1. Uhlolojikelele Lwenkomba yeMedian
The Inkomba yeMedian isilinganiso sezibalo esisetshenziswa ekuhlaziyweni kwezimali ukuhlonza inani eliphakathi kusethi yedatha. Uma ihlelwa ngohlelo olukhuphukayo noma olwehlayo, imidiyeni imelela inani elimaphakathi elihlukanisa idatha esethwe kumahafu amabili alinganayo. Ngokungafani nencazelo (isilinganiso), esifingqa wonke amanani futhi iwahlukanise ngenani eliphelele, i-median ayithinteki kancane ngabangaphandle namanani eqile, okuyenza ibe isilinganiso esithembeke kakhudlwana sokusatshalaliswa okusontekile.
Ngomongo wezezimali, i-median ivame ukusetshenziselwa ukuhlaziya nokuhumusha uhla lwedatha, njengezintengo zesitoko, amanani okuhweba, nezinkomba zezomnotho. Inikeza ukumelwa okunembe kakhudlwana kwevelu 'ejwayelekile', ikakhulukazi ezimeni lapho idatha isatshalaliswa ngokungalingani. Isibonelo, lapho kuhlolwa ukusebenza okuvamile kwesitoko esikhathini esithile, i-median inganikeza isithombe esicacile kunesilinganiso uma kukhona ama-spikes adlulele noma ukwehla kwentengo yesitoko.
Ukuqonda i-median kubalulekile kubo bobabili abaqalayo nabathuthukile traders, njengoba yenza isisekelo sezinkomba zezezimali eziyinkimbinkimbi namasu. Isibonelo, izinkomba ezisuselwe emidenini njenge-Median Price Indicator noma i-Moving Median zivame ukusetshenziswa analysis technical ukwenza bushelelezi idatha yentengo futhi uhlonze izitayela.
1.1 Isikhangisovantages yesikhombi seMedian
- Ukumelana nama-Outliers: I-median ayithonywa amanani adlulele, okwenza izinze kakhulu lapho kukhona abangaphandle uma kuqhathaniswa nencazelo.
- Omele Inani Elijwayelekile: Inikeza ukuboniswa okunembe kakhudlwana kokuthambekela okumaphakathi ekusabalaliseni okusontekile.
- Ilula futhi Inembile: Umqondo we-median uqondile, okwenza uqondakala kalula futhi usebenze.
1.2 Imikhawulo yenkomba yeMedian
- Ayizweli Kuwo Wonke Amaphuzu Edatha: I-median icabangela kuphela inani eliphakathi, indiba ukusatshalaliswa kwangempela nobukhulu bamanye amaphuzu edatha.
- Ukusetshenziswa Okulinganiselwe Ekuhlaziyeni Okuqagelayo: Ngokungafani nezinye izinyathelo zezibalo, i-median ayifaki zonke izici zedatha, ezingakhawulela ukusetshenziswa kwayo ekubikezelweni.
- Ingadukisa Ngamasethi Edatha Amancane: Kumasethi edatha amancane, i-median ingase ingabonisi kahle ukuthambekela kokusabalalisa.
aspect | Yekuchumana |
Incazelo | Isilinganiso sezibalo esikhomba inani eliphakathi kusethi yedatha. |
Ukubaluleka | Inikeza isilinganiso esithembeke kakhulu sokusabalalisa okugwegwile kudatha yezezimali. |
Advantages | Ingazweli ezintweni ezingaphandle, imele inani elivamile, elilula futhi elinembile. |
Ukulinganiselwa | Ayizweli kuwo wonke amaphuzu edatha, ukusetshenziswa okulinganiselwe ekuhlaziyeni okubikezelwayo, kungadukisa kumasethi amancane edatha. |
2. Inqubo yokubala yesikhombi seMedian
Ukubala i-median esimweni sezezimali kuhilela uchungechunge lwezinyathelo eziqondile. Ukuqonda le nqubo kubalulekile traders nabahlaziyi ukuze bahumushe ngokunembile idatha abayihlaziyayo. Nansi indlela ngokuvamile eyenziwa ngayo:
2.1 Isinyathelo ngesinyathelo Ukubala
- Ukuhlela Idatha: Hlela isethi yedatha (isb, amanani esitoko, amanani okuhweba) ngokulandelana okukhuphukayo noma ukwehla.
- Ukunquma Usayizi Wesethi Yedatha: Bala inani lamaphoyinti edatha kusethi.
- Ukuthola uMphakathi:
- Uma inombolo yamaphoyinti edatha iyinqaba, i-median iyinani eliphakathi.
- Uma inani lamaphoyinti edatha lilingana, i-median iyisilinganiso samanani amabili aphakathi nendawo.
2.2 Isibonelo sokubala
Cabangela isethi yezintengo zokuvala zesitoko ezinsukwini ezinhlanu ezilandelanayo: $10, $12, $15, $17, $20. Lapha, inani lamaphoyinti edatha ngu-5, okuyinqaba. Ngakho-ke, inani eliphakathi liyinani lesithathu uma lihlelwa ngendlela ekhuphukayo, engu-$15.
Esimeni lapho inani lamaphoyinti edatha lilingana, isibonelo, izinsuku eziyisithupha ezinentengo yokuvala engu-$10, $12, $14, $16, $18, $20, isilinganiso sizoba isilinganiso senani lesithathu nesine, ($14 + $16 ) / 2 = $15.
Isinyathelo | Yekuchumana |
Ukuhlela Idatha | Hlela idatha ngohlelo olukhuphukayo noma olwehlayo. |
Ukunquma Usayizi Wesethi Yedatha | Bala inani lamaphoyinti edatha. |
Ukuthola uMphakathi | Ngamaphuzu edatha angajwayelekile: inani eliphakathi; ngamaphoyinti edatha alinganayo: isilinganiso samanani amabili aphakathi nendawo. |
3. Amanani Alungile Okusetha Ezinkathini Zesikhathi Ezihlukene
Ukusebenza Kwesikhombi Esimaphakathi kungahluka kakhulu kuye ngesikhathi esihlaziywayo. Ukulungisa imingcele yayo ngokwesu lokuhweba - kungakhathaliseki ukuthi isikhathi esifushane, esimaphakathi, noma eside - kubalulekile ekuhlaziyeni okunembile. Nawu umhlahlandlela wokusetha Isikhombi Se-Median sezikhathi ezihlukene zokuhweba:
3.1 Ukuhweba Kwesikhashana
Okwesikhashana traders, njengosuku traders noma ama-scalpers, ukugxila kuvame ukugxila ekushintshashintsheni komzuzu nomzuzu noma kwehora nehora. Kulezi zimo, isethi yedatha encane yokubala i-median ingasebenza kangcono. Lokhu kunikeza ukubonakaliswa okusheshayo kokuthambekela okumaphakathi kwemakethe, okuvumela ukuthathwa kwezinqumo ngokushesha.
- Usayizi Wesethi Yedatha Enconyiwe: 5 kuya ku-15 amaphuzu edatha.
- Advantages: Ukuboniswa okusheshayo kwezimo zemakethe zamanje, kusabela ezinguqukweni zemakethe.
- Ukulinganiselwa: Ukuba sengozini okuphezulu kumsindo wemakethe ongahleliwe, ukwethembeka okuncane ekuhlonzeni amathrendi esikhathi eside.
3.2 Ukuhweba Kwesikhathi Esimaphakathi
Isikhathi esimaphakathi traders, njenge-swing traders, ngokuvamile igxila ezinsukwini kuya emavikini. Isethi yedatha enosayizi omaphakathi wesibalo se-median ingabhalansisa ukuphendula nokuzinza. Lesi sikhathi sesikhathi sinikeza inhlanganisela yokuphinda kusebenze isikhathi esifushane nokuhlaziywa kwethrendi yesikhathi eside.
- Usayizi Wesethi Yedatha Enconyiwe: 20 kuya ku-50 amaphuzu edatha.
- Advantages: Ibhalansi phakathi kokusebenza kabusha nokuzinza kwethrendi, okungaphansi kokuthintwa ukuguquguquka kwesikhashana.
- Ukulinganiselwa: Ingase isale ngemuva kwezinguquko ezisheshayo zemakethe, ukuba sengozini emaphakathi yomsindo wemakethe.
3.3 Ukuhweba Kwesikhathi Eside
Okwesikhathi eside traders, njengesikhundla traders, kugxilwe kuthrendi yemakethe ebanzi phakathi nezinyanga noma iminyaka. Isethi yedatha enkudlwana yokubala i-median ingashelelanisa ukuguquguquka kwesikhashana futhi igqamise amathrendi esikhathi eside.
- Usayizi Wesethi Yedatha Enconyiwe: Amaphoyinti edatha angama-50 kuye kwayi-100 noma ngaphezulu.
- Advantages: Inikeza umbono ocacile wezitayela zesikhathi eside, ezingathinteki kakhulu ukushintshashintsha kwezimakethe zesikhathi esifushane.
- Ukulinganiselwa: Ukusabela kancane ezinguqukweni zakamuva zemakethe, kungase kuphuthelwe amathuba okuhweba esikhashana.
Isikhathi Sokuhweba | Usayizi Wesethi Yedatha Enconyiwe | Advantages | Ukulinganiselwa |
Ukuhweba Kwesikhashana | 5 kuya ku-15 amaphuzu edatha | Ukubonakaliswa okusheshayo kwemakethe, kuyasabela | Ingenwa nomsindo wemakethe, ithembekile kancane kumathrendi esikhathi eside |
Ukuhweba Kwesikhathi Esimaphakathi | 20 kuya ku-50 amaphuzu edatha | Ibhalansi phakathi kokusebenza kabusha nokuzinza | Ukuba sengozini okulingene emsindweni wemakethe |
Ukuhweba Kwesikhathi Eside | Amaphoyinti edatha angama-50 kuye kwayi-100 noma ngaphezulu | Ukubuka okucacile kwamathrendi esikhathi eside | Ukusabela kancane ezinguqukweni zakamuva, kungase kuphuthelwe amathuba esikhashana |
4. Ukuhunyushwa Kwenkomba YaseMediya
Ukutolika inkomba yeMedian ngendlela efanele kuyisihluthulelo sokusisebenzisa ngempumelelo ekuhwebeni. I-median inikeza indawo eyinkomba emaphakathi engasetshenziswa ukuhlola izimo zemakethe nokwenza izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi. Nansi indlela traders ingatolika i-Median Indicator ezimeni ezahlukahlukene:
4.1 Ukuhlonza Izitayela Zemakethe
I-median ingasebenza njenge-benchmark yokuhlonza inkomba jikelele yemakethe. Uma intengo yamanje yemakethe ingaphezu kwe-median, ingase ibonise ithrendi ekhuphukayo, futhi ngokuphambene, intengo engaphansi kwe-median ingabonisa ukuthambekela kokwehla.
4.2 Ukuhlola Ukuguquguquka Kwezimakethe
Ukuqhathanisa amanani e-median esikhathi esifushane nama-medians wesikhathi eside kunganikeza imininingwane Ukukhishwa kwemakethe. Ukwehlukana okubanzi phakathi kwalawa manani kuvame ukukhomba ukuguquguquka okukhulayo, kuyilapho ukufana kubonisa imakethe ezinzile.
4.3 I-Gauging Market Sentiment
Ukuma kwezintengo zakamuva ngokuhlobene ne-median kunganikeza izinkomba mayelana nomuzwa wemakethe. Ukuma okuhlala kuphakeme noma okuphansi uma kuqhathaniswa nendawo emaphakathi kungase kuphakamise umuzwa we-bullish noma we-bearish, ngokulandelanayo.
4.4 Ukuthatha Izinqumo Ekuhwebeni
Traders bangasebenzisa i-median njengengxenye yenqubo yabo yokuthatha izinqumo. Isibonelo, ukuthenga lapho intengo iseduze noma ingaphansi kwe-median ku-uptrend noma ukuthengisa lapho intengo iseduze noma ingaphezu kwe-median ku-downtrend. Kodwa-ke, kubalulekile ukusebenzisa i-median ngokubambisana nezinye izinkomba ukuze uthole ukuhlaziya okubanzi.
Isici Sokuhumusha | Yekuchumana |
Ukuhlonza Amathrendi Emakethe | Sebenzisa i-median njenge-benchmark yesikhombisi-ndlela sethrendi. |
Ukuhlola Ukuguquguquka Kwemakethe | Qhathanisa ama-medians esikhathi esifushane nawesikhathi eside ukuze ulinganise ukuguquguquka. |
I-Gauging Market Sentiment | Hlaziya indawo yentengo yakamuva ngokuhlotshaniswa ne-median ukuze uthole imininingwane yemizwa. |
Ukwenza Izinqumo Ekuhwebeni | Sebenzisa i-median ukwazisa izinqumo zokuthenga/ukuthengisa, kuhlanganiswe nezinye izinkomba. |
5. Ukuhlanganisa Inkomba Ephakathi Nezinye Izinkomba
Nakuba i-Median Inkomba inamandla ngokwayo, ukuyihlanganisa nezinye izinkomba zezezimali kunganikeza umbono obanzi wemakethe. Le ndlela ephelele isiza ekuqinisekiseni amasiginali kanye nokucwengwa amasu ukuhweba. Ngezansi ezinye izinhlanganisela ezisebenzayo:
5.1 Izilinganiso Ezimaphakathi Nezinyakazayo
Ukumatanisa iMediya nezilinganiso ezihambayo, njenge Isilinganiso Esijwayelekile sokuhambisa (SMA) noma I-Exponential Ukuhambisa esijwayelekile (EMA), ingasiza ekuboneni amathrendi ngokucacile. I-median ingakhomba ukuthambekela okumaphakathi kwemakethe, kuyilapho izilinganiso ezihambayo zingabonisa isiqondiso sethrendi namandla.
5.2 Ama-Median nama-Bollinger Bands
I-Bollinger Amabhendi, ahlanganisa i-SMA kanye nemigqa yokuchezuka evamile, esetshenziswa ngokuhambisana ne-median, anganikeza imininingwane yokuntengantenga kwemakethe. I-median inikeza isisekelo, kuyilapho amabhendi ekhombisa ukuthi imakethe inhlanhlatha kangakanani kusukela kokujwayelekile.
5.3 I-Median and Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI, a umfutho i-oscillator, ehlanganiswe ne-Median Indicator, ingaba usizo ekuhlonzeni izimo ezingase zithengwe ngokweqile noma ezidayiswe kakhulu. I-median isungula isisekelo semakethe, kuyilapho i-RSI ikala isivinini noshintsho lokunyakaza kwamanani.
5.4 Izinkomba zeMedian kanye neVolumu
Izinkomba zevolumu, njenge-On-Balance Volume (OBV), uma zisetshenziswa ne-median, zingaqinisekisa amandla amathrendi emakethe. I-median ekhuphukayo eceleni kwevolumu ekhuphukayo ingaqinisekisa ukuthambekela okuqinile, futhi ngokuphambene nalokho.
Inhlanganisela | Umsebenzi | Izinzuzo |
Izilinganiso Ezimaphakathi Nezinyakazayo | Ukuhlonza Okuthrendayo | Ithuthukisa ukucaca kwethrendi ngokuhlanganisa ukuthambekela okumaphakathi nendawo yethrendi. |
Ama-Median nama-Bollinger Bands | Ukuhlaziywa kwe-Volatility | Inikeza umbono obanzi wokuguquguquka kwezimakethe kanye nomkhawulo wamanani. |
I-Median ne-RSI | Ukuhlaziywa komfutho | Iwusizo ekuboneni izimo ezithengwe ngokweqile noma ezidayiswe ngokweqile ngesisekelo semakethe. |
Izinkomba zeMedian kanye neVolumu | Ukuqinisekisa Okuthrendayo | Iqinisekisa amandla ethrendi ngokuvumelanisa ukunyakaza kwentengo nevolumu. |
6. Amasu okulawula ubungozi ngeNkomba yeMedian
Ngempumelelo ingozi ukuphatha kubalulekile ekuhwebeni, ikakhulukazi uma kusetshenziswa izinkomba ezifana neMedian. Ngenkathi i-Median Inkomba inikeza imininingwane ebalulekile, traders kumele futhi bacabangele amasu okulawula ubungozi ukuze bavikele ukutshalwa kwezimali kwabo. Nawa amasu abalulekile okufanele uwacabangele:
6.1 Ukusetha Amaphuzu Okuyeka Ukulahlekelwa kanye Namaphuzu Okuthatha Inzuzo
Ukusebenzisa i-median njengereferensi, traders ingasetha ukuyeka-ukulahlekelwa kanye namaphuzu okuthola inzuzo. I-stop-loss ingabekwa ngaphansi nje kwe-median yezikhundla ezide, noma ngaphezu kwayo ukuze kube nezikhundla ezimfushane, ukuze kukhawulwe ukulahlekelwa okungaba khona. Ngokufanayo, amaphuzu okwenza inzuzo angasethwa ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukuthi izinzuzo zitholwa ngaphambi kokuhlehla kwemakethe.
6.2 Usayizi Wendawo
Ukulungisa osayizi bendawo ngokusekelwe kumandla esignali ye-median kungasiza ukuphatha ubungozi. Amasignali aqinile (isb., uma inani lichezuka ngokuphawulekayo ukusuka kumaphakathi) angase anikeze indawo enkulu, kuyilapho amasignali abuthaka engase abize amancane.
6.3 Ukuhlukahluka
Nakuba i-median ingaqondisa izinqumo zokuhweba ngazinye, ukuhlukahluka phakathi kwezimpahla nemikhakha ehlukene kungasakaza ubungozi. Lokhu kusiza ekwehliseni umthelela wanoma iyiphi inhlangano yemakethe eyodwa.
6.4 Ukuhlanganisa Namanye Amathuluzi Okulawula Ubungozi
Ukuhlanganisa i-Median Inkomba namanye amathuluzi okulawula ubungozi njenge izinkomba zokuguquguquka kanye nokuhlaziywa kokuhlobana kunganikeza uhlaka lokuhlola ubungozi obuqine kakhulu.
Isu Lokulawula Ubungozi | Isicelo | Izinzuzo |
Misa-Ukulahlekelwa futhi Thatha-Inzuzo Amaphuzu | Kusetshenziswa i-median ukusetha izindawo zokuphuma. | Ikhawulela ukulahlekelwa okungenzeka futhi ivikele inzuzo. |
Usayizi Wesikhundla | Lungisa osayizi ngokusekelwe kumandla esignali amaphakathi. | Ibhalansi ingozi ngokuya ngokuzethemba kwesignali. |
diversification | Sabalalisa ukutshalwa kwezimali kuzo zonke izimpahla/imikhakha. | Yehlisa umthelela wokunyakaza okungalungile kunoma iyiphi imakethe eyodwa. |
Ukuhlanganisa namanye Amathuluzi | Sebenzisa ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba zokulawula ubungozi. | Inikeza ukuhlolwa kobungozi okuphelele. |