1. Isingeniso se-Aroon Indicator
The Inkomba ye-Aroon, eyasungulwa nguTushar Chande ngo-1995, iyithuluzi elinamandla le traders ngifuna ukukhomba amandla mkhuba, okungenzeka ukuguqulwa, Futhi amathuba okuhweba. I-Aroon, esuselwe egameni lesi-Sanskrit elithi “Aruna” elisho “ukuntwela kokusa,” isiza ukuthola ukuvela kwamathrendi amasha, njengokuphuma kosuku. Inkomba iqukethe imigqa emibili: i-Aroon Up kanye ne-Aroon Down, eguquguqukayo phakathi kuka-0 no-100, emele amandla amathrendi e-bullish kanye ne-bearish.
2. Ukubala i-Aroon: Isinyathelo ngesinyathelo
Ukuze ubale inkomba ye-Aroon, landela lezi zinyathelo:
- Khetha isikhathi: Khetha inani lezikhathi zesibalo. Lokhu kuvame ukusetha ezinsukwini eziyi-14 noma ezingu-25, kodwa ungazama izikhathi ezihlukene ukuze uthole leyo evumelana kangcono nesitayela sakho sokuhweba, isikhathi esibekelwe kanye nethuluzi.
- Khomba ukuphakama nokuphansi: Nquma amaphuzu amanani aphezulu kakhulu naphansi phakathi nesikhathi esikhethiwe. Landelela inani lezikhathi kusukela lezi zintengo eziphezulu neziphansi zenzeka, njengoba lolu lwazi luzosetshenziswa ezinyathelweni ezilandelayo.
- Bala i-Aroon Up: Hlukanisa inombolo yezikhathi kusukela enanini eliphezulu ngenani eliphelele lezikhathi, bese uphindaphinda umphumela ngo-100. Lokhu kuzokunika inani le-Aroon Up, elibonisa amandla ethrendi ye-bullish. Amanani aphezulu (eduze ku-100) aphakamisa ithrendi ye-bullish enamandla, kuyilapho amanani aphansi (eduze ku-0) abonisa ithrendi ebuthaka.
- Bala i-Aroon Down: Hlukanisa inani lezikhathi kusukela ngentengo ephansi kakhulu ngenani eliphelele lezikhathi, bese uphindaphinda umphumela ngo-100. Lokhu kuzokunika inani le-Aroon Down, elibonisa amandla ethrendi ye-bearish. Ngokufanayo nenani le-Aroon Up, amanani aphakeme (eduze ku-100) asikisela ukuthambekela okuqinile kwe-bearish, kuyilapho amanani aphansi (eduze ku-0) abonisa ukuthambekela okubuthakathaka.
3. Ukutolika ama-Aroon Signals
Nansi indlela yokuhumusha amasignali e-Aroon:
- Isitayela se-Bullish: Uma inani le-Aroon Up lingaphezu kuka-70, libonisa ukuthambekela okuqinile kwe-bullish. Lokhu kusikisela ukuthi kukhona phezulu umfutho emakethe, futhi traders angase abheke amathuba okuthenga ukuze azuze kulo mkhuba.
- Isitayela se-Bearish: Ngokuphambene, lapho inani le-Aroon Down lingaphezu kuka-70, libonisa ukuthambekela okuqinile kwe-bearish. Lokhu kuphakamisa ukuthi kukhona umfutho ophansi emakethe, futhi traders angase abheke amathuba okuthengisa ukuze azuze kulo mkhuba.
- Ukuhlanganiswa: Uma womabili amanani e-Aroon Up and Down engaphansi kuka-30, kuphakamisa ukuntuleka kwethrendi noma isikhathi sokuhlanganisa. Lokhu kungase kubonise ukuthi imakethe iya eceleni futhi ingase ilungiselele ukuphuma kunoma iyiphi indlela. Traders angase afune ukuqapha imakethe eduze ngalezi zikhathi futhi alungele ukuthatha isinyathelo uma sekuvela umkhuba omusha.
- Ukuguqulwa: Ukuwela kwe-Aroon Up ngenhla kwe-Aroon Down kusho ukuhlehla kwe-bullish okungaba khona, okuphakamisa ukuthi imakethe ingase isuke ku-bearish iye kumkhuba we-bullish. Traders angase abheke amathuba okuthenga ngokulindela ushintsho lwenkambiso. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuwela kwe-Aroon Down ngenhla kwe-Aroon Up kuphakamisa ukuguqulwa okungaba khona kwe-bearish, okubonisa uguquko ukusuka ku-bullish kuya kumkhuba we-bearish. Esimweni esinjalo, traders angase abheke amathuba okuthengisa ukuthatha isikhangisovantage yoshintsho lomkhuba.
Ngokuqonda nokusebenzisa lezi zincazelo zezimpawu ze-Aroon, traders ingathola imininingwane ebalulekile mayelana nesiqondiso semakethe kanye nezinguquko zethrendi ezingaba khona, zibasize benze izinqumo zokuhweba ezinolwazi.
4. Izibonelo ze-Aroon Indicator in Action
Cabangela isitoko esinesibonisi sezinsuku ezingama-25 se-Aroon. Ngosuku loku-1, inani eliphakeme kakhulu lesitoko lalingu-$100, futhi inani eliphansi lalingu-$80. Ngosuku lwama-25, inani eliphakeme kakhulu lafinyelela ku-$120, futhi intengo ephansi kakhulu yayingu-$85. Masihumushe izimpawu ze-Aroon:
- Bala i-Aroon Up: Cabanga ukuthi inani eliphezulu lenzeke ezinsukwini ezingu-10 ezedlule. Hlukanisa u-15 (25 – 10) ngo-25 futhi uphindaphinde ngo-100, okuholela enanini le-Aroon Up lika-60.
- Bala i-Aroon Down: Cabanga ukuthi inani eliphansi lenzeke ezinsukwini ezingu-20 ezedlule. Hlukanisa u-5 (25 – 20) ngo-25 futhi uphindaphinde ngo-100, okuholela enani le-Aroon Down elingu-20.
- Ukutolika: Kulokhu, inani le-Aroon Up lingaphansi kuka-70, futhi inani le-Aroon Down lingaphansi kuka-30, okubonisa ukuthi awukho umkhuba oqinile kunoma iyiphi indlela.
Esibonelweni sezwe langempela, cabanga SPY ngesikhathi sokutholwa kwemakethe ngoMashi 2020. Inkomba ye-Aroon ikhombe ngempumelelo ukuguqulwa kwe-bullish njengoba i-Aroon Up iwela ngaphezu kwe-Aroon Down, ihlinzeka traders ngesignali ebalulekile ukuze usebenzise ithrendi ekhuphukayo.
5. Imikhawulo kanye Nokucatshangelwa
Ngenkathi inkomba ye-Aroon iyithuluzi eliwusizo, inemikhawulo yayo:
- Izimpawu zamanga: I-aroon ingase ikhiqize amasiginali okubuyisela emuva amanga phakathi nezimakethe eziseceleni noma izikhathi zokuphakama ukungazami.
- Inkomba yokusala: I-Aroon ingaphuza ukusabela ezinguqukweni ezisheshayo zethrendi, ezingase ziholele ekufakweni sekwephuzile noma ekuphumeni.
- Amathuluzi ahambisanayo: Traders kufanele asebenzise i-Aroon ngokuhlanganyela nezinye analysis technical amathuluzi okuqinisekisa amasignali nokuthuthukisa ukwenziwa kwezinqumo.