliswa kwezinguquko ezidlule, kodwa ukuqagela kokuntengantenga kwesikhathi esizayo.
The Index ye-Volatility (VIX) kungenye inkomba ethandwayo yokuguquguquka. Okuvame ukubizwa ngokuthi 'igeji yokwesaba', ikala ubungozi bemakethe, ukwesaba kanye nengcindezi ngaphambi kokuba kubonakale ezimakethe eziyisisekelo.
Isilinganiso Ebangeni Langempela (ATR) iyinkomba yokuguquguquka ekhombisa izinga lokuntengantenga kwentengo. Akuyona inkomba yokuqondisa, kunalokho inikeza izinga lokuguquguquka kwentengo.
I-Bollinger bands, esinye isibonisi esisetshenziswa kakhulu esisetshenziswa kabanzi, sihlanganisa ibhendi ephakathi nendawo enamabhendi amabili angaphandle. Amabhendi angaphandle avamise ukusetha ukuchezuka okujwayelekile okungu-2 ngenhla nangaphansi kwebhendi emaphakathi. Amabhendi e-Bollinger anda futhi enza inkontileka nokuguquguquka kwamanani.
Ukuqonda lezi zinkomba zokuguquguquka nokuthi ungazisebenzisa kanjani ngempumelelo kungathuthukisa kakhulu isu lakho lokuhweba. Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi akukho nkomba engenangqondo. Kufanele zisetshenziswe ngokuhambisana namanye amathuluzi namasu ukuze kube nemiphumela engcono kakhulu.
1.1. Incazelo Yezinkomba Zokuguquguquka
Izinkomba zokuguquguquka zingamathuluzi abalulekile ku-arsenal yazo zonke trader. Adlala indima ebalulekile ekudaluleni ukuziphatha kwenani kwesibambiso, ngaleyo ndlela avumele traders ukwenza izinqumo ezinolwazi. Empeleni, lezi zinkomba zihlinzeka ngesilinganiso sezinga lapho intengo yesibambiso inyuka noma yehla kusethi yembuyiselo. I-volatility iyisici esibalulekile ekuhwebeni, njengoba ikala izinga lobungozi obuhilelekile.
Uma kukhuphuka ukuguquguquka, ingozi iyanda, futhi ngenxa yalokho, amathuba enzuzo ebalulekile - noma ukulahlekelwa. Ngokuphambene, ukuntengantenga okuphansi kuvame ukukhombisa ubungozi obuncane, kodwa futhi okungenzeka kube nenzuzo encane. Ngakho-ke, izinkomba zokuguquguquka ziyingxenye ebalulekile yamasu okulawula ubungozi.
Kunezinhlobo eziningana zezinkomba zokuguquguquka, ngayinye inendlela yayo ehlukile kanye nombono wayo. Lezi zihlanganisa Isilinganiso sangempela seqiniso (ATR), lo Amabhodi we-Bollinger, Kanye Isihlobo Amandla Inkomba (RSI). Ngayinye yalezi zikhombisi inikeza imininingwane ehlukene ngayo Ukukhishwa kwemakethe, ukuvumela traders ukulungisa amasu abo ngokuvumelana nezimo zemakethe zamanje.
I-ATR, isibonelo, ibala ibanga lokuhweba elimaphakathi ngesikhathi esithile, ihlinzeka ngesilinganiso sokuntengantenga kukonke. I-Bollinger Bands, ngakolunye uhlangothi, ihlela ukuchezuka okubili okujwayelekile kude ne-a isilinganiso esihambayo esilula, ngaleyo ndlela ikhombisa izinga lokuguquguquka okuhlobene nenani lentengo. Okokugcina, i-RSI ikala isivinini kanye noshintsho lokunyakaza kwentengo, ihlinzeka ngombono osuselwe kumfutho wokuguquguquka.
Lezi izinkomba zokuguquguquka ingasetshenziswa ngokuhlukaniswa noma ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba, ukuhlinzeka traders ngokuqonda okuphelele kokuntengantenga kwemakethe. Ngokwazi kahle la mathuluzi, traders angakwazi ukuzulazula emanzini avame ukuba nezinxushunxushu ezimakethe zezimali, akhulise amandla azo okwenza inzuzo kuyilapho enciphisa ubungozi.
1.2. Izinhlobo Zokuguquguquka
Emhlabeni oguquguqukayo wezohwebo, ukuqonda ukuguquguquka kufana nokuba nekhono lokusebenzisa amandla emakethe. Kunezinhlobo ezimbili eziyinhloko zokuguquguquka lokho traders udinga ukujwayelana nalokhu: Ukuguquguquka komlando (HV) futhi Implied Volatility (IV).
Ukuguquguquka Komlando, njengoba igama liphakamisa, isilinganiso sokuguquguquka kwemakethe esikhathini esicacisiwe esikhathini esidlule. Ibalwa ngokunquma ukuchezuka okujwayelekile okwenziwa minyaka yonke kwezinguquko zentengo zansuku zonke zesitoko. I-HV inikezela ngesifingqo sokuthi intengo yesibambiso ichezuke kangakanani enanini layo elimaphakathi, ukunikeza traders umuzwa webanga lentengo yesitoko. Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi ukusebenza kwangaphambilini akuqinisekisi imiphumela yesikhathi esizayo, ngakho-ke i-HV kufanele isetshenziswe ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba ukuze uthole umbono ophelele wemakethe.
Ngokolunye uhlangothi, I-Volatility eshiwo iyimethrikhi ebheke phambili ebonisa okulindelekile kwemakethe kokuntengantenga kwesikhathi esizayo kwezokuphepha. IV isuselwa enanini lenketho futhi ikhombisa lokho imakethe ekubikezelayo mayelana nokunyakaza okungenzeka kwesitoko. Ngokungafani ne-HV, i-IV ayisekelwe kudatha yomlando; esikhundleni salokho, ikala imizwa yemakethe futhi ilindele ukushintsha kwamanani esikhathi esizayo. Kuyithuluzi elibalulekile lezinketho traders, ikakhulukazi lapho uhlela amasu mayelana nezimemezelo zeholo noma eminye imicimbi ebalulekile.
Phakathi kwalezi zinhlobo ezimbili ze-volatility, traders angathola ukuqonda okuphelele kokuguquguquka kwemakethe. Ngokusebenzisa imininingwane evela kokubili i-HV kanye ne-IV, bangakwazi ukwenza izinqumo ezinolwazi futhi bathuthukise ezabo amasu ukuhweba.
2. Top Volatility Izinkomba for Traders
Lapho uzulazula olwandle oluyaluzayo lokuhweba ezimakethe, uchwepheshe tradeuyazi ukuthi ukuqonda ukuguquguquka kuyisihluthulelo sokuhlala untanta. Phakathi kwezinkulungwane zamathuluzi atholakalayo, amabili agqama njengezinkomba eziphezulu zokuguquguquka: i Amabhodi we-Bollinger futhi Isilinganiso sangempela seqiniso (ATR).
The Amabhodi we-Bollinger ziyinkomba yokuguquguquka eyenza ibhande lemigqa emithathu-umugqa ophakathi ube lula isilinganiso esihambayo (SMA) futhi imigqa yangaphandle ibe imigqa yokuchezuka evamile. Incazelo eyisisekelo yama-Bollinger Bands ukuthi intengo ivame ukuhlala ngaphakathi kwamabhendi aphezulu naphansi. Izinguquko zentengo ezibukhali zivame ukwenzeka ngemva kokuba amabhande eqinisiwe, njengoba ukuntengantenga kuncipha. Uma izintengo zihamba ngaphandle kwamabhendi, ukuqhubeka kwethrendi yamanje kushiwo.
The Isilinganiso sangempela seqiniso (ATR), ngakolunye uhlangothi, isilinganiso sokuguquguquka esethulwe nguWelles Wilder encwadini yakhe, "Imiqondo Emisha Ezinhlelo Zokuhweba Zezobuchwepheshe". Inkomba yobubanzi bangempela inkulu kokulandelayo: iphakeme yamanje ingaphansi kweziphansi zamanje, inani eliphelele lezinga eliphezulu lingaphansi kokuvalwa kwangaphambilini, kanye nenani eliphelele lokuphansi kwamanje lingaphansi kokuvalwa kwangaphambilini. I-ATR iyisilinganiso esihambayo sobubanzi bangempela.
Zombili lezi zinkomba zinikeza ukuqonda okubalulekile kokuntengantenga kwemakethe, kodwa kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi azibikezeli isiqondiso, kuphela ukuguquguquka. Zingasetshenziswa ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba ukwakha isu lokuhweba eliqinile. Ukuthi ungumfundi tradeUma uqala nje noma uchwepheshe ongumakadebona ukulungisa indlela yakho, ukuqonda nokusebenzisa lezi zinkomba eziphezulu zokuntengantenga kungashintsha umdlalo ohambweni lwakho lokuhweba.
2.1. I-Average True Range (ATR)
Ithuthukiswe ngu-J. Welles Wilder, i Isilinganiso sangempela seqiniso (ATR) is a analysis technical inkomba ekala ukuntengantenga kwemakethe ngokubolisa lonke uhla lwenani lempahla yangaleso sikhathi. Ngokucacile, i-ATR isilinganiso sokuntengantenga okwethulwa idatha yemakethe ehlanganisa impahla ephezulu, ephansi, futhi evaliwe yosuku.
I-ATR ibalwa ngokuthatha isilinganiso esiphezulu salezi zinyathelo ezintathu ezilandelayo: eliphezulu lamanje lisusa eliphansi lamanje; inani eliphelele lokuphezulu kwamanje khipha ukuvala kwangaphambilini; kanye nenani eliphelele lokuphansi kwamanje khipha ukuvala kwangaphambilini. Le ndlela yokubala ibamba ukuguquguquka kusuka izikhala futhi umkhawulo uhamba emakethe.
I-ATR ayinikezi ukuchema kokuqondisa noma ibikezele isiqondisindlela sentengo esizayo, esikhundleni salokho, imane ilinganise izinga lokuguquguquka kwentengo. Ngokombono wokuhweba, amanani aphezulu e-ATR abonisa ukuguquguquka okuphezulu futhi angase abe inkomba yokuthengisa okuthuthumelayo noma ukuthenga ukwethuka. Amanani aphansi e-ATR, ngakolunye uhlangothi, amelela ukuguquguquka okuphansi futhi angabonisa ukungazinqumeli kwabatshalizimali noma ukuhlanganiswa kwemakethe.
TradeI-rs ivamise ukusebenzisa i-ATR ukubala mathupha ukuthi izosetha kuphi izindawo zokungena nokuphuma trades. Ngokwesibonelo, a trader angakhetha ukufaka a trade uma intengo ihamba ngaphezu kwe-1 ATR ngaphezu kokuvalwa kwangaphambilini, futhi ingasetha i- ukuyeka ukulahlekelwa ku-1 ATR ngaphansi kwentengo yokungena.
The Isilinganiso sangempela seqiniso (ATR) iyithuluzi elisebenza ngezindlela eziningi elisizayo traders ukuqonda ngokugcwele umongo wemakethe lapho behweba khona. Ngokunikeza isilinganiso esinembile sokuguquguquka, inika amandla traders ukwenza izinqumo ezinolwazi olunzulu ngamasu abo okuhweba.
2.2. Amabhendi eBollinger
Emhlabeni wokuhweba, Amabhodi we-Bollinger ime njengesibani senkomba yokuguquguquka. Ithuthukiswe yinganekwane trader John Bollinger, leli thuluzi lokuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe liyintandokazi phakathi traders ngobulula bayo kodwa nokusebenza okumangazayo. Umqondo ngemuva kweBollinger Bands uqondile. Iqukethe isilinganiso esihambayo esilula (i-SMA) lapho kudwetshwa khona imigqa emibili, amabhande aphezulu naphansi. Lawa mabhendi ahlelwe ukuchezuka okubili okujwayelekile kude ne-SMA.
The ubuhle Bollinger Bands kulele emandleni abo okuzivumelanisa nezimo zemakethe ezishintshayo. Lapho imakethe izolile, inkontileka yamabhendi, ebonisa isikhathi sokungaguquguquki okuphansi. Ngokuphambene, lapho imakethe iguquguquka, amabhande ayanda, adweba isithombe sokuguquguquka okuphezulu. Le mvelo eguquguqukayo yama-Bollinger Bands iwenza abe yithuluzi eliguquguqukayo kakhulu, elisebenza ezimeni ezahlukahlukene zemakethe.
Traders sebenzisa ama-Bollinger Bands ngezindlela eziningi. Isu elilodwa elidumile yi- 'I-Bollinger Bounce'. Leli su lisekelwe esimisweni sokuthi inani livame ukubuyela phakathi kwamabhendi. Ngakho-ke, lapho intengo ithinta ibhande eliphezulu, traders uyibheka njengethengiwe ngokweqile futhi ulindele ukuthi ibuyele esimweni. Ngokufanayo, lapho intengo ithinta ibhendi ephansi, ibhekwa njengedayiswe ngokweqile, futhi ukuphinda kubuyele ebhendini ephakathi kuyalindelwe.
Elinye isu elaziwa kakhulu yi 'I-Bollinger Squeeze'. Leli su lisebenza ezikhathini lapho amabhendi esondelene, okubonisa ukuguquguquka okuphansi. Ukuminyanisa kuvame ukulandelwa ukunyakaza kwentengo okubalulekile, noma ukuphuma. Traders bukela lezi zimpintshi bese uzibeka trades isuselwa ekuqondeni kokuqhuma.
Kodwa-ke, njenganoma yiliphi elinye ithuluzi lokuhweba, ama-Bollinger Bands awawona amaphutha. Kufanele zisetshenziswe ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba kanye namasu okuhlaziya ukwandisa ukusebenza kwawo. Noma kunjalo, ngekhono labo lokuhlonza izikhathi zokuntengantenga okuphezulu nokuphansi nokuhlinzeka ngamaphuzu okungena nokuphuma okungenzeka, ama-Bollinger Bands azuze indawo yawo ebhokisini lamathuluzi labaningi abaphumelele. traders.
2.3. Isihlobo Samandla Inkomba (RSI)
Phakathi kwezinkomba eziningi zokuguquguquka, i-Relative Strength Index (RSI) ime inde inekhono layo elihlukile lokukala isivinini noshintsho lokunyakaza kwentengo. Idalwe ngu-J. Welles Wilder, i-RSI iyi-a umfutho i-oscillator ephakathi kuka-0 no-100, ihlinzeka traders namasignali wezimo ezingase zithengwe ngokweqile noma ezidayiswe kakhulu emakethe.
I-RSI ibalwa kusetshenziswa ifomula: I-RSI = 100 – (100 / (1 + RS)), lapho i-RS (Relative Strength) iyinzuzo emaphakathi ehlukaniswa ngokulahlekelwa okumaphakathi ngesikhathi esithile. Ngokwesiko, isikhathi sezinsuku eziyi-14 sisetshenziselwa izibalo, kodwa lokhu kungalungiswa ukuze kulingane namasu ahlukene okuhweba.
Kungenzeka kanjani traders usebenzisa i-RSI? Uma i-RSI idlula ama-70, ikhombisa ukuthi isibambiso singathengwa ngokweqile futhi singaba ngenxa yokulungiswa kwentengo. Ngokuphambene, i-RSI engaphansi kuka-30 isho ukuthi isibambiso singadayiswa ngokweqile, okungenzeka simele ithuba lokuthenga. Abanye traders futhi ibheka 'ukwehlukana kwe-RSI' - lapho intengo yesibambiso yenza ukuphakama okusha noma kwehle, kodwa i-RSI iyehluleka ukwenza kanjalo. Lokhu kwehlukana kungaba uphawu olunamandla lokuhlehla kwemakethe okungaba khona.
Emhlabeni wokuguquguquka, i-RSI inikeza umbono oyingqayizivele. Ayilandeleli nje izinguquko zentengo, kodwa isivinini nobukhulu balezi zinguquko. Lokhu kuyenza ibe yithuluzi elibalulekile traders ibheke ukukala imizwa yemakethe futhi ihlonze amathuba okuhweba angaba khona ezimakethe eziguquguqukayo.
Nokho, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi, njengazo zonke izinkomba, i-RSI ayinaphutha futhi kufanele isetshenziswe ngokuhambisana namanye amathuluzi nezindlela zokuhlaziya. Kubalulekile futhi ukuqonda ukuthi i-RSI iphumelela kakhulu ezimakethe ezithrendayo, kunalezo ezishintshayo.
I-RSI iyinkomba enamandla yokuntengantenga, kodwa ayilona ibhola lekristalu. Ithuluzi okuthi, uma lisetshenziswe ngendlela efanele, linganikeza imininingwane ebalulekile mayelana nokuguquguquka kwemakethe nosizo traders ukwenza izinqumo ezinolwazi.
2.4. Inkomba ye-Volatility (VIX)
Uma kuziwa ekulinganiseni ukuguquguquka kwezimakethe, i Inkomba Ye-Volatility (VIX) ivame ukudunyiswa ngokuthi igolide ejwayelekile. Ithuthukiswe yi-Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), leli thuluzi elinamandla linikeza isifinyezo sesikhathi sangempela semizwa yabatshalizimali kanye nokulindelwe yimakethe. I-VIX, evame ukubizwa ngokuthi 'inkomba yokwesaba', ikala ukukhathazeka kwemakethe ngokubala ukuntengantenga okushiwo kwezinketho zenkomba ye-S&P 500.
Ngamafuphi, i-VIX ibonisa ukubikezela kwemakethe kokuguquguquka okuzayo kwezinsuku ezingama-30. Inani eliphakeme le-VIX libonisa ukulindela okuguquguqukayo okuphezulu, okuvame ukuhlotshaniswa nokungaqiniseki kwemakethe nokwethuka, kuyilapho i-VIX ephansi iphakamisa imakethe ezolile enokuntengantenga okuphansi. Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi i-VIX isho ukubuyisela emuva, okusho ukuthi ijwayele ukubuyela emuva ekulinganiseni kwayo kwesikhathi eside ngokuhamba kwesikhathi.
Ukuqonda i-VIX kungaba isiguquli segeyimu traders. Inikeza imininingwane ebalulekile mayelana namashifu emakethe angaba khona, iyasiza traders ukulungisa amasu abo ngokufanele. Isibonelo, i-spike engazelelwe ku-VIX ingaba isignali yokunciphisa ubungozi, kuyilapho i-VIX ephansi ingase iphakamise ithuba lokuthatha ingozi eyengeziwe.
Kodwa-ke, njenganoma iyiphi inkomba, i-VIX ayinaphutha futhi akufanele isetshenziswe yodwa. Kubalulekile uku hlanganisa i-VIX nezinye izinkomba kanye nokuhlaziywa kwemakethe ukwenza izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi. Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi, i-VIX ihlala iyithuluzi elibalulekile ku- trader's kit, enikeza umbono oyingqayizivele wokuntengantenga kwezimakethe.
Khumbula, isihluthulelo sokuhweba ngempumelelo akukhona nje ekuqondeni isimo samanje semakethe, kodwa futhi nasekulindeleni umnyakazo wayo wesikhathi esizayo. Futhi yilapho i-VIX iqala khona ukudlala - iwindi emphefumulweni wemakethe, eveza ukwesaba okukhulu namathemba ayo.
3. Ukukhetha Inkomba Elungile Yokuguquguquka
Ukuzulazula emanzini aguquguqukayo omhlaba wokuhweba kudinga amathuluzi alungile. Elinye ithuluzi elinjalo elibalulekile inkomba ye-volatility. Uma kuziwa ekukhetheni okulungile, ukucabangela isu lakho lokuhweba kanye nezimo zemakethe kubaluleke kakhulu.
Amabhodi we-Bollinger, ngokwesibonelo, ukukhetha okudumile phakathi traders. Lawa mabhendi aba banzi futhi abe mncane ngokusekelwe ekuguquguqukeni kwezimakethe, enikeza imininingwane ebalulekile ngamaleveli entengo angaba khona. Ziwusizo ikakhulukazi emakethe ehlukahlukene, ziyasiza traders ukuhlonza amaphuzu okungase kube khona ukuthenga nokudayisa.
Esinye isikhombisi esinamandla se-volatility yi- Isilinganiso sangempela seqiniso (ATR). Ngokungafani nama-Bollinger Bands, i-ATR ayiyona inkomba yokuqondisa. Imane ilinganise izinga lokuguquguquka kwentengo. Iwusizo kakhulu ekusetheni ama-oda okulahleka kokuyeka futhi ithandwa emini traders ngekhono layo lokunikeza isifinyezo sebanga lentengo yansuku zonke.
Inkomba Ye-Volatility (VIX) elinye ithuluzi elinamandla, elivame ukubizwa ngokuthi 'igeji yokwesaba'. Le nkomba ikala ukulindela kwemakethe kokuntengantenga kokubheka phambili kwezinsuku ezingama-30. Ngamafuphi, ihlinzeka ngesilinganiso sobungozi bemakethe kanye nemizwa yabatshalizimali. Kuyithuluzi elihle kakhulu le-contrarian traders abaphumelelayo uma bephikisana nomhlambi.
The I-Relative Volatility Index (RVI) iyinkomba yokuguquguquka ekala isiqondiso sokuntengantenga. Isebenzisa ukuchezuka okujwayelekile koshintsho lwentengo ekubalweni kwayo, iyenze isilinganiso esihle samandla ethrendi yemakethe ekhona.
Ngayinye yalezi zinkomba inamandla nobuthakathaka bayo, futhi ukukhetha kuncike kakhulu kwisitayela sakho sokuhweba kanye namasu. Ukuqonda ama-nuances alezi zinkomba ingathuthukisa kakhulu amandla akho okuhweba, ikusize wenze izinqumo ezinolwazi futhi unciphise ubungozi. Khumbula, ukuntengantenga akukona nje ubungozi, kodwa kumayelana namathuba. Ngenkomba efanele yokuguquguquka, ungaguqula ukungaqiniseki kwemakethe kube yinzuzo trades.
3.1. Izinto Okufanele Zicabangele
Ukuqonda ukuguquguquka kuyisici esibalulekile sokuhweba nokutshala imali. Kuyisilinganiso sedigri yokuhluka ochungechungeni lwentengo yokuhweba ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. Uma ukhetha izinkomba zokuguquguquka, kunezici ezimbalwa ezibalulekile okufanele uzicabangele.
Okokuqala, i uhlobo lwemakethe ohweba ngayo kubalulekile. Noma ngabe forex, impahla, noma Amasheya, imakethe ngayinye inezici zayo ezihlukile kanye namaphethini okuguquguquka. Ngakho-ke, inkomba yokuguquguquka esebenza kangcono kwenye imakethe ingase ingasebenzi kahle kwenye.
Isu lokuhweba kungesinye isici esibalulekile. Amanye amasu aphumelela ngokuguquguquka okuphezulu, kuyilapho amanye adinga izimo ezinzile. Ngokwesibonelo, uma usuku trader, ungase ukhethe inkomba engasabela ngokushesha ekunyakazeni kwentengo kungazelelwe. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, uma ungumtshali-zimali wesikhathi eside, ungakhetha inkomba eyenza kube bushelelezi ukuguquguquka kwesikhashana ukuveza inkambiso ebanzi.
Ukubekezelela ingozi yomuntu siqu futhi udlala indima. Uma ungafuni ubungozi, ungakhetha inkomba ekusiza ukuthi ugweme izikhathi eziguqukayo. Ngokuphambene, uma ukhululekile ngengozi, ungase ufune ukuguquguquka ukuze uzuze ekushintsheni kwentengo.
Ekugcineni, i ubunkimbinkimbi nokuchazeleka zenkomba zibalulekile. Ezinye izinkomba zokuguquguquka kulula ukuziqonda nokusebenzisa, kuyilapho ezinye zidinga ukuqonda okujulile kwemiqondo yezibalo. Ukukhetha kwakho kuzoncika ezingeni lakho lobuchwepheshe kanye nesikhathi ozimisele ukutshala kuso yokufunda nokuhlaziya.
Khumbula, asikho inkomba eyodwa yokuguquguquka enganikeza isithombe esiphelele. Ngokuvamile kuyasiza ukusebenzisa inhlanganisela yezinkomba ukuze uthole umbono ophelele wokuntengantenga kwezimakethe. Linga ngezinkomba nezilungiselelo ezihlukene, futhi uvumelanise indlela yakho nendlela yakho ngokusekelwe kokuqaphela kwakho nolwazi.
3.2. Ukuhlanganisa Izinkomba Ze-Volatility
Ukwazi ubuciko bokuhlanganisa izinkomba zokuguquguquka ingathuthukisa kakhulu isu lakho lokuhweba. Kuyikhono elidinga ukuqonda okujulile kokuguquguquka kwezimakethe kanye nokuzimisela ukuhlolisisa ubunkimbinkimbi bokuhlaziywa kwezimali.
Ngokwesibonelo, cabanga nge- Amabhodi we-Bollinger futhi Isilinganiso sangempela seqiniso (ATR). Lezi zinkomba ezimbili zinikeza imibono eyingqayizivele yokuntengantenga kwezimakethe. Amabhendi e-Bollinger agqamisa amaleveli okuchezuka ajwayelekile ukusuka kusilinganiso esinyakazayo, ahlinzeka ngokuboniswa okubonakalayo kwezikhathi zokuguquguquka okuphezulu nokuphansi. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, i-ATR ikala ukuntengantenga kwemakethe ngokubala ububanzi phakathi kwezintengo eziphakeme neziphansi zesikhathi esithile.
Kodwa kwenzekani uma thina hlanganisa lezi zinkomba ezimbili? Umphumela uyithuluzi elinamandla elinikeza umbono obanzi wokuntengantenga kwezimakethe. Lokhu kuhlanganiswa kuyakuvumela traders ukuhlonza okungase kube khona ukuphuka noma ukuguqulwa ngokukhomba izikhathi zokuntengantenga okwandayo, njengoba kuboniswa ukwandisa amabhendi e-Bollinger kanye ne-ATR ekhulayo.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukuhlanganisa I-Relative Volatility Index (RVI) kule miksi kungathuthukisa ukuhlaziya kwakho kokushintshashintsha. I-RVI, ekala isiqondiso sokuguquguquka, ingasiza ekuqinisekiseni amasiginali avela kuma-Bollinger Bands kanye ne-ATR. Isibonelo, inani eliphezulu le-RVI elihlanganiswe nokunwetshwa kwamabhendi e-Bollinger kanye ne-ATR ekhuphukayo ingabonisa ukunyakaza kwentengo okuqinile okukhuphukayo.
Nokho, khumbula lokho asikho isikhombisi esingenaphutha. Zonke izinkomba kufanele zisetshenziswe ngokuhambisana namanye amathuluzi namasu okuhlaziya imakethe. Ukuhlanganisa izinkomba zokuguquguquka akuyona inhlamvu yomlingo, kodwa isengezo esibalulekile esu lokuhweba elizungezwe kahle.
