1. Uhlolojikelele Lwenkomba Yezinga Loshintsho (ROC).
The Izinga Lokushintsha (ROC) iyinkomba yezobuchwepheshe esekelwe umfutho esetshenziswa ezimakethe zezimali ukukala ukuguqulwa kwephesenti enanini esikhathini esicacisiwe. Ngokuyinhloko isetshenziselwa ukukhomba isivinini sokunyakaza kwentengo, ikhombisa kokubili amandla nesiqondiso sethrendi. Ngokubala izinga amanani ashintsha ngalo, inkomba ye-ROC iyasiza traders balindele ukuhlehla okungaba khona, amakhefu, noma ukuqhubeka kwethrendi.
I-ROC isebenza ngomgomo olula: iqhathanisa intengo yamanje yesibambiso nenani layo enanini elithile lezikhathi ezedlule. Umphumela uvezwa njengephesenti, okungaba kuhle (okukhomba ukunyakaza kwentengo okukhuphukayo) noma kube kubi (okubonisa ukunyakaza okuya phansi). Le nkomba iyaguquguquka, isebenza ezimakethe ezahlukahlukene kufaka phakathi Amasheya, forex, kanye nempahla, futhi ingasetshenziswa kanye nezinye analysis technical amathuluzi okuhlaziya okubanzi kwezimakethe.
Tradeama-rs avame ukusebenzisa i-ROC ngokuhlukana ngenani ukuze abone ukuhlehla kwethrendi okungaba khona. Ukwehlukana kwenzeka lapho intengo kanye nenkomba ye-ROC ihamba ngendlela ehlukile, okungaba isignali yomfutho wethrendi obuthakathaka. Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-ROC iphinde isetshenziselwe ukukhomba izimo ezithengiwe kakhulu noma ezidayiswe kakhulu emakethe, nakuba ngokuvamile kungewona umsebenzi wayo oyinhloko.
Izici ezibalulekile:
- Uhlobo Lwesikhombi: Momentum
- Isetshenziselwa: Ihlonza amandla ethrendi nesiqondiso, ukubona ukuhlehla okungaba khona, ukugqashuka, nokuqhubeka
- Izimakethe Ezisebenzayo: Inventory, Forex, Izimpahla, njll.
- Izikhathi ezimisiwe: Isebenza ngezindlela eziningi, kodwa ivamise ukusetshenziswa esikhathini esifushane ukuya esimaphakathi
- Ukusetshenziswa Okuvamile: Ngokuhlanganyela nezinye izinkomba zokuhlaziya okuphelele
2. Ukubalwa Kwenkomba ye-ROC
Isibalo se- Izinga Lokushintsha (ROC) inkomba kuyinqubo eqondile, evumelayo traders yawo wonke amazinga ukuze isetshenziswe ngempumelelo. I-ROC yenziwa ngekhompyutha kusetshenziswa ifomula elandelayo:
ROC = ((Intengo Yamanje – Inani n ezikhathini ezedlule) / Inani n izikhathi ezedlule) * 100
kuphi:
- Intengo yamanje: Intengo yakamuva yokuvala yempahla.
- Inani n izikhathi ezedlule: Inani lokuvala lezikhathi zempahla n ngaphambi kwaleso samanje.
Le fomula ikhipha inani lephesenti elibonisa izinga lapho inani lempahla lishintshe khona phakathi nesikhathi esikhethiwe. Inani eliphozithivu le-ROC liphakamisa ithrendi yentengo, kuyilapho inani elingaphansi libonisa ithrendi eyehlayo.
2.1 Isibonelo sokubala ngesinyathelo ngesinyathelo
Ukuze uthole isibonelo esisebenzayo, ake sibale i-ROC yesitoko esikhathini esiyizinsuku eziyi-10:
- Nquma intengo yokuvala yamanje, ithi $105.
- Thola intengo yokuvala ezinsukwini eziyi-10 ezedlule, ngokwesibonelo, u-$100.
- Sebenzisa ifomula ye-ROC:
I-ROC = ((105 – 100) / 100) * 100 = 5%
Lo mphumela usho ukuthi intengo yesitoko inyuke ngo-5% ezinsukwini eziyi-10 ezedlule.
2.2 Ukukhetha Isikhathi Esifanelekile
Ukukhethwa kwezikhathi ezithi 'n' zesibalo se-ROC kuyisinqumo esibalulekile okufanele sihambisane ne tradeisu lika-r nesikhathi sentshisekelo:
- Isikhathi esifushane traders ingase ikhethe u-'n' omncane, njengezikhathi ezingu-5-15, ukuze ithwebule ukunyakaza kwentengo kwakamuva ngokuzwela kakhulu.
- Isikhati eside traders ingase ikhethe u-'n' omkhulu, njengezikhathi ezingu-20-200, ukuze kube nombono obanzi wamathrendi amanani.
Ukulungisa inombolo yenkathi kuvumela traders ukwenza i-ROC ihambisane nesitayela sabo sokuhweba nezinjongo ezithile, njengoba izikhathi ezihlukahlukayo zizohlinzeka ngemininingwane ehlukile kumandla emakethe.
Isinyathelo | Imininingwane |
1. Khomba Izintengo Zamanje Nezangaphambili | Nquma kokubili inani lamanje kanye nenani lezikhathi ezedlule. |
2. Sebenzisa Ifomula ye-ROC | Bala ukushintshwa kwephesenti usebenzisa ifomula ye-ROC. |
3. Humusha Umphumela | I-ROC ephozithivu ikhombisa ithrendi ekhuphukayo, kuyilapho i-ROC engeyinhle ikhombisa ukwehla. |
4. Khetha Inombolo Yenkathi | Khetha izikhathi ezithi 'n' ezisuselwe kuqhinga lokuhweba elihlosiwe (isikhathi esifushane uma liqhathaniswa nesikhathi eside). |
3. Amanani Alungile Okusetha Ezinkathini Zesikhathi Ezihlukene
Ukukhetha amanani alungile we- Izinga Lokushintsha (ROC) inkomba ibalulekile ekuhlaziyeni imakethe okusebenzayo. Lawa manani ayahluka kuye ngesikhathi a trader ugxile ku. Okubalulekile ukulinganisa ukuphendula ngokunemba ukuze ugweme umsindo omningi noma amasiginali alele kakhulu.
3.1 Ukuhweba Kwesikhashana
Okwesikhashana traders, njengosuku traders noma labo ababa nezikhundla izinsuku ezimbalwa:
- Isikhathi se-ROC esinconyiwe: Izinsuku ze-5-15.
- Umqondo: Izikhathi ezimfushane zinikeza amasignali asheshayo, athwebula ukunyakaza kwentengo yesikhathi esifushane ngempumelelo.
- Ukucabangela: Ngenkathi ziphendula, lezi zilungiselelo zingaholela kumasiginali angamanga ngenxa yomsindo wemakethe.
3.2 Ukuhweba Kwesikhathi Esimaphakathi
Isikhathi esimaphakathi traders, ababa nezikhundla amasonto noma izinyanga ezimbalwa, bangathola izilungiselelo ezilandelayo zifaneleka kakhulu:
- Isikhathi se-ROC esinconyiwe: Izinsuku ze-20-60.
- Umqondo: Lezi zikhathi zifinyelela ibhalansi, zinikeza umbono ocacile wethrendi engaphansi ngaphandle kokunensa kakhulu.
- Ukucabangela: Amasignali awavamile kodwa ngokuvamile athembeke kakhulu kunasesikhathini esifushane.
3.3 Ukuhweba Kwesikhathi Eside
Ukuze abatshalizimali besikhathi eside noma traders abaphethe izikhundla izinyanga ezimbalwa kuya eminyakeni:
- Isikhathi se-ROC esinconyiwe: Izinsuku ze-100-200.
- Umqondo: Izikhathi ezinde zilungisa ukuguquguquka kwesikhashana, okugqamisa amathrendi amakhulu.
- Ukucabangela: Izimpawu zihamba kancane kakhulu, kodwa zinikeza izinga eliphezulu lokuthembeka kwezitayela zesikhathi eside.
3.4 Ukuzivumelanisa Nezimo Zemakethe
Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuthi lezi yizindawo zokuqala futhi kufanele zilungiswe ngokuya ngezimo zemakethe kanye nomuntu ngamunye amasu ukuhweba. Amakilasi amafa ahlukene angase adinge ukulungiswa kulezi zilungiselelo ukuze uthole imiphumela emihle.
Isikhathi Sokuhweba | Inkathi ye-ROC Enconyiwe | Isilinganiso | Ukucabangela |
Ukuhweba Kwesikhashana | izinsuku 5-15 | Impendulo esheshayo ezinguqukweni zemakethe | Phezulu ingozi yezimpawu zamanga |
Ukuhweba Kwesikhathi Esimaphakathi | izinsuku 20-60 | Ibhalansi phakathi kokuphendula nokwethembeka | Amasignali ambalwa, kodwa ngokuvamile anembe kakhulu |
Ukuhweba Kwesikhathi Eside | izinsuku 100-200 | Gxila kumathrendi amakhulu | Iyashesha ukuphendula, kodwa ithembekile kakhulu kumathrendi esikhathi eside |
4. Ukuhunyushwa Kwenkomba ye-ROC
Ukutolika i Izinga Lokushintsha (ROC) inkomba iwukhiye wokuyisebenzisa ngokuphumelelayo kumasu okuhweba. Umsebenzi oyinhloko we-ROC ukukhombisa umfutho ngokubonisa isivinini lapho intengo yesibambiso ishintsha khona. Nazi izici ezibucayi zokuhumusha kwe-ROC:
4.1 Ukuhlonza Amandla Okuthrendayo
Inkomba ye-ROC iwusizo ikakhulukazi ekuhloleni amandla ethrendi. Okucatshangelwayo okubalulekile kuhlanganisa:
- Umfutho Ophezulu: Inani elihle le-ROC, ikakhulukazi elikhuphukayo ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, liphakamisa umfutho oqinile okhuphukayo.
- Umfutho Wokwehla: I-ROC engeyinhle, ikakhulukazi eyehlayo, ikhombisa ukuqina okuqinile phansi.
- Ukuma: Inani le-ROC elizungeze uziro lisho ukushoda komfutho, libonisa imakethe ehlanganisayo noma engenandlela.
4.2 Spotting Trend Reversals
I-ROC ingaba wusizo ekuhlonzeni ukuguqulwa kwethrendi okungaba khona:
- Ukuguqulwa kwe-Bullish: Ukushintsha ukusuka ku-ROC engalungile ukuya ku-ROC enhle kungase kubonise ukuguqulwa kwe-bullish.
- Ukuguqulwa kwe-Bearish: Ushintsho olusuka ku-ROC oluphozithivu luye ku-ROC olunegethivu lungabonisa ukuhlehla kwe-bearish.
4.3 Ukuhlaziya Ukwehlukana
Ukwehlukana phakathi kwe-ROC nentengo yempahla kuvame ukunikeza imininingwane ebalulekile:
- I-Bullish Divergence: Kuvela lapho intengo yenza iphansi entsha, kodwa i-ROC yenza okuphansi okuphezulu, okungase kubonise ukuguqulwa kwe-bullish.
- I-Bearish Divergence: Kuvela lapho intengo yenza ukuphakama okusha, kodwa i-ROC yenza ukuphakama okuphansi, okungase kubonise ukuguqulwa kwe-bearish.
4.4 Izimo ezithengiwe ngokweqile kanye nezidayiswa kakhulu
Nakuba kungewona umsebenzi wayo oyinhloko, i-ROC ingase futhi isetshenziselwe ukukhomba izimo ezithengiwe kakhulu nezidayiswe kakhulu:
- Ukuthengwa ngokweqile: Amanani e-ROC aphezulu kakhulu angase aphakamise ukuthi impahla ithengwe ngokweqile, futhi ukuguqulwa kungase kusondele.
- Kudayiswe kakhulu: Amanani e-ROC aphansi kakhulu angabonisa isimo esidayiswe ngokweqile, esingase siholele ekubuyiseleni emuva kwe-bullish.
aspect | Ukuhunyushwa |
Ivelu Ye-ROC Enhle | Ibonisa umfutho okhuphukayo; kunamandla uma kukhula ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. |
Ivelu ye-ROC engeyiyo | Iphakamisa umfutho obheke phansi; kunamandla uma kuncipha ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. |
ROC Around Zero | Kubonisa ukuntuleka komfutho oqinile; ukuhlanganiswa okungenzeka. |
Ukuguqulwa kwe-Bullish/Bearish | Shintsha ukusuka ku-negative ukuya kokuphozithivu (bullish) noma okuhle ukuya kokubi (bearish) ROC. |
I-Divergence | Izimpawu ze-Bullish noma ze-bearish lapho intengo ne-ROC kwehluka. |
Izimo ezithengwa kakhulu/ezidalwe ngokwedlulele | Amanani e-ROC aphezulu kakhulu noma aphansi angabonisa ukuhlehla okungaba khona. |
5. Ukuhlanganisa Inkomba ye-ROC Nezinye Izinkomba
Ukuhlanganisa i Izinga Lokushintsha (ROC) inkomba namanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe ingathuthukisa ukusebenza kwayo futhi inikeze indlela eyindilinga yokuhlaziya imakethe. Nazi izinhlanganisela ezivamile nezisebenzayo:
5.1 I-ROC kanye Nezilinganiso Ezinyakazayo
Ukuhlanganisa i-ROC nama-avareji ahambayo kungasiza ukuqinisekisa amathrendi nokuhlehla okungaba khona:
- Ukuqinisekisa Okuthrendayo: I-ROC engaphezu kukaziro ehlanganiswe nentengo engaphezu kuka-a isilinganiso esihambayo (njenge-MA yezinsuku ezingama-50 noma ezingama-200) ingaqinisekisa ukuthambekela okukhuphukayo.
- Izimpawu zokuhlehlisa: I-ROC ewayo ewela ngaphansi kweziro ngenkathi intengo iwela ngaphansi kwesilinganiso esinyakazayo ingase ibonise ukuhlehla kwe-bearish.
5.2 I-ROC kanye ne-Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Ukusebenzisa i-ROC kanye ne- Isihlobo Amandla Inkomba (RSI) ingasebenza kahle ekuboneni izimo ezithengiwe kakhulu noma ezidayiswe kakhulu:
- Izimo zokuthenga ngokweqile: I-ROC ephakeme kakhulu ehlanganiswe ne-RSI engaphezu kuka-70 ingabonisa imakethe ethengiwe ngokweqile.
- Izimo ezithengiswa kakhulu: I-ROC ephansi kakhulu kanye ne-RSI engaphansi kwama-30 ingase iphakamise imakethe edayiswe ngokweqile.
5.3 Amabhendi e-ROC namaBollinger
I-ROC ingabhangqwa nayo I-Bollinger Amabhendi azohlonzwa ukungazami kanye nokuqubuka okungenzeka:
- Ukuhlaziywa kwe-Volatility: I-ROC ephezulu enenani elithinta i-Bollinger Band ephezulu ingabonisa ukuguquguquka okuphezulu kanye nezimo ezingase zithengwe ngokweqile.
- Amasignali Okuphumayo: Ushintsho olubalulekile ku-ROC oluhlanganiswe nokugqekezwa kwentengo nge-Bollinger Band kungase kubonise ukuthambekela okuqinile noma ukuphuma.
5.4 Izinkomba ze-ROC kanye Nomthamo
Ukuhlanganisa i-ROC nezinkomba zevolumu njenge-On-Balance Volume (OBV) kungaqinisekisa amandla amathrendi:
- Ukuqinisekisa ama-Uptrends: I-ROC ekhulayo kanye ne-OBV ekhuphukayo ingaqinisekisa amandla e-uptrend.
- Ukuqinisekisa i-Downtrends: I-ROC enciphayo kanye ne-OBV ewayo ingase iqinisekise umfutho we-downtrend.
Inhlanganisela | Injongo | Ukudlala Inkomba Ebalulekile |
I-ROC kanye nezilinganiso ezihambayo | Qinisekisa amathrendi nokuhlehla | I-ROC enenani elihlobene nezilinganiso ezihambayo |
I-ROC ne-RSI | Izimo ezithengwa kakhulu/ezidayiswe kakhulu | I-ROC iyeqisa ngokuhlangana namazinga e-RSI |
I-ROC ne-Bollinger Bands | Khomba ukuguquguquka nokuqubuka | I-ROC enenani elihlobene nama-Bollinger Bands |
I-ROC kanye Nezinkomba Zevolumu | Qinisekisa amandla ethrendi | I-ROC ngokuhambisana nokunyakaza kwevolumu |
6. Ukulawulwa Kwengozi Ngenkomba ye-ROC
Ukulawulwa kobungozi okusebenzayo kubalulekile ekuhwebeni, kanye Izinga Lokushintsha (ROC) inkomba ingaba yingxenye ebalulekile yale nqubo. I-ROC, ngokulinganisa umfutho, inikeza imininingwane engasiza ekulawuleni nasekunciphiseni ubungozi. Nansi indlela engasetshenziswa ngayo:
6.1 Ukusetha ama-Stop-Loss Orders
I-ROC ingasiza ekusetheni ulwazi oluthe xaxa ukuyeka-ukulahlekelwa imiyalo:
- Ukuhlonza amaphuzu okubuyisela emuva: Ushintsho olubalulekile ku-ROC, njengokwehla okubukhali ukusuka endaweni ephezulu, lungasetshenziswa ukukhomba amaphuzu angahle ahlehliswe, lapho ama-oda okulahlekelwa kokuyeka angasethwa.
- Izitobhi zokulandela: Njengoba i-ROC ikhombisa amandla okuthambekela, ingasetshenziswa ukulungisa izitobhi ezilandelanayo, ukuthola inzuzo ngenkathi ivumela indawo yokuhamba kwentengo.
6.2 Usayizi Wendawo
I-ROC ingaba nomthelela ezinqumweni ngosayizi wesikhundla, isize ukuphatha ukuchayeka engozini:
- Amathrendi Aqinile: Ezikhathini zomfutho oqinile (amanani aphezulu e-ROC), traders ingase ikhulise osayizi bezikhundla, isebenzise amandla ethrendi.
- Amathrendi Abuthakathaka: Ngokuphambene, phakathi kwamathrendi abuthakathaka noma angaqinisekile (amanani aphansi e-ROC noma azungeze uziro), ukwehlisa osayizi bendawo kungasiza ekulawuleni ubungozi.
6.3 Amasu Okwehlukahlukana
I-ROC ingasetshenziswa ukuqapha umfutho wempahla ehlukahlukene, esiza kuyo ukuhlukahluka:
- Ukwabiwa Kwefa: Ngokuqhathanisa amanani e-ROC ezimpahla ezahlukene, traders bangakwazi ukulungisa iphothifoliyo yabo ukuze bagweme ukuchayeka ngokweqile ezimpahleni ezinamaphrofayili ashukumisayo afanayo.
- Amaphothifoliyo okulinganisa: Ukuqinisekisa ukuthi izimpahla ezinezici ze-ROC ezihlukene zifakiwe kungabhalansa ubungozi kuphothifoliyo.
6.4 Isikhathi Esifakiwe Nokuphuma
Isebenzisa i-ROC ukuthola isikhathi trade okufakiwe nokuphumayo nakho kungaba uhlobo lokulawulwa kobungozi:
- Amaphuzu Okungena: Ukungena trades lapho i-ROC ikhombisa umfutho okhulayo ingahambisana nokunyakaza kwemakethe okuqinile.
- Phuma Emaphoyintini: Iyaphuma trades lapho i-ROC iqala ukwehla ingasiza ekugwemeni ukulahlekelwa okungaba khona kusuka ekuguqulweni kwethrendi.
Isu | Isicelo | Zuza |
Ukusetha ama-Stop-Loss Orders | Kusetshenziswa i-ROC ukuhlonza amaphuzu angahle ahlehliselwe ukubekwa kokulahleka kokuma | Yehlisa ukulahlekelwa futhi ivikele inzuzo |
Usayizi Wesikhundla | Ilungisa osayizi bezikhundla ngokusekelwe kumandla wethrendi ye-ROC | Ilawula ukuchayeka ezingozini ngokuya ngomfutho wemakethe |
Amasu Okwehlukahlukana | Ukwaba izimpahla ngokusekelwe kuzici zazo ze-ROC | Ibhalansila ingozi yephothifoliyo |
Ukufakwa Kwesikhathi Nokuphuma | Ukungena noma ukuphuma trades ngokusekelwe kuzinguquko zomfutho we-ROC | Ukuqondanisa tradengamandla emakethe, kunciphisa ukulahlekelwa okungenzeka |
7. Isikhangisovantages kanye Nemikhawulo Yenkomba ye-ROC
The Izinga Lokushintsha (ROC) inkomba, njengawo wonke amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe, inesethi yayo eyingqayizivele yamandla nobuthakathaka. Ukuqonda lezi kungasiza traders basebenzisa i-ROC ngokuphumelelayo ekuhlaziyeni kwabo izimakethe.
7.1 Isikhangisovantages we-ROC Indicator
I-ROC inikeza izinzuzo eziningana:
- Kulula Ukuqonda: Ukubala okuqondile kwe-ROC nokuhumusha kuyenza ifinyeleleke kuyo traders wawo wonke amazinga okuhlangenwe nakho.
- Ukuhlukahluka: Ingasetshenziswa kuzo zonke izigaba zempahla ezihlukene nasezimeni zemakethe ezihlukene, okuyenza ibe ithuluzi elivumelana nezimo traders.
- I-Momentum Insights: Njenge inkomba yomfutho, ihlinzeka ngolwazi olubalulekile ngesivinini namandla okunyakaza kwentengo, isiza ekuhlonzeni ithrendi nokuqinisekisa.
- Izimpawu Zakuqala: I-ROC inganikeza amasiginali okuqala wokuhlehla kwethrendi okungaba khona, okuvumelayo traders ukuphendula ngokushesha.
7.2 Imikhawulo Yenkomba ye-ROC
Kodwa-ke, i-ROC nayo inemikhawulo ethile:
- Ijwayele Izimpawu Zamanga: Ikakhulukazi ezimakethe eziguquguqukayo, i-ROC ingaveza izimpawu zamanga, ezidukisayo traders.
- I-Lagging Nature: Ngokusekelwe ezintengo ezidlule, kuyinkomba yokusalela emuva futhi ingase ingabikezeli ukunyakaza kwemakethe kwesikhathi esizayo ngokunembile.
- Ukusabela okweqile Ngomsindo Wemakethe: Ngezikhathi ezifushane, i-ROC ingasabela ngokweqile ezinguqukweni zentengo ezincane, okuholela ekuhumusheni okudukisayo.
- Idinga Ukuqinisekiswa: Ukunciphisa ukulinganiselwa kwayo, i-ROC ivame ukudinga ukusetshenziswa ngokuhambisana nezinye izinkomba ukuze kuqinisekiswe.