1. Ukuqonda ama-Bollinger Bands
Emhlabeni wokuhweba oshubile, Amabhodi we-Bollinger ime njengesibani sokuqondisisa, ekhanyisa ukuntengantenga namazinga entengo emakethe. Aqanjwe ngomdali wawo, u-John Bollinger, lawa mabhendi awuhlobo lweshadi lezibalo elibonisa izintengo nokuguquguquka ngokuhamba kwesikhathi kwethuluzi lezezimali noma lezimpahla.
Amabhodi we-Bollinger aqukethe ibhande eliphakathi nendawo, okuyi-a isilinganiso esihambayo esilula, ngokuvamile isethwe ezikhathini ezingu-20. Leli bhendi eliphakathi nendawo elipheqa amanye amabhendi amabili, amabhendi e-Bollinger aphezulu naphansi, okuvamise ukuchezuka okubili okujwayelekile kude nebhendi ephakathi. Lawa mabhendi anda futhi enza inkontileka ngokusekelwe ekuguquguqukeni kwemakethe.
Lapho imakethe ishintshashintsha kakhulu, amabhande ayanda. Ngokuphambene, ngezikhathi zokuguquguquka okuphansi, inkontileka yamabhendi. Le mvelo eguquguqukayo ye-Bollinger Bands iphinde ivumele ukuthi isetshenziswe ezibambiso ezihlukene ngezilungiselelo ezijwayelekile.
Ukuze traders, ukusetshenziswa okuyinhloko kwe Amabhodi we-Bollinger ukuhlonza izikhathi zokuguquguquka okuphezulu nokuphansi kwempahla ethile. Uma amabhendi ebanzi, impahla ibhekwa njengeguquguqukayo. Uma amabhendi emncane, impahla ibhekwa njengenkathi yokuguquguquka okuphansi.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, Amabhodi we-Bollinger ingabonisa amathuba okuhweba angaba khona. Isibonelo, uma intengo yempahla ithinta noma yeqa ibhande eliphezulu, kungaba isignali yokuthi impahla ithengwe kakhulu. Ngokuphambene, uma intengo ithinta noma yeqa ibhendi ephansi, ingase ibonise ukuthi impahla idayiswe kakhulu.
The Amabhodi we-Bollinger Isu liguquguquka kakhulu, futhi tradeama-rs angenza ngokwezifiso izikhathi namanani okuchezuka ajwayelekile ngokusekelwe ezinhlosweni zawo zokuhweba kanye ingozi ukubekezelelana. Kodwa-ke, njenganoma yiliphi ithuluzi lokuhweba, kubalulekile ukusebenzisa amabhendi e-Bollinger ngokuhlangana namanye analysis technical amathuluzi okwandisa amathuba okuqagela okunembile.
1.1. Umqondo kanye nemvelaphi
Emkhakheni wezohwebo, amagama athile amade, ukudala kwawo kunomthelela unomphela endaweni yokuhlaziywa kwemakethe. Phakathi kwalokhu, UJohn Bollinger ikhanya ngokugqamile. Ukusungula kwakhe? Ithuluzi elinamandla elaziwa ngokuthi Amabhodi we-Bollinger. Njengoba sihlolisisa umqondo nemvelaphi yazo, sithola inhlanganisela ethakazelisayo yobuhlakani nokunemba kwezibalo.
Kwakungama-1980s, isikhathi sokuhlola okukhulu kanye nokuqanjwa okusha ezimakethe zezimali. U-Bollinger, uchwepheshe wemakethe wesikhathi eside, wayesemkhankasweni wokuthuthukisa ithuluzi lokuhweba elingabamba ukuguquguquka kwe-equity (stock) noma inkomba. Umqondo wakhe wawuwukudala uhlelo oluguquguqukayo olungavumelana nezimo zemakethe ezishintshayo, kunokuba izibalo ezimile ezisetshenziswa abantu besikhathi sakhe.
Egqugquzelwe umqondo wokuchezuka okujwayelekile kanye nethiyori yezibalo, u-Bollinger usungule indlela eyingqayizivele. Wanquma ukwakha amabhande azungeze isilinganiso esihambayo yesitoko noma inkomba, enobubanzi bamabhendi obushintshashintshayo ekuguquguqukeni kwemakethe. Uma imakethe iba nokuguquguquka okwengeziwe, amabhande azokwanda. Uma ukuguquguquka kuncipha, amabhendi azonkontileka.
Lesi kwakuyisambulo. Zazingasekho traders iphelele ekuhlaziyeni okumile. Manje base benethuluzi eliphefumula nemakethe, likhula futhi lincipha ngokuvumelanisa nesigqi sokuguquguquka. Ama-Bollinger Bands azalwa.
Empeleni, ama-Bollinger Bands aqukethe imigqa emithathu. Umugqa omaphakathi uyisilinganiso esihambayo esilula, ngokuvamile isikhathi esiyizinsuku ezingama-20. Amabhendi aphezulu naphansi abalwa ngokusekelwe ekuphambukeni okujwayelekile kwentengo, okulinganisa ngempumelelo ukuguquguquka. Ukusetha okuzenzakalelayo ukuhlela amabhendi ukuchezuka okubili okujwayelekile ngenhla nangaphansi kwesilinganiso esinyakazayo, okuhlanganisa cishe u-95% wesenzo senani.
Kodwa-ke, ubuhle bangempela beBollinger Bands abukho nje ekubaleni kwabo, kodwa ekusebenzeni kwabo. Traders ngokushesha bathole ukuthi la mabhendi angasebenza njengezinkomba ezinamandla zokuhlehla kwentengo okungaba khona, izindawo zokungena nezokuphuma, namandla ethrendi. Baba ingxenye ebalulekile kwabaningi amasu ukuhweba, eshintsha njalo indlela traders ukuzulazula emanzini aguquguqukayo emakethe.
1.2. Izingxenye ze-Bollinger Bands
Ukungena emnyombweni wama-Bollinger Bands, sithola izingxenye ezintathu ezibalulekile ezikwenza kube ithuluzi elinamandla traders. Ingxenye yokuqala nemaphakathi kakhulu yi- Isilinganiso Esihambayo Esincane (SMA). I-SMA, ngokuvamile ebekwe esikhathini esiyizinsuku ezingu-20, yakha umgogodla we-Bollinger Bands, inikeza iphuzu lokubhekisela kumabhendi aphezulu naphansi.
Ingxenye yesibili yi- Ibhendi Engaphezulu. Le bhendi ibalwa ngokwengeza inombolo ethile yokuchezuka okujwayelekile ku-SMA. Ukuchezuka okujwayelekile kulinganisa ukuthi izintengo zihlakazeka kangakanani ukusuka kokumaphakathi, ngaleyo ndlela ibhendi ephezulu ilungisela Ukukhishwa kwemakethe, ukwanda ngesikhathi sezimakethe eziguquguqukayo futhi inkontileka kwezithule.
Ingxenye yesithathu yi- Ibhendi Ephansi, ebalwa ngokukhipha inombolo ethile yokuchezuka okujwayelekile ku-SMA. Njengebhendi engenhla, ibhendi ephansi nayo isabela ekuguquguqukeni kwezimakethe.
- Isilinganiso Esihambayo Esincane (SMA): Ibhendi emaphakathi nesisekelo samabhendi aphezulu naphansi.
- Ibhendi Engaphezulu: Imele indawo ethengwe ngokweqile emakethe, ebalwa ngokwengeza inombolo ethile yokuchezuka okujwayelekile ku-SMA.
- Ibhendi Ephansi: Ibonisa izimo ezidayiswe ngokweqile, ezitholakala ngokukhipha inombolo ethile yokuchezuka okujwayelekile ku-SMA.
Lezi zingxenye ezintathu zisebenza ngokuvumelana ukuze zenze ama-Bollinger Bands. Banikeza isithombe esiguquguqukayo sokuguquguquka kwentengo okungaba khona, ukusiza traders ukuhlonza okungase kube ukuthenga nokudayisa amasignali. Ngokuqonda lezi zingxenye, tradeI-rs ingahumusha kangcono ama-Bollinger Bands futhi iwasebenzise kumasu abo okuhweba.
1.3. Ukubaluleka kwamabhendi e-Bollinger ekuhwebeni
I-Bollinger Bands, ithuluzi lokuhweba eliguquguqukayo nelinamandla, lifake uphawu olungacimeki emhlabeni wokuhweba. Le migqa eguquguqukayo, ehlanganisa isenzo senani, ingaphezu kwamajika angahleliwe kusikrini sakho sokuhweba. Yibo izethulo ezibonakalayo wokuntengantenga kwezimakethe namazinga amanani aphezulu kakhulu noma aphansi kakhulu ngokwezibalo.
Ukubaluleka kwama-Bollinger Bands ekuhwebeni kulele kubo ikhono eliyingqayizivele ukuzivumelanisa nezimo zemakethe ezishintshayo. Ngokungafani nezinye izinkomba zokuhweba ezimile, ama-Bollinger Bands anda ngezikhathi zokuntengantenga kwemakethe kanye nenkontileka lapho imakethe ithule. Le mvelo eguquguqukayo ye-Bollinger Bands inikeza traders isifinyezo sesikhathi sangempela sokuntengantenga kwemakethe.
Amabhande aphezulu naphansi nawo a umthombo ocebile wezimpawu zokuhweba ezingase zibe khona. Uma izintengo zithinta noma zephula ibhande eliphezulu, kungase kube inkomba yokuthi impahla ithengwe ngokweqile. Ngokuphambene, lapho izintengo zithinta noma zephula ibhendi ephansi, ingase iphakamise ukuthi impahla idayiswe ngokweqile. Lolu lwazi lungaba usizo olukhulu ekwaziseni izinqumo zakho zokuhweba, lukusize ukuthi uthenge okuphansi futhi udayise kakhulu.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ama-Bollinger Bands angasiza traders khomba amaphethini wamanani futhi izitayela. Lapho amabhendi eqina, ngokuvamile andulela ukunyakaza kwentengo okubukhali. Lokhu 'kukhama' kuyisignali eyinhloko ukuthi traders bheka, njengoba ingase ibonise ukuqala kwethrendi yentengo ebalulekile.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ama-Bollinger Bands angasetshenziswa ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba zokuhweba ukudala a isu elibanzi lokuhweba. Ngokwesibonelo, a trader angase asebenzise i Isihlobo Amandla Inkomba (RSI) eceleni kwama-Bollinger Bands ukukhomba izimo ezithengiwe ngokweqile noma ezidayiswe kakhulu emakethe.
Empeleni, ama-Bollinger Bands anikela traders a indlela enezinhlangothi eziningi ekuhlaziyeni izimakethe. Ukuthi ungumfundi trader noma uchwepheshe ongumakadebona, ukuqonda nokusebenzisa amabhendi e-Bollinger kungakunikeza umkhawulo obalulekile emhlabeni wokuncintisana wokuhweba.
2. Izilungiselelo ze-Bollinger Bands
Inhliziyo yanoma yiliphi isu lama-Bollinger Bands ilele esimisweni esifanele semingcele ye-Bollinger Bands. Lawa mapharamitha awamisiwe etsheni futhi angalungiswa ukuze alingane trader okuthandwayo komuntu siqu noma imininingwane yempahla traded.
Ipharamitha yokuqala okufanele icatshangelwe yi- Isikhathi. Isikhathi inani lamabha entengo okusekelwe kuwo ukubalwa kwama-Bollinger Bands. Isikhathi esijwayelekile singu-20, okusho ukuthi amabhendi abalwa ngokusekelwe kumabha amanani okugcina angu-20. Nokho, traders angakwazi ukulungisa le nombolo ngokusekelwe kusitayela sabo sokuhweba kanye nokuntengantenga kwempahla. Isikhathi esifushane sizoholela kumabhendi azwela kakhulu ekushintsheni kwentengo, kuyilapho isikhathi eside sizodala amabhendi ashelelayo angajwayele ukuguquguquka okuncane kwentengo.
Ipharamitha yesibili yi- ukuphambuka okujwayelekile. Ukuchezuka okujwayelekile isilinganiso sezibalo esibonisa ukuthi kungakanani ukuhluka noma ukuhlakazeka okukhona kusukela kokumaphakathi. Ngomongo we-Bollinger Bands, inquma ububanzi bamabhendi. Ukuchezuka okujwayelekile okuphezulu kuzoholela kumabhendi abanzi, okubonisa izinga eliphezulu lokuntengantenga, kuyilapho ukuchezuka okujwayelekile okuphansi kuzodala amabhande amancane, okubonisa ukuntengantenga okuncane. Isilungiselelo esijwayelekile sale parameter singu-2, kodwa futhi, traders bangalungisa lokhu ukuze kulingane nezidingo zabo.
Ekugcineni, i uhlobo oluhambayo olumaphakathi esinye isilungiselelo esibalulekile. Amabhendi we-Bollinger ngokuvamile abalwa kusetshenziswa isilinganiso esihambayo esilula, kodwa ezinye izinhlobo zingasetshenziswa, njenge isilinganiso eshukumisayo sokuhamba. Ukukhethwa kohlobo olumaphakathi olunyakazayo kungaba nomthelela omkhulu ekuphenduleni kwamabhendi.
- Isikhathi: Inani lamabha amanani asetshenziswe ekubalweni. Isilungiselelo esijwayelekile singu-20, kodwa singalungiswa.
- Ukuchezuka Okujwayelekile: Inquma ububanzi bamabhendi. Isilungiselelo esijwayelekile singu-2, kodwa singalungiswa.
- Uhlobo Olumaphakathi Olunyakazayo: Uhlobo lwesilinganiso esinyakazayo esisetshenziswe ekubalweni. Ngokuvamile isilinganiso esihambayo esilula, kodwa ezinye izinhlobo zingasetshenziswa.
Khumbula, isihluthulelo sokuhweba okuphumelelayo nge-Bollinger Bands akukona nje ukuqonda izilungiselelo, kodwa futhi ukwazi ukuhumusha amabhendi futhi uwasebenzise ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba namathuluzi.
2.1. Izilungiselelo ezizenzakalelayo
Lapho utshuza emhlabeni wama-Bollinger Bands, kubalulekile ukuqonda izilungiselelo ezizenzakalelayo ezisetshenziswa ngokuvamile. Ukucushwa okujwayelekile, okusetshenziswa abaningi traders, iqukethe i-avareji yokuhamba elula yenkathi engu-20 (i-SMA) enebhendi ephezulu nephansi isethi ngayinye ekuchezukeni okubili okujwayelekile ukusuka ku-SMA. Le mingcele ayiyona into engafanele, kodwa kunalokho iwumphumela wokuhlolwa nokuhlaziywa okubanzi kukaJohn Bollinger ngokwakhe, ungqondongqondo waleli thuluzi lokuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe eliguquguqukayo.
- 20-Period SMA: Inhliziyo yama-Bollinger Bands, i-SMA yenkathi engu-20 isebenza njengesisekelo samabhendi aphezulu naphansi. Imele inani lokuvala elimaphakathi ezikhathini ezidlule ezingu-20, linikeza umuzwa 'wendawo emaphakathi' esenzweni senani.
- 2 Ukuchezuka Okujwayelekile: Amabhendi aphezulu naphansi asethwe ekuchezukeni okubili okujwayelekile ukusuka ku-SMA. Lesi silinganiso sezibalo sibonisa ukuntengantenga kokunyakaza kwentengo, ngokuchezuka okuphezulu okujwayelekile okubonisa ukuguquguquka okukhulu. Ngokusetha amabhendi ekuphambukeni okubili okujwayelekile, cishe u-95% wazo zonke izenzo zentengo zifakwe ngaphakathi kwamabhendi.
Nokho, lezi zilungiselelo ezizenzakalelayo azisethwanga etsheni. Traders bangazilungisa ngokusekelwe kusitayela sabo sokuhweba, ukubekezelela ubungozi, nezici ezithile zempahla abayithengisayo. Ngokwesibonelo, isikhathi esifushane traders ingase ikhethe i-SMA yenkathi eyi-10 enokwehluka okujwayelekile okungu-1.5, kuyilapho okwesikhathi eside traders ingase ikhethe i-SMA yenkathi engu-50 enokwehluka oku-3 okujwayelekile.
Khumbula, ukhiye wokuhweba ngempumelelo ngama-Bollinger Bands usekuqondeni ukuthi lezi zilungiselelo zinethonya kanjani ukuziphatha kwamabhendi nokuthi zingalungiswa kanjani ukuze zihambisane nesu lakho lokuhweba. Noma ngabe uwusuku tradeukuhlola inzuzo esheshayo noma umjiko trader ngokufuna izinzuzo zesikhathi eside, ukwazi izilungiselelo ezizenzakalelayo ze-Bollinger Bands kungavula umhlaba wamathuba okuhweba.
2.2. Ukulungisa Izilungiselelo
Ukulungisa izilungiselelo yama-Bollinger Bands angathinta kakhulu isu lakho lokuhweba, okukuvumela ukuthi uvumelane nezimo zemakethe futhi wandise eyakho trades. Ake singene ku-nitty-gritty yokulungisa lezi zilungiselelo ukuze sithole imiphumela ehamba phambili.
Imingcele eyinhloko engalungiswa yile Isikhathi futhi Ukuchezuka Okujwayelekile. Isikhathi, ngokuvamile esisethwe ku-20, simele inani lemigoqo yentengo esetshenziselwa ukubala amabhendi e-Bollinger. Ukwenyusa isikhathi kuzokwenza amabhendi abe banzi, kunikeze umbono ojwayelekile wokuguquguquka kwezimakethe, kuyilapho ukwehlisa kuzonciphisa amabhendi, kunikeze imininingwane enemininingwane eguquguqukayo yentengo yesikhathi esifushane.
Ukuchezuka Okujwayelekile, ngokuvamile okusethwe kokuthi 2, kulawula ububanzi bamabhendi ngokuhlobene nesilinganiso esinyakazayo. Ukuchezuka kwezinga eliphakeme kuzokwandisa amabhendi, okubonisa izinga eliphezulu lokuguquguquka, futhi ukuchezuka okujwayelekile okuphansi kuzofinyeza amabhendi, okubonisa izinga eliphansi lokuguquguquka.
- Ukwandisa Isikhathi: Lokhu kuzokwandisa ama-Bollinger Bands, kuthwebule ukunyakaza kwamanani okubaluleke kakhulu. Kuyinzuzo emakethe ethrendayo njengoba yehlisa inani lamasiginali angamanga. Nokho, okubi ukuthi kungase kubambezele ukuhlonzwa kokuhlehliswa kwentengo.
- Ukunciphisa Isikhathi: Lokhu kuzonciphisa ama-Bollinger Bands, kubenze baphendule kakhulu ezinguqukweni zentengo ezincane. Kuwusizo emakethe eboshelwe ezinhlobonhlobo lapho uhlose khona ukwenza imali ngokushintshashintsha kwamanani amancane. Kodwa khumbula, kungase kuveze izimpawu ezingamanga ezengeziwe.
- Ukulungisa Ukuchezuka Okujwayelekile: Ukushintsha lesi silungiselelo kuzothinta ukuzwela kwamabhendi ekushintsheni kwentengo. Ukuchezuka okuphezulu okujwayelekile kuzoholela kumabhendi abanzi, awusizo ezimakethe eziguquguqukayo kakhulu. Ngokuphambene, ukuchezuka okujwayelekile okuphansi kubangela amabhendi amancane, afanele izimakethe ezinokuguquguquka okuphansi.
Khumbula, asikho isilungiselelo esilingana konke. Amapharamitha alungile ancike kusitayela sakho sokuhweba, impahla oyithengisayo, nezimo zemakethe. Ukuhlola kanye ukubuyisela emuva ziwukhiye wokuthola izilungiselelo ezikusebenzela kangcono.
2.3. Izilungiselelo Zezimo Zemakethe Ezihlukene
Njengetilosi eselimnkantshubomvu elilungisa useyili emoyeni onyakazayo, kuyaphumelela traders bayazi ukubaluleka kokujwayela amasu abo nezimo ezihlukene zemakethe. I-Bollinger Bands, ithuluzi eliguquguqukayo kunoma iyiphi trader's arsenal, ingalungiswa kahle ukuze ilethe imiphumela emihle ezimeni ezihlukene zemakethe.
Phakathi ku ezinzile, imakethe emaceleni, ukulungiselelwa okujwayelekile kwezikhathi ezingu-20 zesilinganiso esinyakazayo kanye nokuchezuka okujwayelekile okungu-2 kobubanzi bebhendi kuvame ukusebenza. Lesi silungiselelo sivamise ukuqukatha isenzo senani phakathi kwamabhendi, sinikeze amasignali acacile okuthenga nokuthengisa lapho izintengo zithinta amabhendi aphansi nangaphezulu, ngokulandelana.
Nokho, ku-a imakethe ehamba phambili, intengo ivamise ukuphikelela ngokumelene nebhendi eyodwa noma kwelinye. Ezimweni ezinjalo, ukulungisa inani lezikhathi zesilinganiso esinyakazayo sibe nesikhathi esifushane (njengezikhathi eziyi-10) kungasiza amabhendi azijwayelane ngokushesha nokushintsha amathrendi. Ukunciphisa inani lokuchezuka okujwayelekile ukuya ku-1.5 kungasiza futhi ukuqukatha isenzo senani phakathi kwamabhendi, kunikeze amasignali athembeke kakhulu.
Lapho imakethe I-volatile, ukunweba ububanzi bebhendi bufike ekuchezukeni okujwayelekile okungu-2.5 noma oku-3 kungasiza ukwamukela ukushintshashintsha kwentengo. Lesi silungiselelo esibanzi singavimbela amasiginali angamanga angase aqalise trades ngenxa yokunyakaza kwentengo okuyihaba.
Khumbula, lawa angamaphuzu okuqala. Ukuhweba okuphumelelayo nama-Bollinger Bands kudinga ukuzijwayeza, ukuhlola, kanye neso elibukhali esimweni semakethe. Konke kumayelana nokuthola izilungiselelo ezikusebenzela kangcono ezimeni ezihlukene zemakethe obhekene nazo. Ukuhweba okujabulisayo!
3. I-Bollinger Bands Formula
Amabhodi we-Bollinger ziyithuluzi elinamandla lokuhweba, kodwa ukuqonda ifomula ngemuva kwazo kungavula amandla azo ngempela. Emgogodleni wawo, ama-Bollinger Bands aqukethe imigqa emithathu - ibhande eliphakathi, elingaphezulu, neliphansi. Ibhendi emaphakathi iyisilinganiso esihambayo esilula, esivame ukubalwa ezikhathini ezingama-20. Amabhendi aphezulu naphansi asethwe ukuchezuka okubili okujwayelekile kude nalesi silinganiso esinyakazayo.
Ake sihlukanise ifomula yebhendi ngayinye:
- I-Middle Band: Lokhu kubalwa njengesilinganiso esihambayo esilula (i-SMA) sezintengo zokuvala phakathi nenani elimisiwe lezikhathi, ngokuvamile ezingu-20. Uma ubheka ishadi lansuku zonke, isikhathi ngasinye singamela usuku olulodwa.
- I-Upper Band: Ibhendi ephezulu ibalwa ngokwengeza ukuchezuka okubili okujwayelekile ebhendini ephakathi. Lokhu kulinganisa ukuguquguquka kwemakethe - lapho imakethe iguquguquka, amabhande ayanda; lapho imakethe izolile, amabhande ayancipha.
- Ibhendi engezansi: Ibhendi engezansi ibalwa ngokukhipha ukuchezuka okubili okujwayelekile kubhendi emaphakathi. Lokhu kukhombisa nokuntengantenga kwezimakethe.
Empeleni, la mabhendi enza uhlobo lwe imvilophu mayelana nesenzo senani. Uma izintengo zithinta ibhendi ephezulu, kuwuphawu oluvamile lokuthi impahla ingase ithengwe ngokweqile. Ngokuphambene, lapho izintengo zithinta ibhendi ephansi, zingabonisa ukuthi impahla idayiswe ngokweqile. Kodwa khumbula, njengazo zonke izinkomba zokuhweba, ama-Bollinger Bands akufanele asetshenziswe wodwa. Njalo uwahlanganise nezinye izinkomba noma amaphethini ukuze wenze izinqumo zokuhweba ezinembe kakhudlwana.
3.1. Ukubalwa kwe-Middle Band
Enhliziyweni yawo wonke ishadi lama-Bollinger Bands, uzothola ibhande eliphakathi. Leli bhendi liyisisekelo, umgogodla, itshe eliyinhloko lapho lonke isu le-Bollinger Bands lakhiwe phezu kwalo. Kodwa ibalwa kanjani? Ake singene sijule kwizibalo ngemuva kwalesi sici esibucayi.
I-Middle Band, ngendlela eyisisekelo, i- isilinganiso esihambayo esilula. Ibalwa ngokuhlanganisa izintengo zokuvala zenani elimisiwe lezikhathi, bese ihlukanisa leyo ngqikithi ngenani lezikhathi. Lokhu kusinika inani elimaphakathi ngesikhathi esithile, okuhlinzeka ngomugqa oshelelayo ohlunga umsindo wokuguquguquka kwentengo kwansuku zonke.
Isibonelo, uma usebenza ne-Middle Band yezinsuku ezingu-20, ungangeza izintengo zokuvala zezinsuku ezingu-20 ezedlule, bese uhlukanisa ngo-20. Kulula, akunjalo? Kodwa umlingo we-Middle Band awugcini lapho.
Kungani i-Middle Band ibaluleke kangaka? Isebenza njengesisekelo sawo womabili amabhendi aphezulu naphansi, abalwa kusetshenziswa ukuchezuka okujwayelekile kule Band Ephakathi. Lokhu kusho ukuthi i-Middle Band ayiyona nje i-avareji, kodwa inhliziyo yesistimu ye-Bollinger Bands, ekhipha idatha ebhebhezela lonke isu.
Ukuqonda ukubala kwe-Middle Band kubalulekile kunoma iyiphi trader ngifuna ukwazi kahle indlela ye-Bollinger Bands. Yisiqalo esisetha isiteji sokusebenzisana okumangalisayo kokuntengantenga, isenzo samanani, kanye nesayikholoji yemakethe okwenza lelisu lokuhweba libe namandla kakhulu.
Ngakho-ke, ngokuzayo uma ubheka ishadi lama-Bollinger Bands, khumbula i-Middle Band ethobekile. Ingase ingazibambi izihloko zezindaba njengozakwabo abangaphezulu nabaphansi, kodwa iphakamisa ngokuthula, ikunikeza isisekelo sezinqumo zakho zokuhweba.
3.2. Ukubalwa kwe-Upper Band
The Ibhendi Engaphezulu Yamabhendi eBollinger idlala indima ebalulekile ekunqumeni izimo ezingase zithengeke kakhulu emakethe. Lokhu kubalwa ngokwengeza ukuchezuka okujwayelekile (okuphindaphindwa into ethile, ngokuvamile engu-2) kusilinganiso esinyakazayo. Ukuchezuka okujwayelekile kuyisilinganiso sokuntengantenga, ngakho-ke, lapho izimakethe ziba ziguquguqukayo, amabhande aba banzi; futhi lapho izimakethe ziba nokuguquguquka okuncane, amabhendi ayavumelana.
Ukuze sikubeke ngombono ofanele, ake sicabangele isilinganiso esinyakazayo sezinsuku ezingama-20. I-Upper Band ibalwa njengesilinganiso esinyakazayo sezinsuku ezingama-20 kanye (izikhathi ezi-2 ukuchezuka okujwayelekile kwezinsuku ezingama-20). Lokhu kusho ukuthi uma intengo ichezuka kakhulu kokujwayelekile, ibhande eliphezulu lizolungisa ngokufanele, ngaleyo ndlela linikeze traders ngezinga lokumelana eliguqukayo.
Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi ibhendi ephezulu ayisona isignali eqinile "yokuthengisa". Kunalokho, isebenza njengesexwayiso traders ukuqala ukufuna izimpawu zezimo ezingase zithengwe ngokweqile, ezingabonisa ukuguqulwa kwentengo okuzayo.
Ubuhle bama-Bollinger Bands busezimeni zabo zokuzivumelanisa nezimo. Balungisa ngokuvumelana nezimo zemakethe, ukuhlinzeka traders ngethuluzi eliguquguqukayo elingasiza ekuhlonzeni okungase kube khona ukungena nokuphuma.
Nansi inkomba esheshayo yesinyathelo ngesinyathelo ukubala i-Upper Band:
- Qala ngokubala isilinganiso esihambayo esilula (i-SMA). Isibonelo, uma usebenzisa i-Bollinger Band yezinsuku ezingu-20, ngeza izintengo zokuvala zezinsuku ezingu-20 ezidlule futhi uhlukanise ngo-20.
- Bala ukuchezuka okujwayelekile kwesikhathi esifanayo sezinsuku ezingama-20. Ukuchezuka okujwayelekile kulinganisa ukuntengantenga kwentengo, okubonisa ukuthi intengo ichezuka kangakanani esilinganisweni.
- Ekugcineni, phindaphinda ukuchezuka okujwayelekile ngo-2 bese wengeza umphumela ku-SMA. Lokhu kukunikeza ibhande eliphezulu.
Ukuqonda ukubala ngemuva kwama-Bollinger Bands, ikakhulukazi i-Upper Band, kungakunikeza umkhawulo esu lakho lokuhweba. Akukhona nje ngokwazi ukuthi uzothenga nini noma udayise nini, kodwa ukuqonda amandla emakethe anomthelela kulezi zinqumo.
3.3. Ukubalwa kwebhendi ephansi
Emkhakheni wokuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe, i Ibhendi Ephansi isebenza njengengxenye ebalulekile ekwakhiweni kwama-Bollinger Bands. Le bhendi isebenza njengeleveli yosekelo eguqukayo elungisa ngokuya ngokuntengantenga kwemakethe. Ibalwa ngokususa ukuchezuka okubili okujwayelekile kubhendi emaphakathi, okuyisilinganiso esihambayo esilula (i-SMA).
Ukufanekisa, ake sicabange ukuthi i-SMA yesitoko esingaphezu kwezinsuku ezingama-20 ingu-$50 futhi ukuchezuka okujwayelekile kungu-$5. Ibhendi engezansi izobalwa kanjalo njenge $50 - (2*$5) = $40. Lokhu kubonisa ukuthi uma intengo yesitoko yehla ifinyelele ku-$40, izobe ishaya ibhendi ephansi, okungenzeka ibonise isimo sokudayiswa ngokweqile.
The ukubaluleka yebhendi ephansi ivame ukugcizelelwa esu lokuhweba. Kuyinkomba ebalulekile ye traders ukukhomba okungenzeka ukuthenga amathuba. Uma izintengo zithinta ibhendi ephansi, kuvame ukuhunyushwa ngokuthi imakethe ithengiswa kakhulu, okuphakamisa ukuphinda kwentengo okungaba khona.
Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuthi ibhendi engezansi ayiyona inkomba ezimele. Traders kufanele ayisebenzise ngokuhlanganyela namanye amathuluzi nezinkomba zemakethe ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukuhlaziya okuphelele. Ibhendi engezansi iyisiqephu sendida, esiza traders ukuqonda isithombe esikhulu sezimo zemakethe.
Emhlabeni wokuhweba, ukuqonda ukubala nokuchazwa kwebhendi ephansi kungu-a kumele ube nekhono. Ingelinye lamathuluzi amaningi ku-a trader's toolkit, ehlinzeka ngemininingwane ebalulekile mayelana nokuntengantenga kwezimakethe kanye nokunyakaza kwamanani okungaba khona. Noma ngabe ungumfundi trader noma umdlali wemakethe onesipiliyoni, ukwazi ukubala kwebhendi ephansi kungathuthukisa kakhulu isu lakho lokuhweba.
4. I-Bollinger Bands Isu
I-Bollinger Bands Strategy iyithuluzi elinamandla le traders, ukuhlinzeka ngomhlahlandlela wokuntengantenga kwemakethe okungaba khona. Leli su lincike ekuqondeni kwezingxenye ezintathu ezibalulekile: ibhande eliphezulu, ibhendi engezansi, kanye nesilinganiso esihambayo esilula (SMA). Emgogodleni wayo, i-Bollinger Bands Strategy imayelana nokuqonda lapho imakethe ithule nalapho imakethe inomsindo.
Ukuqonda Amabhande
Amabhendi aphezulu naphansi avamise ukuchezuka okubili okujwayelekile kude ne-SMA. Uma amabhendi eqinile, kubonisa imakethe ethule. Ngokuphambene, lapho amabhendi eba banzi, kubonisa imakethe enomsindo, noma eguquguqukayo. Njenge trader, kubalulekile ukuqonda lezi zinguquko njengoba zinganikeza ukuqonda kumashifu emakethe angaba khona.
Ukusebenzisa Isu
Uma inani lithinta ibhande eliphezulu, lingabonisa isimo sokuthengwa ngokweqile. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, uma intengo ithinta ibhendi ephansi, ingaphakamisa isimo esidayiswe kakhulu. Nokho, lezi akuzona izimpawu ezizimele zokuthenga noma ukuthengisa. Kufanele zisetshenziswe ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba ukuze kuqinisekiswe izimo zemakethe.
Ukulungisa izilungiselelo
Ukusetha okuzenzakalelayo kwama-Bollinger Bands yi-SMA yezinsuku ezingama-20 kanye nokuchezuka okubili okujwayelekile. Nokho, lezi zingalungiswa ngokusekelwe kusitayela sakho sokuhweba kanye nempahla oyithengisayo. Uma ukhetha isikhathi esifushane trades, cabanga ukunciphisa inani lezinsuku ku-SMA. Uma uhweba ngempahla eguquguqukayo ikakhulukazi, ungase ufune ukwandisa inani lokuchezuka okujwayelekile.
Ukutolika amabhendi
Iphutha elilodwa elijwayelekile traders make ithatha ngokuthi intengo izohlehla ngokuzenzakalela uma ishaya ibhendi ephezulu noma ephansi. Lokhu akuhlali kunjalo. I-Bollinger Bands Strategy ayiyona indlela yomlingo, kodwa iwumhlahlandlela wokuqonda ukuntengantenga kwezimakethe. Kubalulekile ukuyisebenzisa njengengxenye yesu elibanzi lokuhweba, elihlanganisa nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe kanye ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo.
Izwi Lokugcina
I-Bollinger Bands Strategy inikeza indlela ehlakaniphile yokukala ukuntengantenga kwezimakethe. Ngokuqonda ubudlelwano phakathi kwamabhendi aphezulu naphansi kanye ne-SMA, ungenza izinqumo zokuhweba unolwazi. Nokho, khumbula ukuthi alikho ithuluzi elilodwa noma isu eliqinisekisa impumelelo. Kubalulekile njalo funda, vumelanisa, futhi wenze ngcono indlela yakho yokuhweba.
4.1. I-Bollinger Bounce
Ezweni elimatasatasa kwezohwebo, i I-Bollinger Bounce isenzakalo sokuthi, njengomdansi osemnkantshubomvu, unyakaza ngesigqi nokubikezela. Kungumqondo ohlaba umxhwele njengoba igama lawo lisho futhi iyisici esibalulekile lapho usebenzisa ama-Bollinger Bands. I-Bollinger Bounce isho ukuthambekela kwamanani ukugxuma phakathi kwamabhendi eBollinger aphezulu naphansi.
Ukuqonda i-Bollinger Bounce ibalulekile ku traders abasebenzisa ama-Bollinger Bands ukuhlonza amasiginali okuthenga nokuthengisa okungenzeka. Kufana nokuqonda ukwehla nokugeleza kolwandle - udinga ukwazi ukuthi igagasi lingena nini (ukuthenga nini) nokuthi lihlehla nini (ukuthengisa nini).
I-Bollinger Bounce isekelwe esimisweni sokuthi intengo ijwayele ukubuyela maphakathi namabhendi. Kucabange njengebhande lenjoloba elinwetshwe lafika emkhawulweni walo - ekugcineni, kufanele libuyele esimweni salo sasekuqaleni. Ngokwamagama okuhweba, uma intengo ifika kubhendi ephezulu, ithathwa njengethengwe ngokweqile futhi ingase iwele emuva phakathi noma ngisho nebhendi ephansi. Ngokuphambene, lapho intengo ifinyelela Ibhendi ephansi, ibonwa njengedayiswe ngokweqile futhi ingase iphinde ibuye inyuke.
Amaphuzu abalulekile okufanele uwakhumbule mayelana ne-Bollinger Bounce:
- Akuyona inkomba ezimele: Nakuba i-Bollinger Bounce ingaba ithuluzi eliwusizo, akufanele isetshenziswe yodwa. Isetshenziswa kangcono kakhulu ngokuhlangana nezinye izinkomba ukuze kuqinisekiswe amasiginali nokuvikela ama-alamu angamanga.
- Ithembeke kakhulu emakethe ehlukahlukene: I-Bollinger Bounce iphumelela kakhulu emakethe esukela, lapho intengo igxuma phakathi kwephuzu eliphezulu neliphansi. Emakethe ethrendayo, intengo 'ingahamba' eduze kwamabhendi, okuholela kumasiginali angamanga.
- Kudinga isineke: Njenganoma yiliphi isu lokuhweba, i-Bollinger Bounce ayiphathelene nokuzanelisa ngokushesha. Kudinga isineke ukulinda izimo ezifanele kanye nesiyalo ukuze senze okuthile lapho kwenzeka.
Emdlalweni wezinga eliphezulu lokuhweba, i-Bollinger Bounce ingaba umsizi onamandla. Kuyisu okuthi uma lisetshenziswa ngobuhlakani lisize traders ishadi inkambo emanzini avame ukuguquguquka emakethe.
4.2. I-Bollinger Cindezela
Emhlabeni wokuhweba, i I-Bollinger Cindezela iwumbono ongawubuka, i-bellwether yokuntengantenga kwemakethe okuzayo. Lesi senzakalo esithakazelisayo senzeka lapho amabhendi e-Bollinger aphezulu naphansi ehlangana, okubonisa inkathi yokuguquguquka okuphansi. Imakethe, njengentwasahlobo eboshiwe, iqoqa amandla omnyakazo wayo omkhulu olandelayo.
Ukhiye wokusebenzisa i-Bollinger Squeeze ukuqonda izigaba zayo ezimbili ezibalulekile. Isigaba sokuqala yisona sangempela cindezela. Lapha, traders badinga ukugcina amehlo abo ehlutshiwe ukuze anciphise ama-Bollinger Bands. Lesi yisibonakaliso sokuthi imakethe isesimweni sokuhlanganiswa futhi ikhefu liseduze. Kodwa-ke, ukuminya kukodwa akunikezi isiqondiso esicacile sekhefu elizayo.
Yisigaba sesibili, i ukuphuka, ephethe impendulo. Lapho intengo iphuka ngenhla noma ngaphansi kwe-Bollinger Bands, ngokuvamile ibonisa ukuqala komkhuba omusha. Ikhefu elingenhla lingase liphakamise ukuthambekela kwe-bullish, kuyilapho ikhefu elingezansi lingabonisa ukuthambekela kwe-bearish.
Kodwa-ke, njengawo wonke amasu okuhweba, kubalulekile ukukhumbula ukuthi i-Bollinger Squeeze ayinabo ubuwula. Kuyithuluzi, futhi njenganoma yiliphi ithuluzi, lisebenza kuphela njenge- trader ukuyisebenzisa. Ngakho-ke, kuhlale kululekwa ukuthi usebenzise i-Bollinger Squeeze ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe ukuze uqinisekise amasignali futhi unciphise ubungozi bokuphuka okungamanga.
Ekugcineni, i-Bollinger Squeeze ingenye yezici ezinamandla kakhulu ze-Bollinger Bands. Kuwubufakazi bemvelo yokujikeleza kwemakethe, isikhumbuzo sokuthi ngemva kwezikhathi zokuzola, isiphepho siyalandela nakanjani. Ngokufunda i-Bollinger Squeeze, traders kungasebenzisa ukuntengantenga kwemakethe, kuguqule ukungaqiniseki kube yithuba.
4.3. Amabhendi e-Bollinger nezinye Izinkomba
Amabhodi we-Bollinger akuzona izimpisi zodwa ehlathini elikhulu lezinkomba zokuhweba. Bakha umfelandawonye onamandla nezinye izinkomba zokuhlinzeka traders ngombono ophelele wokuthambekela kwezimakethe nokuntengantenga.
I-Relative Strength Index (RSI), isibonelo, yenza umngane omkhulu kuma-Bollinger Bands. Uma inani lithinta ibhendi ephezulu futhi i-RSI ikhombisa izimo ezithengwe kakhulu, ukuguqulwa kungase kusondele. Okufanayo kuyasebenza uma intengo ifika ebhendini ephansi futhi i-RSI ikhombisa izimo ezidayiswe kakhulu.
oscillator Stochastic omunye angaba umngane. Uma imakethe ithrenda phezulu futhi intengo ingaphezu kwebhendi emaphakathi, bheka ukuthi isitokofela sihlehle sibe ngaphansi kuka-20 ngaphambi kokucabangela isikhundla eside. Ngokuphambene, ku-downtrend enenani elingaphansi kwebhendi ephakathi, linda i-stochastic ukuthi ihambe ngaphezu kuka-80 ngaphambi kokucabangela isikhundla esifushane.
Ukuhambisa Isilinganiso Sokwehluka Okuphakathi (MACD) ingasetshenziswa futhi ku-tandem nama-Bollinger Bands. Lapho umugqa we-MACD uwela ngaphezu komugqa wesignali futhi intengo iseduze ne-Bollinger Band ephansi, kungaba yisikhathi esihle sokuthenga. Uma umugqa we-MACD uwela ngaphansi komugqa wesignali futhi intengo iseduze ne-Bollinger Band ephezulu, kungase kube isikhathi esihle sokuthengisa.
Lezi yizibonelo ezimbalwa zokuthi ama-Bollinger Bands angahlanganiswa kanjani nezinye izinkomba ukuze enze amasu okuhweba aqinile. Khumbula, akukho nkomba eyodwa engenangqondo. Indlela ehlanganiswe kahle ehlanganisa izinkomba eziningi inganikeza ukufunda okunembe kakhudlwana ngezimo zemakethe futhi ikusize wenze izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi.
