1. Isingeniso se-Directional Movement Index (DMI)
1.1 Yini i-Directional Movement Index?
The Inkomba Yesimo Sokuqondisa (DMI) i analysis technical ithuluzi elidizayinelwe ukukhomba isiqondiso sokuhamba kwentengo ezimakethe zezimali. Yasungulwa ngu-J. Welles Wilder Jr. ngo-1978, i-DMI iyingxenye yochungechunge lwezinkomba ezihlanganisa futhi Isikhombisi Sokuqondiswa Okumaphakathi (ADX), ekala amandla ethrendi.
I-DMI iqukethe imigqa emibili, i-Positive Directional Indicator (+DI) kanye ne-Negative Directional Indicator (-DI). Lezi zinkomba ziklanyelwe ukuthwebula umnyakazo kumathrendi entengo akhuphukayo naphansi, ngokulandelana.
1.2 Injongo ye-DMI
Inhloso eyinhloko ye-DMI ukuhlinzeka traders kanye nabatshalizimali abanemininingwane ngesiqondiso namandla emakethe. Lolu lwazi lubalulekile ezinqubweni zokwenza izinqumo, ikakhulukazi ekunqumeni isikhathi esifanele sokungena noma sokuphuma a trade. Ngokuhlaziya ubudlelwano phakathi kwemigqa ye-+DI kanye ne- -DI, traders ingakala imizwa yemakethe ekhona futhi ilungise amasu abo ngokufanele.
1.3 Izingxenye ze-DMI
I-DMI iqukethe izingxenye ezintathu ezibalulekile:
- I-Positive Directional Indicator (+DI): Ikala ukunyuka kwentengo futhi ikhombisa ingcindezi yokuthenga.
- I-Negative Directional Indicator (-DI): Ikala ukwehla kwentengo futhi isho ingcindezi yokuthengisa.
- I-Average Directional Index (ADX): Ilinganisa amanani e-+DI kanye ne- -DI esikhathini esishiwo futhi ikhombisa amandla ethrendi, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi ikuphi.
1.4 Ukubala i-DMI
Ukubalwa kwe-DMI kuhilela izinyathelo ezimbalwa, ngokuyinhloko kugxilwe ekuqhathaniseni ukwehla okulandelanayo nokuphakama ukuze kutholwe inkomba yethrendi namandla. I-+DI kanye -DI ibalwa ngokusekelwe emehlukweni wokuphakama nokuphansi okulandelanayo, bese yenziwa bushelelezi phakathi nesikhathi, ngokuvamile izinsuku eziyi-14. I-ADX ibalwa ngokuthatha i- isilinganiso esihambayo yomehluko phakathi kwe-+DI kanye -DI, bese ihlukaniswa ngesamba esingu-+DI kanye no- -DI.
1.5 Ukubaluleka Ezimakethe Zezezimali
I-DMI isetshenziswa kabanzi ezimakethe zezezimali ezahlukahlukene, kufaka phakathi Amasheya, forex, kanye nempahla. Kubaluleke kakhulu ezimakethe ezibonisa ukuziphatha okuthrendayo okuqinile. Ngokunikeza imininingwane ngesiqondiso sethrendi kanye umfutho, i-DMI iyasiza traders nokwandisa yabo amasu ukuhweba ngezimo zemakethe ezahlukene.
1.6 Ithebula Elifingqiwe
aspect | Incazelo |
---|---|
Ithuthukiswe ngu | J. Welles Wilder Jr. ngo-1978 |
Izingxenye | +DI, -DI, ADX |
Injongo | Ukuhlonza isiqondiso namandla |
Isisekelo sokubala | Umehluko ekuphakameni nasekuncipheni okulandelanayo |
Isikhathi Esijwayelekile | Izinsuku eziyi-14 (zingahluka) |
Isicelo | Inventory, Forex, Izimpahla, nezinye izimakethe zezimali |
2. Inqubo yokubala ye-Directional Movement Index (DMI)
2.1 Isingeniso Ekubalweni kwe-DMI
Ukubalwa kwe-Directional Movement Index (DMI) kuhilela uchungechunge lwezinyathelo ezihlaziya ukunyakaza kwentengo ukuze kutholakale inkomba namandla ezitayela zemakethe. Le nqubo ibalulekile ekusetshenzisweni ngempumelelo kwe-DMI kumasu okuhweba.
2.2 Isinyathelo ngesinyathelo Ukubala
Ukunquma Ukunyakaza Okuqondile:
- I-Positive Directional Movement (+DM): Umehluko phakathi kokuphakama kwamanje nokuphakama kwangaphambilini.
- I-Negative Directional Movement (-DM): Umehluko phakathi kokuphansi kwangaphambilini nokuphansi kwamanje.
- Uma i-+DM inkulu kune--DM futhi kokubili kukhulu kunoziro, gcina okuthi +DM futhi usethe okuthi -DM kube ziro. Uma -DM inkulu, yenza okuphambene.
Ibanga Leqiniso (TR):
- Amanani amakhulu kunawo wonke kulawa amathathu alandelayo: a) Phezulu Kwamanje susa Okwamanje Okuphansi b) Phezulu Kwamanje susa Okwedlule Vala (inani eliphelele) c) Okuphansi Okwamanje susa Okwedlule Vala (inani eliphelele)
- I-TR isilinganiso sokuntengantenga futhi ibalulekile ekubalweni kwe-+DI kanye -DI.
Ububanzi Beqiniso Obushelelezi kanye Nokunyakaza Okuqondisayo:
- Ngokuvamile, isikhathi sezinsuku eziyi-14 sisetshenziswa.
- I-Smoothed TR = I-TR Yangaphambili Ebushelelezi – (I-TR / 14 Yangaphambili Ebushelelezi) + I-TR Yamanje
- I-Smoothed +DM kanye ne- -DM ibalwa ngokufanayo.
Ibala i-+DI kanye ne--DI:
- +DI = (I-+DM / Smoothed TR) x 100
- -DI = (I-Smoothed -DM / Smoothed TR) x 100
- Lawa manani amelela izinkomba zokunyakaza okuqondile njengephesenti lobubanzi bentengo.
I-Average Directional Index (ADX):
- I-ADX ibalwa ngokuqala ngokuthola Umehluko Ophelele phakathi kuka-+DI kanye -DI bese ihlukanisa lokhu ngesamba esingu-+DI kanye -DI.
- Inani lomphumela lishelelezi ngesilinganiso esinyakazayo, ngokuvamile esingaphezu kwezinsuku eziyi-14, ukuze uthole i-ADX.
2.3 Isibonelo sokubala
Ake sicabangele isibonelo ukukhombisa inqubo yokubala ye-DMI:
- Cabanga ngedatha elandelayo isikhathi esiyizinsuku eziyi-14:
- Ukuphakama, Ukwehla, kanye Nokuvalwa kwesitoko.
- Bala +DM, -DM, kanye TR usuku ngalunye.
- Lungisa lawa manani esikhathini esiyizinsuku eziyi-14.
- Bala i-+DI kanye ne- -DI.
- Bala i-ADX usebenzisa amanani ashelelezi okuthi +DI kanye no- -DI.
2.4 Ukuhunyushwa Kwamanani Abaliwe
- Okuphezulu +DI nokuphansi -DI: Ibonisa ukuthambekela okuqinile okukhuphukayo.
- Okuphezulu -DI nokuphansi +DI: Kubonisa ukuthambekela okuqinile kokwehla.
- I-Crossover ye-+DI ne--DI: Iphakamisa ukuhlehla kwethrendi okungaba khona.
Isinyathelo | Incazelo |
---|---|
Ukunyakaza Okuqondiswayo | Ukuqhathanisa ukuphakama nokwehla okulandelanayo |
Ibanga Leqiniso | Isilinganiso sokuguquguquka |
Ukwenza bushelelezi | Isilinganiso esikhathini esijwayelekile esiyizinsuku eziyi-14 |
Kubalwa +DI kanye -DI | Inquma amandla okunyakaza okuya phezulu/kwehle |
Inkomba Yokuqondiswa Okumaphakathi (ADX) | Ilinganisa umehluko phakathi kwe-+DI kanye ne- -DI |
3. Amanani Alungile Okusetha i-DMI Ezinkathini Zesikhathi Ezihlukene
3.1 Ukuqonda Ukuhlukahluka Kwesikhathi
Ukusebenza kwe-Directional Movement Index (DMI) kungahluka kakhulu kuzo zonke izikhathi ezihlukene. Traders sebenzisa i-DMI ekuhlaziyeni kwesikhathi esifushane, esimaphakathi, kanye nesikhathi eside, ngakunye kudinga ukulungiswa kuzilungiselelo zenkomba ukuze kusebenze kahle.
3.2 Ukuhweba Kwesikhashana
- Ubude besikhathi: Ngokujwayelekile kuthatha imizuzu engu-1 kuye kweyi-15.
- Isikhathi Esifanelekile se-DMI: Isikhathi esifushane, njengezinsuku ezi-5 kuye kweziyi-7, sisabela kakhulu ekunyakazeni kwentengo.
- Izici: Inikeza amasignali esheshayo, kodwa ingase ikhulise ingozi kokuhle okungamanga ngenxa yomsindo wemakethe.
3.3 Ukuhweba Kwesikhathi Esimaphakathi
- Ubude besikhathi: Ngokuvamile kuthatha ihora eli-1 ukuya osukwini olungu-1.
- Isikhathi Esifanelekile se-DMI: Isikhathi esimaphakathi, njengezinsuku eziyi-10 kuye kweziyi-14, silinganisa ukuphendula nokwethembeka.
- Izici: Ifanele ukushwiba traders, enikeza ibhalansi phakathi kwejubane lokusabela nokuqinisekiswa kwethrendi.
3.4 Ukuhweba Kwesikhathi Eside
- Ubude besikhathi: Kubandakanya amashadi ansuku zonke kuye kwanyanga zonke.
- Isikhathi Esifanelekile se-DMI: Isikhathi eside, njengezinsuku ezingama-20 kuye kwezingama-30, sinciphisa ukuzwela ekuguquguqukeni kwentengo yesikhashana.
- Izici: Ihlinzeka ngezimpawu ezithembeke kakhulu zamathrendi esikhathi eside kodwa ingase ibambezeleke ukungena nokuphuma ezindaweni.
3.5 Ukwenza ngokwezifiso i-DMI Yezimpahla Ezihlukene
Izimpahla zezimali ezihlukene zingase futhi zidinge ukwenziwa ngendlela oyifisayo izilungiselelo ze-DMI. Isibonelo, izitoko ezishintshashintshayo kakhulu zingase zizuze esikhathini esifushane ukuze zithwebule izinguquko zentengo ezisheshayo, kuyilapho izimpahla ezingaguquguquki kancane zingase zidinge isikhathi eside ukuze zihlunge ukunyakaza okungabalulekile.
Ubude besikhathi | Isikhathi Esifanelekile | Izici |
---|---|---|
Isikhathi esifushane | izinsuku 5-7 | Izimpawu ezisheshayo, ubungozi obuphezulu bezinto ezingamanga |
Isikhathi Esimaphakathi | izinsuku 10-14 | Impendulo elinganiselayo nokwethembeka |
Isikhati eside | izinsuku 20-30 | Ukuhlonza okuthembekile kwethrendi, ukusabela okunensayo |
4. Ukuhunyushwa Kwezimpawu ze-DMI
4.1 Okuyisisekelo kokutolikwa kwe-DMI
Ukuqonda amasiginali akhiqizwe yi-Directional Movement Index (DMI) kubalulekile ukuze isetshenziswe ngempumelelo ekuhwebeni. Ukusebenzisana phakathi kwemigqa ye-+DI, -DI, kanye ne-ADX kunikeza imininingwane ebalulekile kumathrendi emakethe namathuba okuhweba angaba khona.
4.2 Ukuhlaziya +DI kanye ne -DI Crossovers
- +DI Ukuwela Ngenhla -DI: Lokhu kuvame ukuhunyushwa njengesiginali ye-bullish, okuphakamisa ukuthi i-uptrend ithola amandla.
- -DI Ukuwela Ngenhla +DI: Ibonisa isignali ye-bearish, iphakamisa ukuqina kokuqina.
4.3 Iqhaza Le-ADX Ekuqinisekisweni Kwesiginali
- Inani eliphakeme le-ADX (>25): Iphakamisa ithrendi enamandla, phezulu noma phansi.
- Inani eliphansi le-ADX (<20): Ikhombisa inkambiso ebuthaka noma emaceleni.
- I-ADX ekhulayo: Kusho amandla ethrendi akhulayo, noma ngabe ithrendi iphezulu noma iphansi.
4.4 Ukuhlonza Ukuguqulwa Kwethrendi
- I-DMI Crossover ene-Rising ADX: I-crossover yemigqa ye-+DI kanye -DI, ehambisana ne-ADX ekhuphukayo, ingabonisa ukuhlehla kwethrendi okungaba khona.
- I-ADX Peaking: Lapho i-ADX iphakama futhi iqala ukwehla, imvamisa ikhombisa ukuthi inkambiso yamanje iyancipha.
4.5 Ukusebenzisa i-DMI Ezimakethe Ezihlanganisiwe
- I-ADX Ephansi futhi Ezinzile: Ezimakethe ezihambisana nobubanzi, lapho i-ADX ihlala iphansi futhi izinzile, ama-crossovers e-DMI angase angathembeki kangako.
- I-DMI Oscillation: Ezimakethe ezinjalo, imigqa ye-DMI ivame ukugoqa ngaphandle kwesiqondiso esicacile, okwenza amasu okuhweba asekelwe kumkhuba angasebenzi kahle.
Uhlobo Lwezimpawu | Ukuhunyushwa | Iqhaza le-ADX |
---|---|---|
+DI iziphambano ngenhla -DI | Bullish mkhuba inkomba | I-ADX ephezulu iqinisa lesi siginali |
-DI iwela ngenhla +DI | Bearish mkhuba inkomba | I-ADX ephezulu iqinisa lesi siginali |
I-DMI crossover ene-ADX ekhulayo | Ukuguqulwa kwethrendi okungenzeka | Ukukhuphuka kwe-ADX kukhombisa ukukhula kwamandla okuthrendayo |
I-ADX iphakama futhi yehle | Ukuncipha komkhuba wamanje | Iwusizo ekuhlonzeni ukuguqulwa kwethrendi |
I-ADX ephansi futhi ezinzile | Inkomba yemakethe ehambisana nebanga | Izimpawu ze-DMI azithembekile kangako |
5. Ukuhlanganisa i-DMI Nezinye Izinkomba
5.1 Ukubaluleka Kokuhlukahluka Kwezinkomba
Nakuba i-Directional Movement Index (DMI) iyithuluzi elinamandla iyodwa, ukuyihlanganisa nezinye izinkomba zobuchwepheshe kungathuthukisa ukusebenza kwayo futhi kunikeze umbono obanzi wezimo zemakethe. Le ndlela yezinkomba eziningi isiza ekuqinisekiseni amasiginali kanye nokunciphisa amathuba okuba nezinto ezingamanga.
5.2 Izinkomba Ezihambisanayo ku-DMI
1. Izilinganiso ezihambayo:
- Ukusetshenziswa: Khomba isiqondiso sethrendi iyonke.
- Inhlanganisela ye-DMI: Sebenzisa ama-avareji anyakazayo ukuze uqinisekise inkambiso ekhonjiswe yi-DMI. Isibonelo, i-+DI crossover ene-ADX engaphezu kuka-25, kuhlanganiswe nentengo engaphezu kwesilinganiso esinyakazayo, ingaqinisa isignali ye-bullish.
2. Isihlobo Amandla Inkomba (RSI):
- Ukusetshenziswa: Linganisa isivinini noshintsho lokunyakaza kwentengo ukuze uhlonze izimo ezithengiwe kakhulu noma ezidayiswe kakhulu.
- Inhlanganisela ye-DMI: I-RSI ingasiza ekuqinisekiseni amasiginali we-DMI. Isibonelo, isignali ye-Bullish ye-DMI ehambisana nokufunda kwe-RSI ngaphezu kuka-70 ingase ibonise isimo esithengiwe ngokweqile, isibonakaliso sokuqapha.
3. I-Bollinger Amabhande:
- Ukusetshenziswa: Hlaziya Ukukhishwa kwemakethe kanye nezimo ezithengiwe kakhulu/ezidayiswe kakhulu.
- Inhlanganisela ye-DMI: Amabhendi we-Bollinger angasiza ekuqondeni umongo wokuguquguquka wezimpawu ze-DMI. Isignali ye-DMI ngaphakathi kwebhendi ye-Bollinger encane ingase ibonise amandla okuqhuma.
MACD (Ukuhambisa Isilinganiso Sokwehluka Okuphakathi):
- Ukusetshenziswa: Khomba izinguquko emandleni ethrendi, isiqondiso, umfutho, nobude besikhathi.
- Inhlanganisela ye-DMI: I-MACD ingasetshenziswa eceleni kwe-DMI ukuze kuqinisekiswe izinguquko zethrendi. Isiphambano esihle se-MACD (i-bullish) kanye nokuwela +DI ngenhla -DI kungaba inkomba eqinile yokuya phezulu.
I-Stochastic Oscillator:
- Ukusetshenziswa: Landelela umfutho ngokuqhathanisa inani elithile lokuvala nebanga lezintengo zalo esikhathini esithile.
- Inhlanganisela ye-DMI: Uma kokubili i-DMI ne-Stochastic iphakamisa izimo ezithengiwe kakhulu noma ezidayiswe kakhulu, inganikeza ukuzethemba okwengeziwe trade isignali.
inkomba | Ukusetshenziswa | Inhlanganisela ye-DMI |
---|---|---|
Ukuhambisa Okumaphakathi | Ukuhlonza Okuthrendayo | Qinisekisa amasiginali we-DMI |
I-Relative Strength Index (RSI) | Izimo ezithengwa kakhulu/ezidalwe ngokwedlulele | Qinisekisa amasignali e-DMI, ikakhulukazi ezimeni ezimbi kakhulu |
Amabhodi we-Bollinger | Ukuguquguquka Kwemakethe Namazinga Amanani | Yenza amasiginali we-DMI abe sesimweni esibucayi |
MACD | Amandla Wethrendi kanye Nomfutho | Qinisekisa izinguquko zethrendi ezisayinwe yi-DMI |
oscillator Stochastic | I-Momentum kanye ne-Overbought/Oversold Conditions | Qinisekisa amasignali e-DMI, ikakhulukazi ezimeni ezimbi kakhulu |
6. Amasu okulawula ubungozi uma usebenzisa i-DMI
6.1 Iqhaza Lokulawulwa Kobungozi Ekuhwebeni
Ukulawulwa kobungozi okusebenzayo kubalulekile ekuhwebeni, ikakhulukazi uma usebenzisa izinkomba zobuchwepheshe ezifana ne-Directional Movement Index (DMI). Kuyasiza ekwehliseni ukulahlekelwa kanye nokuvikela inzuzo ngenkathi kukhulisa izinzuzo ezingaba khona ze-DMI.
6.2 Ukusetha ama-Stop-Loss Orders
1. Ukusungula Misa ukulahlekelwa Amazinga:
- Sebenzisa amasiginali we-DMI ukuze usethe ama-oda okulahleka kokuyeka. Ngokwesibonelo, uma a trade ifakwe ku-+DI crossover ngenhla -DI, ukulahlekelwa kokuma kungabekwa ngaphansi kokushwibeka okuphansi kwakamuva.
2. Izitobhi zokulandela:
- Sebenzisa izitobhi zokulandela ukuze uvikele inzuzo. Njengoba i trade iyavumelana, lungisa i-stop-loss order ngokufanele ukuze ukhiye izinzuzo kuyilapho uvumela indawo yokunyakaza okuqhubekayo.
6.3 Usayizi Wendawo
1. Ukulinganisa Usayizi Wendawo:
- Lungisa usayizi wendawo yokuhweba ngokusekelwe kumandla esignali ye-DMI. Amasiginali aqinile (isb., amanani aphezulu e-ADX) angase agunyaze izindawo ezinkulu, kuyilapho amasiginali abuthaka ephakamisa izindawo ezincane.
2. diversification:
- Sabalalisa ubungozi ezimpahleni ezahlukene noma trades kunokugxila endaweni eyodwa, ngisho noma amasiginali e-DMI enamandla.
6.4 Ukusebenzisa i-DMI Ekuhloleni Ubungozi
1. Amandla ethrendi kanye nengozi:
- Sebenzisa ingxenye ye-ADX ye-DMI ukuze uhlole amandla ethrendi. Amathrendi aqinile (i-ADX ephezulu) ngokuvamile awanayo ingozi encane, kuyilapho amathrendi abuthakathaka (i-ADX ephansi) angase anyuse ubungozi.
2. Ukuhlaziywa Kokuguquguquka:
- Hlanganisa i-DMI ne izinkomba zokuguquguquka ukuqonda kangcono izimo zemakethe futhi ulungise amazinga engcuphe. Isibonelo, ukuguquguquka okuphezulu kungase kudinge ukulahlekelwa okuqinile kokuma noma osayizi bezikhundla ezincane.
6.5 Ukufaka Ezinye Izinkomba Zokulawulwa Kwengozi
1. I-RSI kanye Nezimo Ezithengwa Kakhulu/Ezishintshile:
- Sebenzisa i-RSI ngokuhlanganyela ne-DMI ukuze uhlonze amaphuzu angahle ahlehliselwe angase abonise ubungozi obukhulayo.
2. Izilinganiso Ezinyakazayo Zokuqinisekiswa Kwethrendi:
- Qinisekisa amasignali e-DMI ngama-avareji ahambayo ukuze uqinisekise trades zihambisana nethrendi yemakethe iyonke, ngaleyo ndlela kunciphisa ubungozi.
Isu | Incazelo |
---|---|
Ama-Stop-Loss Orders | Vikela ekulahlekelweni okukhulu okusekelwe kumasiginali we-DMI |
Ukulandela Ukuma | Vikela inzuzo ngenkathi uvumela ukuhamba kwemakethe |
Usayizi Wesikhundla | Lungisa trade usayizi ngokusekelwe emandleni esignali |
diversification | Sabalalisa ubungozi kuzo zonke eziningi trades |
Ukuhlola Amandla Okuthrendayo | Sebenzisa i-ADX ukuze uhlole ubungozi obuhlobene nethrendi |
Ukuhlaziywa kwe-Volatility | Hlanganisa nezinkomba zokuguquguquka kokuhlolwa kwengozi |
Izinkomba Ezengeziwe | Sebenzisa i-RSI, izilinganiso ezihambayo zokulawula ubungozi okuthuthukisiwe |